BMIE Market 82604

Natrona County, Wyoming · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	27,487 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,015 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±452 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,882 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,874 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$79,118 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,616 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,160 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$288,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,416 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1,048.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 82604
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+4.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-3.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 22–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 82604. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Wyoming and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 97, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.7	77	40%	+30.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.7	66	35%	+23.0
Market Momentum Score	41.2	41	25%	+10.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	27,487	87	40%	+34.8
Median household income (ACS)	79,118	61	40%	+24.4
Households (ACS)	11,015	87	20%	+17.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	4.2	49	35%	+17.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.1	76	25%	+18.9
Population (ACS)	27,487	87	20%	+17.4
Median household income (ACS)	79,118	61	20%	+12.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	4.2	49	30%	+14.8
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (81)

By cuisine

American 15 · Coffee 13 · Sandwiches 9 · Mexican 7 · Bakery 6 · Pizza 6 · Asian 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 24 · Coffee shop 12 · Bar 8 · Café 8 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 3 · Other 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
7 Brew Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	3950 Denis Dr	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2407 Cy Ave	open
Backwards Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Bid's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4709 W Yellowstone Hwy	open
Blimpie	Quick service · Other	Sandwiches	285 Honeysuckle St	open
Blimpie	Quick service		3600 W Yellowstone Hwy	open
Blue Ridge Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	4601 Wyoming Blvd SW	open
Buckin Burrito LLC	Quick service		1910 Talc Rd	open
Buckin' Brew	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4789 W Yellowstone Hwy	open
Buffalo Bean	Coffee shop	Coffee	2925 Cy Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4051 CY Ave	open
Castle Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	1000-1198 S Boxelder St	open
Champs Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	400 Valley Dr	open
Champs Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1968 W Yellowstone Hwy	open
Champs Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1968 W Yellowstone Hwy	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4651 West Yellowstone Hwy.	open
City Brew Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3200 Talon Dr	open
D's Oregon Trail Bar	Bar		4618 W Yellowstone Hwy	open
Daylight Donuts Daylight Donuts	Quick service		4693 W Yellowstone Hwy	open
Deb's Fudge Kitchen	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	1925 Kearney Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3141 Sw Wyoming Blvd	open
Dorn's Fireside Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1745 Cy Ave	open
Down Turn Wings Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4035 Cy Ave	open
Evolution Services, LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		925 N Robertson Rd	open
FLOCKeats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3095 Talon Dr Ste 100	open
Full House \| Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3550 W Yellowstone Hwy	open
Fuzzy's Taco Shop Fuzzy's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	3243 Talon Dr Ste 400	open
G-ma's Diner	Casual dining	American	4755 W Yellowstone Hwy	open
Galloway's Pub & Bowling alley	Bar · Casual dining		2976 CY Ave	open
Ghost Town Trck Stop - Outside	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6680 W Yellowstone Hwy	open
Goose Egg Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10580 W Goose Egg Rd	open
Guadalajara Guadalajara Mexican Restaurant Cheyenne	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3350 CY Ave	open
Hardy's Shave Ice	Dessert · Bakery	Bakery	4611 Arroyo Dr	open
Hideaway Bar & Package	Bar		211 Riverview Ave	open
Horseshoe Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		7515 W Yellowstone Hwy	open
How You Bean Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	2300 Cy Ave	open
J's Pub & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	3201 Wyoming Blvd SW	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3095 Talon Drive Suite 200	open
Komma Club Calves	Bar		715 Harding Ave	open
Kopper Kettle	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5038 W Lafayette St	open
Korovai	Bakery	Bakery	1415 W 29th St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	6680 W Yellowstone Hwy #26	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3320 CY Ave	open
Ludovico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3095 Talon Dr	open
M & H Music Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Greek	3420 S Coffman Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4010 Plaza Drive	open
Oasis Ethnobotanicals	Coffee shop	Coffee	4621 CY Ave	open
Papa John's Papa John's	Quick service		5585 W YELLOWSTONE HWY	open
Papa Murphy's \| Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4030 Plaza Drive	open
Paradise Valley Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	5795 Cy Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3738 Cy Ave Natrona	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Poncho's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3700 CY Ave	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service		3700 Cy Ave	open
Potential MW	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	17400 Old Oregon Trail Rd	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4009 CY Ave Casper	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	2008 Cy Ave	open
S Boxelder St & CY Ave Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1151 Cy Ave	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1151 CY Ave	open
Shifters	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1850 Cy Ave	open
Shogun Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3095 Talon Dr Ste 400	open
Silver Fox Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	3422 Energy Ln	open
Sky Terrace Restaurant and Lounge Casper	Bar	American	8500 Airport Pkwy	open
Smokin Hot Butts BBQ	Catering	BBQ · American	2460 Belmont Rd	open
Soda Springs Drinks	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4461 W Hwy St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4003 CY Ave	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1076 CY Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4255 Cy Ave Wyoming Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2711 Cy Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	8500 Airport Pkwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3340 C-Y Ave	open
Taco John's Taco John's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4035 Plaza Dr	open
Taco John's Taco John's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3533 W Yellowstone Hwy	open
The Dog House	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	1031 W 14th St	open
The Filling Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1601 King Blvd	open
TJ's Bar & Grill	Bar		2024 Cy Ave	open
Walmart Bakery	Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	4255 Cy Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1111 Cy Avenue	open
WyoPhilly Food Truck	Food truck	Sandwiches · American	4800 Oregon Trail Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1076 CY Ave	open
The Little Blue Drive Thru Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4461 W Highway St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	27	26	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	26	25	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	23	21	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	30	27	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	29	25	13	12	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	32	26	15	11	—	5	NAICS1997
2000	31	25	11	14	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	31	24	11	13	—	6	NAICS1997
2002	32	24	12	10	2	6	NAICS1997
2003	28	25	12	11	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	30	26	12	12	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	34	28	14	12	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	34	28	14	12	2	4	NAICS2002
2007	33	28	11	14	3	3	NAICS2002
2008	34	29	8	18	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	35	30	7	18	5	3	NAICS2007
2010	32	26	6	17	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	32	27	6	16	5	3	NAICS2007
2012	32	25	8	12	5	4	NAICS2012
2013	29	24	8	11	5	3	NAICS2012
2014	28	22	8	10	4	3	NAICS2012
2015	28	22	7	10	5	3	NAICS2012
2016	33	26	9	11	6	3	NAICS2012
2017	31	24	8	10	6	3	NAICS2017
2018	32	25	9	11	5	3	NAICS2017
2019	36	28	11	12	5	3	NAICS2017
2020	34	28	10	11	7	3	NAICS2017
2021	30	25	7	11	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	23	7	11	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	25	7	12	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 82604. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.