BMIE Market 80125

Douglas County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,630 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,171 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,635 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±343 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,190 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,768 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$179,983 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,041 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,457 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±634 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$762,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39,487 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	39.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80125
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 2–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	19 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80125. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.4	85	40%	+34.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.8	62	35%	+21.6
Market Momentum Score	18.9	19	25%	+4.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,630	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	179,983	98	40%	+39.3
Households (ACS)	5,635	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-40	8	35%	+2.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.8	95	25%	+23.8
Population (ACS)	15,630	77	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	179,983	98	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 19 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-40	7	50%	+3.5
10-year restaurant growth	-40	8	30%	+2.4
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Burgers 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Quick service 4 · Bar 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adobe Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	4558 Mitchell Street	open
Angelo's Taverna and Carboy Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5856 Aspen Leaf Dr	open
Atlas Coffee \| Salta Atlas Coffees	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8155 Piney River Ave	open
Avanti Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		12431 Mead Way	open
Garlic Knot Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8375 N Rampart Range Rd	open
JP's Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	8351 N Rampart Range Rd #101	open
Katie’s Kitchen - and more	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	9845 Elk River St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		7887 N Rampart Range Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		10125 Waterton Rd	open
Moonrise Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3706 Norwood Dr	open
Mr. Brown's Cookie Shack	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	9503 Palmer Lake Ave	open
Old Castle	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8382 W Riverview Pkwy	open
On the Rocks Bar & Grill at Arrowhead Golf Club	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		10850 Sundown Trail	open
Rosa Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8355 N Rampart Range Rd	open
Sapore Prime Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	8361 N Rampart Range Rd Unit 101	open
Scarlet Ranch	Bar		8109 Blakeland Dr	open
Seagulls	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11500 Roxborough Park Rd	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8367 N Rampart Range Rd	open
Sourdough Haus	Bakery	Bakery	9275 Ivory Gull Ln	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8365 N Rampart Range Rd	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	7887 N Rampart Range Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8357 North Rampart Range Road Suite A107	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mexican	8078blakelanddrive	open
The Bakery Basket LLC	Bakery	Bakery	7376 Watercress Dr	open
Waterton Tavern	Bar · Casual dining	American	8361 N Rampart Range Rd B107	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	8355 N Rampart Range Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	2	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	2	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	6	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	9	3	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	10	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80125. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80131	2.9 mi	1	2007

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.