BMIE Market 80516
Weld County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 39,048 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±597 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 13,616 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±388 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 20,254 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,440 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $168,725 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,963 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,798 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±219 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $726,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,895 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 40.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80516 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +55.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +55.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +416.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +933.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 37 (range 32–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.82) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 95 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80516. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.82, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 94.8 | 95 | 40% | +37.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 88.2 | 88 | 35% | +30.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 91.1 | 91 | 25% | +22.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 95 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 39,048 | 94 | 40% | +37.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 168,725 | 98 | 40% | +39.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 13,616 | 92 | 20% | +18.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 55 | 85 | 35% | +29.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.9 | 81 | 25% | +20.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 39,048 | 94 | 20% | +18.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 168,725 | 98 | 20% | +19.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 55 | 92 | 50% | +46.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 55 | 85 | 30% | +25.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 416.7 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (72)
By cuisine
Coffee 13 · American 11 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Mexican 6 · Asian 4 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 40 · Quick service 15 · Café 12 · Bar 11 · Coffee shop 11 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Carrot Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 578 Briggs St | open |
| Abo's Pizza Abo's Pizza Arvada | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 720 Austin Ave | open |
| Birdhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho | 526 Briggs St | open |
| Blackjack Pizza & Salads Blackjack Pizza & Salads | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 515 Briggs St | open |
| Briggs Street Cafe | Café | Coffee | 698 Briggs St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 420 Erie Pkwy | open |
| Busaba Erie Busaba | Bar | Thai · Asian | 3120 Village Vista Dr | open |
| Colorado Association Of School Resource Officers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3763 Imperial St | open | |
| Commons Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 640 Commons Dr | open |
| Cristos Coffee Roastery & Cafe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 149 S Briggs St | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3335 Arapahoe Rd Ste 10 3335 Arapahoe Rd Ste 10 | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 2120 Village Vista Drive #140 | open |
| Echo Brewing and Pizzeria | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 600 Briggs St | open |
| Erie Coffee Roasters | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3000 Airport Dr Unit 307 | open | |
| Erie Social Club | Bar | 105 Wells St Ste 120 | open | |
| Foo Yung Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3160 Village Vista Dr #102 | open |
| FOX•DOG COFFEE | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 515 Briggs St | open |
| Fuego Azteca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 605 Briggs St | open |
| Gaucho De Argentina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 656 Kattell St | open |
| Industrial Revolution Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | 285 Cheeseman Street | open | |
| Java Island | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 3180 Village Vista Dr | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2120 Village Vista Dr Ste 170 | open |
| Lazy Dog Erie Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3100 Village Vista Dr | open | |
| Lola's Kitchen Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 150 Wells St | open | |
| Lucile's Creole Cafe Lucile's Creole Cafe of Denver | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 554 Briggs St | open |
| Masters Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 2700 Vista Pkwy | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3650 State Highway 52 | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | I 25 Hwy 52 | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1853 CO-7 | open |
| Miners Tavern & Taphouse | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 524 Briggs St | open | |
| Nosh Sandwich Shop | Other | Sandwiches | Briggs St. | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3140 village vista | open |
| Pho-ever | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 680 MITCHELL, Ste 120 | open | |
| Pinocchio's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 3768 State Highway 52 | open |
| Piripi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Spanish / tapas | 615 Briggs St Ste C | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Chicken / wings | 2149 Highway 7 | open |
| Rocky Mountain Ramen | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 3336 Arapahoe Rd Unit D | open |
| Rumbo 52 Cocina & Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3768 State Hwy 52 | open |
| Sakura Sushi Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 3120 Village Vista Dr | open |
| Si Senor Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3120 Village Vista Dr | open |
| Sinister Bakers | Bakery | Bakery | 317 Conrad Dr | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2223 Highway 7 | open |
| Ssi Senor Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3120 Village Vista Dr Unit 100 | open | |
| Stacy's Kitchen | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery | Sandwiches · Bakery | 235 Cheesman St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3652 Reliance Dr | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1891 Highway 7 | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 690 Mitchell Way | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 3335 Arapahoe Rd Unit 50 | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3652 Reliance Drive, Highway 52 And I-25 | open |
| Sweet Emily's BBQ LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 3768 State Hwy 52 | open |
| Sweet Pearls | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies | 3120 Village Vista Dr | open |
| Sweets Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 502 Briggs St | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2375 W 168th Ave | open |
| Tacos El Rey | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3336 Arapahoe Rd | open |
| The Dugout Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American | 149 S Briggs St | open |
| The Handlebar Factory & Tap Room | Bar | 4035 NE County Line Rd | open | |
| The Lazy Dog Sports Bar and Grill Lazy Dog Restaurants | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 3100 Village Vista Dr | open |
| The Old Mine | Bar · Casual dining | Pizza | 500 Briggs St | open |
| The Rusty Melon | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 615 Mitchell Way #100b | open |
| The Sugar Cookie Store | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 235 Cheesman St | open |
| The Weedhart Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 445 Briggs St | open |
| Travelin' Tom's Coffee of SE Boulder | Café | Coffee | 2257 Holly Dr # A | open |
| VDG Global | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 684 Mason St | open |
| Voltage Coffee Supply | Coffee shop | Coffee | open | |
| Wapos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 524 Briggs St | open |
| Zaika Indian Cuisine - Erie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 51 Erie Pkwy | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 3333 Arapahoe Rd | open |
| Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3450 State Hwy 52 | open |
| Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 331 Milan Pl | open |
| Blackdog Coffee Shop | Coffee shop | Coffee | 3160 Village Vista Dr Unit 100 | closed |
| Sweets Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3120 Village Vista Dr Unit 104 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 5 | 4 | 4 | — | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 17 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 23 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 22 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 17 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 21 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 25 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 29 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 36 | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
| ZCTA | Distance | Restaurants | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80514 | 3.7 mi | 5 | 2023 |