BMIE Market 80403

Jefferson County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,732 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,265 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,490 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±466 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,211 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,948 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$151,276 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,631 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,444 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$838,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,565 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	142.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80403
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.42) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80403. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.42, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.8	88	40%	+35.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.0	64	35%	+22.4
Market Momentum Score	52.9	53	25%	+13.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,732	82	40%	+32.8
Median household income (ACS)	151,276	96	40%	+38.5
Households (ACS)	8,490	83	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	35%	+5.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.8	92	25%	+23.1
Population (ACS)	20,732	82	20%	+16.4
Median household income (ACS)	151,276	96	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	30%	+4.5
20-year restaurant growth	11.1	40	20%	+8.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · American 3 · Mexican 3 · Middle Eastern 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Burgers 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ali Baba Grill Ali baba kebab & Pizzeria	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Middle Eastern	109 N Rubey Dr	open
Amir Grill Restaurant Amir	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	103 N Rubey Dr Unit E	open
BaliYo by Spyderco	Café	Coffee	820 Spyderco Way	open
Big Daddy Bagels Big Daddy Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	106 N Rubey Dr	open
Cannonball Creek Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		393 Washington Ave	open
Canyon Coffee Canyon Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	30509 CO-72	open
Cast Iron Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	111 N Rubey Dr	open
Coors Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Quick service		3801 McIntyre Ct	open
El Senor Sol Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6380 McIntyre Pkwy	open
Hammond's Candies	Dessert		13001 W 43rd Dr	open
Holidaily Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		801 Brickyard Cir	open
In the Zone Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	15600 W 44th Ave	open
International Paper Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16163 W 45th Dr	open
Last Stand Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	German / Eastern European	32138 Highway 72	open
Los Marcelos Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	109 N Rubey Dr	open
Lucha Cantina at the Red Ram	Restaurant (service type not stated)		606 6th St	open
Mad Greens - Eat Better	Restaurant (service type not stated)		112 N Rubey Dr Unit 220	open
Mega Dollar Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		109 N Rubey Dr	open
New Terrain Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		16401 Table Mountain Pkwy	open
Noa Noa Espresso And News	Coffee shop	Coffee	109 N Rubey Dr	open
Pile High Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American		open
Rocky Flats Beer Garden	Casual dining · Bar			open
Salad Collective	Restaurant (service type not stated)		112 N Rubey Dr Unit 220	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	114 N Rubey Dr	open
Stoic Grains	Bakery	Bakery	33492 Coal Creek Canyon Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	106 N Rubey Drive Ste A	open
Wondervu Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	33492 Highway 72	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	11	8	6	1	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	12	8	6	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	11	7	5	—	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	15	10	5	2	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	11	9	5	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	12	12	7	1	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	12	7	2	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	15	14	6	3	5	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	16	7	4	5	—	NAICS2002
2008	14	13	6	3	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	13	7	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	8	2	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	8	2	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	6	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	12	6	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	12	8	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	7	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	10	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	10	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	9	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	10	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	10	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80403. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.