BMIE Market 80433

Jefferson County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,292 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±801 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,408 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±330 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,354 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,767 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$134,402 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,395 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,537 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±544 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$772,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,381 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	66.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80433
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+69.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+175.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+340.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 21–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80433. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.5	78	40%	+31.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.2	69	35%	+24.2
Market Momentum Score	83.9	84	25%	+21.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,292	68	40%	+27.2
Median household income (ACS)	134,402	94	40%	+37.6
Households (ACS)	3,408	69	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	69.2	88	35%	+30.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	26.5	24	25%	+6.1
Population (ACS)	8,292	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	134,402	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	22.2	79	50%	+39.5
10-year restaurant growth	69.2	88	30%	+26.4
20-year restaurant growth	175	90	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

Coffee 12 · American 9 · Pizza 6 · Mexican 4 · BBQ 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Café 10 · Bar 8 · Quick service 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Margaritas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	10903 U S 285 E204	open
3 Victoria Conifer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	10903 US Hwy 285	open
Anthony's Pizza & Pasta Anthony's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	25587 Conifer Rd	open
Anthony's Pizza And Pasta Conifer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	27182 Main St	open
Aspen Peak Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		12414 US Highway 285	open
Aspen Perk Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	27182 Main St	open
Aspen Perk Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	25797 Conifer Rd	open
Big Iron BBQ & Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	12424 Big Timber Dr	open
Bounties Brew Haus	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	25797 Conifer Rd B211 / B217	open
Brooks Place Tavern	Bar		27175 Main St Ste 100	open
Brooks Place Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		25577 Conifer Rd Unit 100	open
Cabin Creek Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	25997 Conifer Rd Ste A	open
Colorado's Best Beers	Bar		26267 Conifer Rd	open
Conifer Cafe	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee · Breakfast	25597 Conifer Rd #105	open
Conifer Crossings Hwy 285	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	11825 US Highway 285	open
D&n Investments Ltd	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25577 Conifer Rd Unit 100	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	25597 Conifer Rd	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	10855 US Hwy 285	open
Evergreen & Conifer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	27122 Main St	open
Golden Stix	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	25567 Conifer Rd	open
Hale Six Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		26367 Conifer Rd Ste E	open
Jamba Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	10853 US Highway 285	open
Jj Madwell's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	26412 Main St	open
Kings Valley Marketplace	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	30403 Kings Valley Dr	open
Koppas Event Management, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25567 Conifer Rd Unit 130	open
La Patisserie Wedding Bakery Blue Tortue Boutique	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	25557 Conifer Rd	open
Liks Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	10903 US Hwy 285 E101	open
Los 3 Garcias Los 3 Garcias Mexican Restaurant Arvada	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	25567 Conifer Rd Ste 120	open
Oyama Sushi & Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	25587 Conifer Rd	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	25797 Conifer Road	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Primo's Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	30403 Kings Valley Dr	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	25597 Conifer Rd	open
Ripple Pizza & Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts	26412 Main St	open
Rocky Mountain Wraps	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Vegetarian	25997 Conifer Rd Unit A & B	open
Snowpack Taproom	Bar		11863 Springs Rd # 200	open
Snowpack Taproom & Pizzeria	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	27175 Main St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	27171 Main Street	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	26724 Conifer Town Centre Dr (Conifer, Town Center - Conifer)	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	25637 Conifer Road	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10875 US Hwy 285 Unit C-104	open
Taspen Cosmic Kitchen	Café	Coffee	25797 Conifer Rd	open
THAI 202 CONIFER	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25797 Conifer Rd Unit B112	open
The Bean & The Leaf	Coffee shop	Coffee	25797 Conifer Rd Ste B206	open
The Park Tavern & Dog Park	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		11863 Springs Rd	open
The Well at Bradford Junction	Bar		27051 Barkley Rd	open
The Yum Bus	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	11851 US Hwy 285	open
US Highway 285 Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	10855 South US Highway 285	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	25607 Conifer Rd	open
Wing Wagon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	26367 Conifer Rd Ste E	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	27152 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	12	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	17	15	9	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	22	20	7	9	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	22	20	7	10	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	19	18	7	9	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	20	19	10	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	18	17	7	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	14	7	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	13	5	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	15	5	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	14	5	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	20	17	6	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	18	6	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	17	8	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	17	8	4	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	19	11	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	19	9	6	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	22	10	7	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80433. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.