BMIE Market 80465
Jefferson County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,582 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±923 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,409 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±285 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 15,147 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,045 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $132,292 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,320 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±320 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $685,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,148 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 43.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80465 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 7.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +30.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +142.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +70.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 19 (range 16–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80465. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.3 | 84 | 40% | +33.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 77.2 | 77 | 35% | +27.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 78.3 | 78 | 25% | +19.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,582 | 78 | 40% | +31.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 132,292 | 93 | 40% | +37.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,409 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30.8 | 71 | 35% | +25.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.3 | 71 | 25% | +17.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,582 | 78 | 20% | +15.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 132,292 | 93 | 20% | +18.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 21.4 | 78 | 50% | +39.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30.8 | 71 | 30% | +21.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 142.9 | 88 | 20% | +17.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (34)
By cuisine
American 10 · Coffee 4 · Mexican 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Breakfast 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 12 · Casual dining 9 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5281 Steak Salad Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 14011 W Quincy Ave | open |
| Action Karting | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3051 S Rooney Rd | open | |
| Allergy Free Baking Company | Gluten Free Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 14011 W Quincy Ave Ste J | open |
| Beso De Arte | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 102 Market St | open |
| Big Dave's Burritos | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4896 Morrison Rd | open | |
| Cafe Prague | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | European · Coffee | 209 Bear Creek Ave | open |
| Carreta Vieja | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 9064 US Highway 285 | open |
| Gumption UZ | Coffee shop | Coffee | 618 S Vine St | open |
| Hungry Goat - Scratch Kitchen & Wine Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 102 Market St | open | |
| La Rocca Rossa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Italian | 209 Bear Creek Ave | open |
| Mill Street Deli | Other | Sandwiches | 401 Bear Creek Ave | open |
| Morrison Farmhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 108 Market St | open |
| Morrison Holiday Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 403 Bear Creek Ave | open | |
| Morrison Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Spanish / tapas · Mexican · American | 301 Bear Creek Ave | open |
| Morrison Joe | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 211 Bear Creek Rd | open |
| Morrison Liquors | Bar | 505 Bear Creek Avenue | open | |
| Pull Brown | Café | 604 N 32nd St | open | |
| Red Rocks Beer Garden | Bar | 116 Stone St | open | |
| Red Rocks Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Mexican · Burgers | 415 Bear Creek Ave | open |
| Red Rocks Toffee Company | Dessert | 19336 Goddard Ranch Ct #220 | open | |
| Roof Top Tavern | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 215 Bear Creek Ave | open | |
| Ship Rock Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 18300 W Alameda Pkwy | open |
| Soda Lake Feed & Supply | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 14500 W Hampden Ave | open |
| Tap On The Rocks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 408 Bear Creek Ave | open |
| Tavern 242 | Bar · Casual dining | 4285 S Eldridge St | open | |
| The Cow An Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 316 Bear Creek Ave | open |
| The Fort | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Steakhouse | 19192 Highway 8 | open |
| The Ranch Grill | Bar | 19423 N Turkey Creek Rd | open | |
| TNT Country Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 408 Bear Creek Ave | open |
| Tomari's Coffee and Public House | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Breakfast | 6328 S Turkey Creek Rd | open |
| Tommy's Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 14011 W Quincy Ave | open |
| Tony Rigatoni's Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · Pizza · American | 215 Bear Creek Ave | open |
| Twin Forks Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | American | 19423 N Turkey Creek Rd | open |
| Willy's Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 109 Bear Creek Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 11 | 10 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 13 | 12 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 13 | 12 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 20 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 20 | 13 | 11 | 2 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 3 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 3 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 3 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 19 | 15 | 8 | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 22 | 17 | 10 | 6 | — | 4 | NAICS2022 |