BMIE Market 80615

Weld County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,060 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,102 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,402 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±371 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,482 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,930 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$107,308 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,949 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,560 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±748 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$522,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47,977 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	105.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80615
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+275.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.42) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80615. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.42, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.5	76	40%	+30.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.3	66	35%	+23.2
Market Momentum Score	82.6	83	25%	+20.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,060	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	107,308	85	40%	+34.1
Households (ACS)	3,402	69	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.6	47	25%	+11.8
Population (ACS)	9,060	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	107,308	85	20%	+17.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	36.4	87	50%	+43.3
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	275	96	20%	+19.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · American 4 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Quick service 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&w Restaurant	Quick service		680 Oak Ave	open
Bau Lan Lenh Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 2nd St	open
Bulzomi Brewing Co	Brewery / taproom · Bar		208 Oak Ave	open
Casa Maria Mexican Kitchen & Margaritas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	201 S Elm Ave	open
Cobblestone Lounge	Bar		485 S Elm Rd	open
Cornerstone Cafe	Café		130 1st St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	201 S. Elm Ave #209/210	open
Doug's Diner Eaton Doug's Diner Piney Creek Centennial	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	122 Oak Ave	open
Dragon Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	101 2nd St	open
Eaton Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	123 1st St	open
Eaton, CO Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	61 S Elm Ave	open
Elliott's Cafe Food Truck and Catering	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Coffee	222 1st St	open
Hot Rod Coffee and Ice Cream Parlor	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	215 1st St	open
Ice Cream Shop	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	201 S Elm Ave	open
Justine's Pizza Eaton Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		241 S Elm Ave Unit 3	open
McCarty's at Eaton Country Club	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	37661 Co Rd 39	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	55 S Oak B	open
Mountain Morsels	Dessert	Dessert	126 1st St Ste 1	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	61 S Elm Ave	open
Sheaf And Kettle Brewing	Brewery / taproom		208 Oak Ave	open
Shelley's Sweet Indulgence	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	365 Ponderosa Ave	open
Smokin' Bros Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	241 S Elm Ave Unit 3	open
Steven's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	131 1st St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	201 S Elm Ave Unit 1	open
Sugar House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	226 Oak Ave	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	110 Collins Ave	open
Tacos el bajio	Food truck · Quick service		151 Oak Ave	open
The Baking Mama	Bakery	Bakery	39340 Boulevard D	open
The Coffee Canteen, Llc	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	201 S Elm Ave	open
Tradecraft Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	108 Oak Ave	open
Venezia Italian Restaurant & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	130 1st St	open
Video Bisz	Restaurant (service type not stated)		402 Oak Ave	open
Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	380 S Elm Ave	open
Victoria's Tea Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)		218 Oak Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	1	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	6	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	7	5	—	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	—	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	5	5	—	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	1	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	9	2	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	14	5	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	15	5	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	16	5	8	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	15	4	7	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80615. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.