BMIE Market 80840

El Paso County, Colorado · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,727 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±609 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	706 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±89 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,682 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	721 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$69,474 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,777 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	21.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±0 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,264 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	23.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	Not published for this ZIP 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 80840
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2011 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2021	3 (range 1–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 1994–2016 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.48) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 80840. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 1994–2016, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.48, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Colorado and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 390, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.0	53	40%	+21.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.7	72	35%	+25.1
Market Momentum Score	92.1	92	25%	+23.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,727	65	40%	+26.0
Median household income (ACS)	69,474	46	40%	+18.4
Households (ACS)	706	43	20%	+8.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.0	97	25%	+37.5
Population (ACS)	6,727	65	20%	+20.0
Median household income (ACS)	69,474	46	20%	+14.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 92 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+68.6
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+23.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Pizza 2 · Breakfast 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2302 Cadet Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	2354 Fairchild Dr	open
Dunkin'	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4102 Pinion Dr	open
Falcon Club At The Air Force Academy	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3116 Academy Dr	open
Frothy Monkey Frothy Monkey	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	Permanently Closed	open
Godfathers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2302 Cadet Dr	open
La Areperia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	Conroe	open
Lucy's Armenian-mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	2302 Cadet Dr	open
Polaris Perk	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2302 Cadet Dr	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	Bldg. 2354, Fairchild Drive	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	Visitors Center Bldg 2316	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	Cadet Dormitory Food Court, Arnold Hall	open
Sugar & Shenanigans	Dessert	Dessert	Sugar lane	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	5126 Community Center Dr	open
باتيسيري المملكة / Patisserie almmlkah	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	سوريا, Hama, Syria, 013	open
مطعم أبو خالد التركماني	Restaurant (service type not stated)		حمص / الحضارة homs / syria	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	2	—	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	2	—	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	2	—	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	2	—	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2022	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 80840. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
80921	4.9 mi	80	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.