BMIE Market 80817

El Paso County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	31,241 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±486 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,228 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±513 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,311 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,963 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$86,543 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,047 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	30.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,717 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±162 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$400,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,271 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	115.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	50 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80817
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+19.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+194.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+257.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	55 (range 51–59) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.82) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80817. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.82, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.3	81	40%	+32.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.6	69	35%	+24.0
Market Momentum Score	77.3	77	25%	+19.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	31,241	90	40%	+35.9
Median household income (ACS)	86,543	70	40%	+27.9
Households (ACS)	11,228	88	20%	+17.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28.2	70	35%	+24.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16	49	25%	+12.3
Population (ACS)	31,241	90	20%	+17.9
Median household income (ACS)	86,543	70	20%	+14.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	19.1	77	50%	+38.3
10-year restaurant growth	28.2	70	30%	+20.9
20-year restaurant growth	194.1	91	20%	+18.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (99)

By cuisine

American 23 · Sandwiches 13 · Coffee 10 · Mexican 10 · Pizza 10 · Asian 8 · Burgers 8 · Bakery 6 · Chicken / wings 6 · Breakfast 5 · Chinese 5 · Dessert 4 · BBQ 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 51 · Quick service 39 · Casual dining 11 · Bar 10 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&w Restaurant	Quick service		6660 Camden Blvd	open
All Star Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	729 Dale St	open
Anchors Country Bar	Bar		606 S Santa Fe Ave	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6428 S. Hwy. 85/87	open
Arashi Sushi Hibachi & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	8035 Fountain Mesa Rd Ste 130	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7010 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
Arellano ‘S TACOS	Quick service · Food truck	Mexican	102 N Santa Fe Ave	open
Bell and Haligan Tavern	Bar		972 Legend Oak Dr	open
Bird Dog BBQ Bird Dog BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	6965 Mesa Ridge Pkwy #190	open
Biscuits Cafe @ Tomahawk Truck Plaza	Café	Coffee	I-25	open
Black Bear Diner Black Bear Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	6715 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
BluTaco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	8005 Fountain Mesa Rd	open
Borriello Brothers Real New York Pizza #3	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5180 Fontaine Blvd	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American	6877 Mesa Ridge Parkway	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	6770 Camden Blvd	open
C'Mon Inn	Casual dining · Bar		711 Dale St	open
Cameron Cone	Quick service · Dessert · Brewery / taproom	Dessert		open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	7945 Fountain Mesa Rd	open
Cheesy Dogs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	6679 Camden Blvd	open
Chick-Fil-A	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	719 E Ohio Ave	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	7925 Fountain Mesa Rd	open
China Cottage	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese · Chinese	7040 S U.S. Hwy 85 87	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		6250 Timber Rail Pt	open
Colorado Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Sandwiches · Cajun, Creole, Southern	6679 Camden Blvd	open
Colorados Best Tamales	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	402 Royalty Pl	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	8065 Fountain Mesa Road	open
Dad & Son's Kettle Corn	Food truck		15220 Demmler Rd	open
Dairy Queen / Orange Julius Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7010 S US Highway 85-87	open
Dave's Hot Chicken Dave's Hot Chicken	Quick service		6235 Sawcut Point	open
Denny's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	6715 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	6890 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's	Quick service		412 Royalty Place	open
Dragon King Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6867 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service · Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	6650 Mesa Ridge Pky	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6140 Timber Rail Point	open
El Super Taco El Super Taco - Colorado Springs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6965 Mesa Ridge Pkwy #160	open
Fountain Creek Winery and Eatery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		606 S Santa Fe Ave	open
FreshlyColorado	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	721 Dale St	open
Godfather's Pizza Express Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5505 TRAVEL PLAZA DRIVE	open
Honey Tea and Me	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	117 S Main St	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	6450 S U.S. Hwy 85 87	open
Island Style BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	10680 Charter Oak Ranch Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	6314 S Us Highway 85-87	open
Jack In The Box Jack in the Box	Quick service	Burgers · American	6314 S US Highway 85-87	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	6825 Mesa Ridge Parkway Ste. 150	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	7965 Fountain Mesa Rd Suite 100	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6660 Camden Ave	open
Korean Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	8025 Fountain Mesa Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6965 Mesa Ridge Pkwy SUITE 150	open
Luchals Luchals	Catering	Seafood · American	6436 S. US HWY 85/87 SUITE M	open
Luchals Luchals	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Healthy / salads / bowls · American	6436 S U.S. Hwy 85 87 M	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6950 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	105 Plaza Blvd	open
Noodles and Company Noodles & Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · American	6825 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
Nourish Organic Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1447 River Dr	open
Olde Town Coffee Shop \| Fountain, Colorado	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	105 S Santa Fe Ave	open
Olde World Bagel	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	6881 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
Olson's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	412 Royalty Pl	open
Omelets Etc. Omelets Etc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	6970 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	6316 S Us Hwy 85-87	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6710 Camden Blvd	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8031 fountain mesa rd	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6965 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
Pat's Local Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		412 Royalty Pl # 2026	open
Peaks N Pines Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		212 W Illinois Ave	open
Pho Toi Vietnamese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Vietnamese · Asian	6320 US-85	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6859 Mesa Ridge Pkwy El Paso	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6610 Camden Blvd	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	6666 Camden Blvd	open
Rookies Taphouse and Eatery	Casual dining · Bar		8017 Fountain Mesa Rd	open
Semiconductor Test Fixtures Company Dba Stf Solutions, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3 Carson Cir	open
Shipley Do-Nuts Shipley Do-Nuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	7955 Fountain Mesa Rd #100	open
Sliced, Bagels and More	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	115 S Main St	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	6875 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7005 Mesa Ridge Parkway	open
Sourdough & Co. Fountain CO Sourdough & Co. Modesto H Street	Other	Sandwiches	6235 Sawcut Point Suite 120	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	6845 Mesa Ridge Parkway	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	6255 Sawcut Point	open
Stella's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	412 Royalty Pl	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	102 S Santa Fe Ave	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5505 Travel Plaza Drive	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6871 Mesa Ridge Pkwy Unit B-8	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6605 Camden Blvd	open
Sunnyside Catering And Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	221 S Santa Fe Ave	open
Szechuan Panda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6928 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		6895 Mesa Ridge Parkway	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	6905 Mesa Ridge Parkway	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	6610 Camden Blvd	open
Taco Salsa 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	402 Royalty Pl	open
Tacos Del Gordo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5180 Fontaine Blvd	open
The Wolf's Den	Bar		6318 S US Highway 85-87	open
Timber Rail Point Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6140 Timber Rail Point	open
Tomahawk Truck Stop Roady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1103 Santa Fe Ave.	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	6310 S US Highway 85-87	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6464 Highway 85 87	open
Western Omelette 2	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	311 N Santa Fe Ave	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	6922 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian	6925 Mesa Ridge Pkwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	14	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	20	16	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	21	15	5	10	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	21	15	5	10	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	22	17	6	11	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	21	16	6	10	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	22	16	4	11	1	5	NAICS1997
2003	22	17	5	11	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	27	19	6	11	2	6	NAICS2002
2005	32	25	7	16	2	5	NAICS2002
2006	27	22	6	14	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	32	25	5	17	3	4	NAICS2002
2008	36	30	7	21	1	5	NAICS2007
2009	38	33	9	23	1	4	NAICS2007
2010	38	31	7	23	1	5	NAICS2007
2011	35	30	8	21	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	39	34	9	23	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	45	39	10	24	4	4	NAICS2012
2014	42	38	11	22	4	4	NAICS2012
2015	42	35	9	22	4	5	NAICS2012
2016	43	36	8	24	4	5	NAICS2012
2017	46	41	9	28	4	3	NAICS2017
2018	48	42	11	28	3	4	NAICS2017
2019	48	42	12	27	3	4	NAICS2017
2020	50	44	13	28	3	4	NAICS2017
2021	51	46	13	29	4	3	NAICS2017
2022	52	47	12	29	6	3	NAICS2022
2023	57	50	12	30	8	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80817. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.