BMIE Market 80109

Douglas County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,671 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,728 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±566 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,219 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,778 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$155,025 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,586 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,304 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±141 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$675,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,584 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80109
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-17.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+35.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+533.3% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 15–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80109. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.7	91	40%	+36.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84.6	85	35%	+29.6
Market Momentum Score	37.0	37	25%	+9.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,400	88	40%	+35.1
Median household income (ACS)	155,025	97	40%	+38.7
Households (ACS)	9,728	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	35%	+26.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.7	86	25%	+21.4
Population (ACS)	28,400	88	20%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	155,025	97	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-17.4	14	50%	+8.9
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	30%	+28.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (64)

By cuisine

American 12 · Coffee 9 · Breakfast 8 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 4 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Bar 12 · Quick service 10 · Casual dining 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Bakery 5 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
105 West Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1043 Park St	open
1825 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		575 Genoa Way	open
Alidade Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		680 Atchison Way	open
Angus Soda Shop	Brewery / taproom		680 Atchison Way Ste 800	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	742 Genoa Way	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches	4901 Castleton Dr	open
Brother & Brother, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3982 Limelight Ave	open
Bucket List Tavern Doug's Diner Piney Creek Centennial	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3982 Limelight Ave Ste A	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	880 Kinner Street	open
Caribou Coffee Einstein Bros. Bagels	Coffee shop · Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	3993 Limelight Av	open
Carlos Miguel's at Castle Rock	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3982 Limelight Ave	open
Coffee & Canvas	Coffee shop	Coffee	215 Malibu St	open
Colorado Cork And Keg	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	971 Park St	open
Crave Real Burgers - Castle Rock	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	3982 Limelight Ave	open
Crush Wine Bar	Bar		3911 Ambrosia St	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	654 Genoa Way	open
CV Proper Kitchen and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	2355 Mercantile St	open
Del Taco	Quick service		6383 Promenade Parkway	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	3993 Limelight Ave.	open
Guadalajara Family Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	150 Wolfensberger Rd	open
Hero Bar	Dessert	Dessert	3740 Dacoro Ln	open
Hourglass Micro Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3818 Hourglass Ave	open
IHOP	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	575 Genoa Way	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		27 Wolfensberger Rd	open
Kneaders Bakery & Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	826 New Memphis Ct	open
Lighthouse Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4881 Cherokee Dr	open
Los Santos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	207 W Wolfensberger Rd	open
LostCoffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	3980 Limelight Ave	open
Manna Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2350 Meadows Blvd	open
Midwest Mom's Colorado Kitchen	Bakery	Bakery	2415 Wind Dance Ct	open
My Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2240 Mercantile St Ste 100	open
OHANA GRILLE CASTLE ROCK	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	2240 Mercantile St Ste 100	open
Old West Bar B Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	107 Wolfensberger Rd	open
Omni Cafe Crafted Boba Tea & Coffee Bar OMNI cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	680 Atchison Way	open
Purple Cauliflower	Bar		2799 Black Canyon Way	open
Rockyard Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		880 Castleton Rd	open
Rose's Bella Cucina	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Italian · Sandwiches	3960 Limelight Ave	open
Santiago's Mexican Restaurant Santiago's Mexican Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	860 Kinner St	open
Sbarro Sbarro	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	4901 Castleton Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	910 Kinner St	open
Subway Restaurants	Quick service		5254 N Meadows Dr	open
Supper Solutions	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4760 Castleton Way Ste C	open
Tanya Faye Enterprises, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		860 Kinner St	open
Tapp House	Bar			open
Taste of Philly	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3980 Limelight Ave	open
TD's Lounge	Bar		971 Park St	open
Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp	Quick service		575 Genoa Way	open
TGI Fridays	Bar		3211 S Interstate 25 Ste A	open
The Egg & I	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	2240 Mercantile St Ste 100	open
The Egg & I	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2240 Mercantile St # 100	open
The Library Co. Bar & Kitchen	Casual dining · Bar		3911 Ambrosia St	open
The Park Company Sports Bar and Kitchen	Bar · Casual dining		207 Wolfensberger Rd	open
The Whiskey Lodge	Bar		3911 Ambrosia St	open
Tonys Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	971 Park St	open
Toss Asian Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai	909 Park St	open
Uncle Maddio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	3990 Limelight Ave	open
Village Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	207 Wolfensberger Rd	open
Village Inn Restaurants Village Inn Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	207 W Wolfensberger Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	222 Wolfensberger Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	222 WOLFENSBERGER RD	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	875 Kinner Street	open
Yumbana Gluten Free	Bakery	Bakery	651 Topeka Way Ste 500	open
BURLY Brewing Company	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		680 Atchison Way Ste 800	closed
Schwan Food Co	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3100 Commerce Ct	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2004	3	3	2	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	14	10	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	14	9	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	22	20	12	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	22	21	11	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	17	17	10	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	21	20	12	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	23	15	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	20	12	6	—	4	NAICS2017
2020	27	21	14	5	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	23	17	12	3	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	22	18	11	5	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	21	19	10	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80109. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.