BMIE Market 80503

Boulder County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,846 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,374 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,153 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±512 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	31,064 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,294 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$113,620 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,324 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,872 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$755,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,658 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	91.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80503
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-19.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-13.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+56.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+177.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 16–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.55) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80503. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.55, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.8	91	40%	+36.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.9	63	35%	+22.0
Market Momentum Score	25.6	26	25%	+6.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,846	92	40%	+36.8
Median household income (ACS)	113,620	88	40%	+35.2
Households (ACS)	15,153	94	20%	+18.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-13.8	16	35%	+5.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.0	84	25%	+21.1
Population (ACS)	35,846	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	113,620	88	20%	+17.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 26 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-19.4	14	50%	+6.8
10-year restaurant growth	-13.8	16	30%	+4.9
20-year restaurant growth	56.3	69	20%	+13.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (57)

By cuisine

Coffee 9 · American 7 · Asian 6 · Bakery 5 · Italian 4 · Japanese 4 · Pizza 4 · Breakfast 3 · Dessert 3 · Mexican 3 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Café 9 · Bar 7 · Bakery 5 · Brewery / taproom 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Food truck 2 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7960 Niwot Rd b5	open
Anchan Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1325 Dry Creek Dr	open
Bearded Brewer Artisan Ales Colorado	Brewery / taproom		1425 S. Airport Rd #100	open
Bearded Brewer Artisan Ales Colorado	Brewery / taproom		1425 S Airport Rd Ste 100	open
Black cat Farmstead	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9889 N 51st St	open
Bootstrap Brewing	Brewery / taproom		6778 N 79th St	open
Cafe Fritz CAFE FRITZ	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	7502 Hygiene Rd	open
Casa Grande Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1325 Dry Creek Dr Ste 103	open
China Gourmet Longmont	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1345 Dry Creek Dr	open
Cimmini’s Italian Restaurant Catering and Event Venue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza · Breakfast	300 2nd Ave	open
Claremont Foods	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		6325 Monarch Park Pl	open
Coffee Shop - Niwot	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9447 Niwot Rd	open
Country Harvest Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4071 Ute Hwy	open
Crane Hollow Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	7502 Hygiene Rd	open
Cyclhops	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	600 S Airport Rd	open
Donatos Pizza Red Robin Gourmet Burgers	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Burgers · American	2331 Clover Basin Dr	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	2311 Clover Basin Dr	open
Ellebelle	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4561 Heatherhill St	open
Fan's Chinese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	7960 Niwot Rd Unit C9	open
Flight Deck Grill	Food truck · Café	Coffee · American	229 Airport Rd	open
Fortezza Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	7916 Niwot Rd	open
Fritz Family Brewers	Brewery / taproom · Bar		6778 N 79th St	open
Garage Goblin Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1689 Geneva Cir	open
Garcias Of Niwot Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7960 Niwot Rd Unit D11	open
Hard Drive Cafe	Café	Coffee	389 Disc Dr	open
Horsefeathers Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7960 Niwot Rd Unit B	open
Hunters Restaurant & Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		600 S Airport Rd	open
MAD Greens - Eat Better/Longmont	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	2341 Clover Basin Dr	open
Madhava Natural Sweetners	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4689 Ute Hwy	open
Niwot Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	7960 Niwot Rd	open
Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1315 Dry Creek Drive	open
Persimmon Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4400 Lake Valley Dr #B	open
Praha Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7521 Ute Hwy	open
Proto's Pizza Proto's Pizza - Longmont	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	600 S Airport Rd Unit B	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2301 Clover Basin Dr	open
Raza Fresa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7960 Niwot Rd	open
Robin Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	600 S Airport Rd Bldg B	open
Rumbi Island Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2345 Clover Basin Dr	open
Sachi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7980 Niwot Rd	open
Sakura Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	600 S Airport Rd Bldg B Ste F	open
Stonebridge Sourdough Cottage	Bakery	Bakery	718 Stonebridge Dr	open
Suarez Wines and Market	Winery / distillery / taproom		11078 N 66th St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7960 Niwot Rd Unit B10	open
Sushi Leo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2315 Clover Basin Dr	open
Swaylo’s Tiki Restaurant and Bar	Bar		1315 Dry Creek Dr	open
Sweet Smiles Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	2351 Clover Basin Dr	open
The Garden Gate Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	7960 Niwot Rd	open
The Hitching Post	Bar		7960 Niwot Rd Unit C11	open
The Juicy Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	2341 Clover Basin Dr	open
The Kazoku	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	2939 17th Ave	open
The Mighty Vegans	Food truck		1313 Lupine Ct	open
The Mountain Fountain	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls · Bakery	11809 N 75th St	open
Winot Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	7960 Niwot Rd	open
Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3730 Bramante Dr	open
Farow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7916 Niwot Rd Unit 100	closed
Que’s Espresso	Coffee shop	Coffee	600 S Airport Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	12	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	18	16	8	8	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	16	15	11	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	17	15	12	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	17	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	22	16	8	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	15	10	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	27	20	14	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	32	27	13	10	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	31	27	13	9	5	—	NAICS2002
2008	26	24	12	8	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	28	26	13	10	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	28	26	14	9	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	26	25	12	9	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	26	25	12	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	31	29	15	10	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	29	29	16	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	32	32	19	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	33	31	18	9	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	33	30	19	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	35	31	20	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	25	18	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	30	25	16	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	23	15	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	26	19	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	25	19	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80503. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80544	5.0 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.