BMIE Market 80620

Weld County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,798 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±393 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,576 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±376 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,775 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,477 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,590 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,168 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	30.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,530 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±134 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$341,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,674 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80620
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-17.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+35.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+137.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+280.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 18–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.40) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80620. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.40, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.6	70	40%	+27.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.2	72	35%	+25.3
Market Momentum Score	47.2	47	25%	+11.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,798	82	40%	+32.8
Median household income (ACS)	73,590	53	40%	+21.1
Households (ACS)	6,576	78	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	35%	+26.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.1	76	25%	+18.9
Population (ACS)	20,798	82	20%	+16.4
Median household income (ACS)	73,590	53	20%	+10.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-17.4	14	50%	+7.1
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	30%	+22.6
20-year restaurant growth	137.5	88	20%	+17.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (57)

By cuisine

Mexican 14 · Latin American (other) 9 · American 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Asian 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Quick service 8 · Bar 7 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Absolem Hookah Lounge	Bar		3313 35th Ave Unit D	open
Almansitas Mexican Foo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	3729 Valley View Ave	open
Almanzas Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	3520 11th Ave	open
Average Joes Grill and Chill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	General Delivery	open
Carniceria Las 4 Americas	Specialty food shop	Mexican	3505 11th Ave	open
Chili Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	3623 23rd Ave	open
Cuevas Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2812 11th Ave	open
Cultura Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1012 37th St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3304 37th Street Unit 4	open
Doner Street	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · European	3100 11th Ave	open
Donuts Factory	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	3313 35th Ave	open
Double Clutch Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	675 31st St	open
E-Town 85 Nutrition CO	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	702 35th St	open
El Coco Pirata El Coco Pirata Mariscos & Sushi Restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Sushi · Latin American (other) · Japanese	2812 11th Ave	open
El Tacorriendo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1012 37th St	open
El Tropicana Sports Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		3520 11th Ave	open
Floridarado	Quick service		2903 37th St	open
Frida Grill and Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2903 37th St	open
GENESIS BAKING CO	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3610 35TH Ave Unit 8	open
Genesis Baking Co	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery	1601 37th St	open
Get Fit Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	2903 37th St	open
Green Mill Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		3419 State St	open
Hiroshi Teriyaki Grill Hiroshi Teriyaki Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	3304 37th St Unit #2	open
Klutzy's Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2903 37th St	open
La Chapina Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	3615 23rd Ave	open
La Espiga Dorada	Bakery	Bakery	3601 11th Ave	open
Lit'l Bit Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	3620 35th Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3230 23rd Ave #322	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		3100 Southgate Dr.	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3201 23rd Ave	open
Mi Fiesta Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3610 35th Ave Unit 8	open
Mi Gallo Giro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3721 W Service Rd	open
Palomino Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3390 23rd Ave	open
Panaderia La Mexicana	Bakery	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Bakery	2918 11th Ave	open
Panaderia Quetzal	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Latin American (other)	3607 23rd Ave	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3217 23rd Ave	open
Pizza Street	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3505 11th Ave	open
Pizza Street	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2907 37th St Unit B	open
Roasty’s Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	3100 11th Ave	open
Roma - Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3625 23rd Ave	open
Sabor a Mi Tierra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3230 23rd Ave #200	open
Schwartz's Krautburger Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	820 39th St	open
Sinaloa en el Norte	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2214 36th St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	3300 23Rd Avenue	open
South Philly Cheese Steaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2903 37th St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3341 23rd Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3250 23rd Ave	open
Ta'Contento	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2918 11th Ave	open
Tacos el faceto	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1104 42nd St	open
Tamales from Heaven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3219 23rd Ave	open
Taqueria Queretana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2909 37th St	open
The Human Bean The Human Bean	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies	3310 23rd Ave	open
The Yard at 3520	Casual dining · Bar	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3520 11th Ave	open
TightKnit Brewing Co	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3940 Carson Ave	open
Uncle Willy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	3636 23rd Ave	open
Ziggi's Coffee Ziggi's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3490 37th St	open
Drj Restaurant Solutions Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3201 23rd Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	9	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	9	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	12	10	5	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	12	10	4	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	13	13	7	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	18	15	7	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	17	14	8	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	19	17	7	6	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	20	18	8	6	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	15	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	17	16	9	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	7	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	17	16	8	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	21	20	11	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	23	11	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	21	11	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	20	10	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	21	12	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	18	10	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	19	8	8	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80620. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80634	4.5 mi	121	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.