BMIE Market 80513

Larimer County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,271 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±897 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,925 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,296 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,133 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$126,726 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,035 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,804 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$600,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,380 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	71.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80513
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+260.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 17–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80513. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.7	85	40%	+33.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.4	81	35%	+28.5
Market Momentum Score	61.4	61	25%	+15.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,271	80	40%	+31.9
Median household income (ACS)	126,726	92	40%	+36.9
Households (ACS)	6,925	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.9	73	25%	+18.2
Population (ACS)	18,271	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	126,726	92	20%	+18.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.9	62	50%	+31.2
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (57)

By cuisine

Coffee 10 · Mexican 9 · American 8 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Breakfast 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Bar 11 · Café 9 · Quick service 7 · Brewery / taproom 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Casual dining 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&W Restaurants A&W Singapore	Quick service	Burgers · American	802 Mountain Ave	open
Acquavena Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1932 Little Acres Ln	open
Aussie’s Poke Pitstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	441 Mountain Ave	open
Beerzilla at Craft Beer Central	Bar · Brewery / taproom		Man Cave	open
Benny's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	535 Third St	open
Berthoud Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		450 N 8th St	open
Berthoud Days	Bar		Berthoud Park	open
Berthoud Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	527 N 4th St	open
blue mountain vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		4480 Hoot Owl Dr	open
Bradford's Grub and Grog	Casual dining · Bar	American	335 Mountain Ave	open
Center Stage	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2375 Tpc Pkwy	open
City Star Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		321 Mountain Ave	open
Cliff's Brick Oven Pizza and Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	269 Mountain Ave	open
Cmcl Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 Bunyan Ave	open
Cocina & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	30 Gateway Dr	open
Cocina & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	400 Mountain Ave	open
Colorado Rose Cake Company	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	3303 Harmony Ct	open
Conehead Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	927 Mountain Ave	open
Cornerstone Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	250 Mountain Ave	open
Da Bean Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	434 Mountain Ave.	open
Derby Grille	Casual dining · Bar		110 Bunyan Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1335 Grand Market Ave #140	open
Garden Spot Sweets And Treats	Dessert	Dessert	190 Bunyan Ave Unit 1c	open
Grandpa's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · American · Asian	903 Mountain Ave	open
Happy Eating Asian Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	506 Welch Ave	open
Healthy Harvest Productions	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		246 Basher Dr	open
Jessie's Pub & Sports Bar	Bar		316 Mountain Ave	open
Jima Llc Dba Sidetracked	Restaurant (service type not stated)		237 Welch Ave	open
Joyful Brews Drive Thru	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	429 Meadowlark Dr	open
Kó-fē House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	434 Mountain Ave	open
La Casita Authentic Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	405 5th St	open
Legends A Meadery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		246 Basher Dr #8	open
Lighthouse Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	250 Mountain Ave	open
Make LT	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	56 E State Highway 56	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1273 Grand Market Ave.	open
Montagna Backporch Pizza at Craft Beer Central	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1444 Eliza Ave	open
Odyssey Beerwerks	Brewery / taproom · Bar		820 N County Road 31	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	821 W. Mountain Ave.	open
RISE Artisan Bread Bakery and Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · American	403 5th St	open
Royalty Bagels and More LLC	Bakery	Bakery	4395 Ledge Rock Dr	open
Shorty's Pit Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1113 River Glen Way	open
Side Tracked	Bar		237 Welch Ave	open
Signature Protein & Shakes	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	927 Mountain Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1301 Grand Market Ave.	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	307 Mountain Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3800 E State Highway 56	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1279 Grand Market Ave	open
Taco John's Taco John's	Quick service	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	25 E State Highway 56	open
Taco John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	SWC I-25/Hwy 56, Exit 200	open
The Taco Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1335 Grand Market Ave	open
Tito's Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	405 5th St	open
Totally Baked Colorado	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2780 Cooperland Blvd	open
Trailhead Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	375 Meadowlark Dr	open
Waterfront Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2500 Sugarloaf Rd	open
Whistle Stop Tavern	Brewery / taproom		535 3rd St	open
Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1011 Mountain Ave	open
K-malt	Brewery / taproom		390 Mountain View Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	15	9	4	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	20	19	11	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	20	19	9	8	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	18	18	9	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	19	17	10	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	20	18	11	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	19	18	9	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	19	19	9	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	14	7	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	15	7	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	13	9	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	9	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	17	8	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	16	8	3	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	13	7	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	15	7	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	16	8	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	18	8	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80513. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.