BMIE Market 80829

El Paso County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,312 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±345 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,670 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±260 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,476 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,038 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,275 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,806 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,283 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±114 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$572,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,826 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	20.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80829
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	47.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-3.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-3.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+13.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+13.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 19–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	27 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80829. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.4	67	40%	+27.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.3	37	35%	+13.1
Market Momentum Score	26.6	27	25%	+6.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,312	61	40%	+24.6
Median household income (ACS)	91,275	74	40%	+29.8
Households (ACS)	2,670	65	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-3.9	22	35%	+7.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	47.1	11	25%	+2.6
Population (ACS)	5,312	61	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	91,275	74	20%	+14.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 27 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-3.9	24	50%	+11.9
10-year restaurant growth	-3.9	22	30%	+6.5
20-year restaurant growth	13.6	42	20%	+8.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

Coffee 15 · American 12 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Breakfast 4 · Pizza 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · African 1 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Bar 14 · Café 14 · Coffee shop 9 · Dessert 7 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adam's Mountain Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	26 Manitou Ave	open
Adams Mountain Cafe	Café	American · Coffee · Breakfast	934 Manitou Ave	open
Babu's Kitchen & Bar	Bar	Indian	915 Manitou Ave	open
Balanced Rock Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	324 Beckers Ln side	open
Bliss Booch	Restaurant (service type not stated)		112 Ruxton Ave	open
Blue Vervain Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		56 Park Ave	open
Border Burger Bar Border Burger Bar	Bar	Burgers · American	934 Manitou Ave	open
Briarhurst Manor Estate Briarhurst Manor Estate	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	404 Manitou Ave	open
Cliff House Dining Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	306 Canon Ave	open
Colorado Custard Company	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American	906 Manitou Ave Unit 100	open
Craftwood Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	404 El Paso Blvd	open
Crystal Park Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	178 Crystal Park Rd	open
Dutch Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1025 Manitou Ave	open
Goldminers Nuts & Candy	Dessert	Dessert	110 Canon Ave	open
Good Karma Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Breakfast	110 Canon Ave	open
Heart of Jerusalem Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	718 Manitou Ave	open
Inclination Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	124 Ruxton Ave	open
Irish Investments And Securities, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		26 Manitou Ave	open
Jade Dynasty Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		106 Manitou Ave Ste C	open
Kinfolks	Bar		950 Manitou Ave	open
Loft	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	934 Manitou Ave	open
Manitou Baked	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Bakery	112 Ruxton Ave	open
Manitou Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		725 Manitou Ave	open
Manitou French Pastries	Bakery	Bakery	1141 Manitou Ave	open
Manitou Thai & Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	819 Manitou Ave	open
Manitou Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		934 Manitou Ave	open
Mavi Kebab and Turkish Doner	Quick service		722 Manitou Ave	open
Mia's Sweet Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	906 Manitou Ave UNIT 101	open
Mission Bell Inn	Café	Coffee	178 Crystal Park Rd	open
Mo's Diner and Lounge	Casual dining · Bar	American	108 Manitou Ave	open
Mona's Cellar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	European	733 Manitou Ave	open
Norbu's Himalayan Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)		915 Manitou Ave	open
Patsy's Candy & Gift Shop	Dessert	Dessert	930 Manitou Ave	open
Pikes Peak Chocolate and Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	805 Manitou Ave	open
PJ's Stagecoach Inn	Casual dining · Bar	American	702 Manitou Ave	open
Red Dog Coffee and Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	739 Manitou Ave	open
Red Mountain Bar & Grill	Bar		306 Cañon Avenue	open
Rocky Mountain Beignets	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	724 Manitou Ave	open
Royal Tavern	Bar		924 Manitou Ave	open
Ruffrano's Hell's Kitchen Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9 Ruxton Ave	open
Sahara Cafe	Café	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean · Coffee	954 Manitou Ave	open
Savelli's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	301 Manitou Ave	open
Soupwerks at The Mac	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	515 Manitou Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	302 Manitou Ave	open
Sunrise Restaurant Cafe’ In Manitou	Coffee shop	Coffee	107 Manitou Ave	open
Swirl Restaurant and Wine Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		717 Manitou Ave	open
Tajine Alami	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	10 Old Mans Trl	open
Tava Truck	Food truck		514 El Paso Blvd	open
The Candy Bar in Manitou	Dessert		740 Manitou Ave	open
The Hollow	Bar		719 Manitou Ave	open
The Keg Lounge	Casual dining · Bar		730 Manitou Ave	open
The Kitchen	Casual dining	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1025 Manitou Ave	open
The Loft	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	110 Cañon Ave	open
The Loop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	965 Manitou Ave	open
The Mate Factor Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	966 Manitou Ave	open
The Pikes Peak Pub	Bar		962 Manitou Ave	open
Toasted	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	718 Manitou Ave	open
Totally Nuts and Company	Dessert		919 Manitou Ave	open
Townhouse Sports Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	907 Manitou Ave	open
Uncle Sam's Pancake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	341 Manitou Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	26	22	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	22	18	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	24	21	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	26	20	16	2	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	27	21	17	2	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	26	21	17	2	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	24	19	16	2	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	27	24	19	3	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	24	22	18	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	25	23	19	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	21	19	16	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	25	22	17	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	24	22	18	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	27	25	20	3	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	27	26	19	3	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	28	26	21	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	29	27	21	4	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	33	29	22	4	3	2	NAICS2012
2013	29	26	20	3	3	2	NAICS2012
2014	32	29	21	4	4	2	NAICS2012
2015	29	24	18	3	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	27	22	16	3	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	28	24	17	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	26	18	3	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	25	17	3	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	29	25	18	3	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	28	25	20	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	23	17	3	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	27	25	18	3	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80829. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80904	4.1 mi	56	2023
80809	4.4 mi	1	2013

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.