BMIE Market 78662

Bastrop County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,015 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±760 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,381 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±300 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,268 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,012 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$94,005 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,263 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$248,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±166,293 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	67.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	1 2016 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2016 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 78662
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2007, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2006 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2021	1 (range 1–1) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 1996–2016 (10 points, +0.0 per year, r² 1.00) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78662. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 1996–2016, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 1.00, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.5	63	40%	+25.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.2	62	35%	+21.8
Market Momentum Score	36.9	37	25%	+9.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,015	52	40%	+20.9
Median household income (ACS)	94,005	77	40%	+30.7
Households (ACS)	1,381	55	20%	+11.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.3	97	25%	+24.2
Population (ACS)	3,015	52	20%	+10.4
Median household income (ACS)	94,005	77	20%	+15.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (7)

By cuisine

American 1 · Italian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Bar 3 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Julio's tacos y mas LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1945 FM 20	open
Leon's Country Store	Bar		4033 Farm to Market 535	open
Little Johnny's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	520 Red Rock Ranch Rd	open
Red Rock Steakhouse and Backyard	Bar	Steakhouse · American	101 S Lentz St	open
Red Rock Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		1455 Watterson Rd	open
Taqueria Tuzantla Michoacán	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2482 FM-20	open
Wild Bunch Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1764 Taylorsville Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
2002	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2013	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78662. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.