BMIE Market 80128
Jefferson County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 36,712 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,566 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 14,385 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±530 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 34,988 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 14,135 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $121,436 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,402 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,108 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±132 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $586,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,899 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 12.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80128 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -24.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +2,100.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 18 (range 15–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 17 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80128. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 91.8 | 92 | 40% | +36.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64.2 | 64 | 35% | +22.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 17.2 | 17 | 25% | +4.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 36,712 | 92 | 40% | +37.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 121,436 | 91 | 40% | +36.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 14,385 | 93 | 20% | +18.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -15.4 | 16 | 35% | +5.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 6.0 | 88 | 25% | +22.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 36,712 | 92 | 20% | +18.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 121,436 | 91 | 20% | +18.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 17 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -8.3 | 20 | 50% | +10.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -15.4 | 16 | 30% | +4.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -24.1 | 12 | 20% | +2.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (43)
By cuisine
Coffee 7 · American 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Dessert 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 8 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angie's Restaurant Littleton | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Mexican | 6797 W Ottawa Ave | open |
| Anglican Church Of The Spirit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6657 W Ottawa Ave | open | |
| Asian Spice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 7444 W Chatfield Ave | open |
| Cat Herder Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 6461 W Elmhurst Ave | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 9976 W Remington Pl | open |
| Cmd Holdings, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7403 W Chatfield Ave | open | |
| Columbine Bar and Restaurant | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | 7660 S Pierce St | open | |
| Columbine Catering & Bbq Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7986 S Depew St | open | |
| Columbine Wines & Liquors | Bar | 7576 S Pierce St | open | |
| D&w Stores Ltd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7576 S Pierce St | open | |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 7576 S Pierce St | open |
| Dickey's Barbecue Pit Dickey's Barbecue Pit National | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 8176 S Wadsworth Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 4760 W Mineral Ave | open |
| High Plains Tap House | Bar | 8176 S Wadsworth Blvd | open | |
| Hogback BBQ & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 7986 S Depew St | open |
| Hpth, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8176 S Wadsworth Blvd Unit F | open | |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7444 W Chatfield Ave B | open |
| Ken Caryl Ata Black Belt Acdmy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9142 W Ken Caryl Ave | open | |
| Lis Asia Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7444 W Chatfield Ave | open | |
| Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9956 W Remington Pl Unit A2 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 8286 S Wadsworth Blvd | open |
| My Town Properties Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7444 W Chatfield Ave Ste D | open | |
| Noodles & Company Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · American | 9956 W Remington Pl | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 9012 W Ken Caryl Ave | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9956 W Remington Pl Littleton | open |
| Robert's Italian Restaurant and Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Italian · Sandwiches · Pizza | 6745 W Ken Caryl Ave | open |
| Sawa Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7470 S Pierce St | open |
| Sirens Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 7444 W Chatfield Ave | open | |
| Southside Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7403 W Chatfield Ave | open |
| SpeckleTea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 9956 W Remington Pl Suite A-4 | open |
| Squeeze Fresh Juice Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9956 W Remington Pl | open | |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 7403 W Chatfield Ave (Wadsworth & Chat, Field) | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 9956 W Remington Pl (C-470 & | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 6760 S Pierce St | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 8126 S Wadsworth Blvd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 4760 W Mineral Ave Ste 20 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 8176 S Wadsworth Blvd #H | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 9956 W Remington Pl Unit A4 | open |
| Taj Of India | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6750 S Pierce St | open | |
| Tamale Kitchen Tamale Kitchen Lakewood | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 8176 S Wadsworth Blvd | open |
| Vellichor Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 9956 W Remington Pl | open |
| Thai Curry | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 7444 W Chatfield Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 26 | 23 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 20 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 25 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 24 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 33 | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 31 | 28 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 30 | 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 30 | 29 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 24 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 25 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 24 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 29 | 26 | 6 | 16 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 26 | 8 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 31 | 28 | 10 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 29 | 25 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 26 | 23 | 9 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 26 | 24 | 11 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 25 | 23 | 10 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 24 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 23 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 24 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |