BMIE Market 83607

Canyon County, Idaho · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,491 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,927 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,807 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±655 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,732 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,877 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$85,399 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,976 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,483 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±166 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$426,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,033 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	230.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 83607
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	0.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+88.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+240.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+183.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,600.0% DERIVED: 1998 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.85) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	90 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	95 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 83607. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.85, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Idaho and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 192, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.9	82	40%	+32.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89.8	90	35%	+31.4
Market Momentum Score	94.9	95	25%	+23.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,491	92	40%	+36.8
Median household income (ACS)	85,399	68	40%	+27.4
Households (ACS)	11,807	89	20%	+17.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	240	99	35%	+34.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.8	92	25%	+23.1
Population (ACS)	35,491	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	85,399	68	20%	+13.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 95 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	88.9	94	50%	+47.1
10-year restaurant growth	240	99	30%	+29.6
20-year restaurant growth	183.3	91	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (49)

By cuisine

Bakery 6 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Pizza 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · American 1 · Asian 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Winery / distillery / taproom 18 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 9 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 7 · Quick service 7 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Armsand Llp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		500 Sand Hollow Rd	open
Bitner Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		16645 Plum Rd	open
Black Kettle Pies	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery	5104 S 10th Ave	open
Cuesta Sol Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		16385 Cuesta Sol Ln	open
Cupcake Bounce & Party Rentals	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	Emmett rd	open
Delicia's Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	6121 Cleveland Blvd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	5720 Cleveland Blvd. Suite 101	open
Enrose School	Bar			open
Famici Wine Company	Winery / distillery / taproom		21026 Hoskins Rd	open
Free Dog Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		15593 Sunnyslope Rd	open
Fujishin Family Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		15593 Sunnyslope Rd	open
Garbonzo's Pizza Caldwell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	1404 E Homedale Rd	open
Goatstar Donuts and Coffee	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	5720 Cleveland Blvd Ste 111	open
Hells Canyon Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		18835 Symms Rd	open
Huston Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		16473 Chicken Dinner Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5102 E. Cleveland Boulevard	open
Kindred Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		14253 Frost Rd	open
Koenig Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		20928 Grape Ln	open
Koenig Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		21452 Hoskins Rd	open
Koenig Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		15918 Karcher Road	open
La Mexicana Bakery LLC	Bakery	Bakery	5216 Cleveland Blvd Ste C	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5205 Cleveland Blvd	open
LML Trucking LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15498 S Montana Ave	open
M&G NUTRITION	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	5214 Cleveland Blvd	open
Mariscos El Pariente	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	5216 Cleveland Blvd B	open
Mi Linda Michoacana Paleteria & Neveria Ice Cream & Popsicle	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5216 Cleveland Blvd	open
Midway Cafe Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6124 Cleveland Blvd	open
Mountainland Apples	Bar		19692 Williamson Ln	open
Our Happy Mind	Dessert		14906 Eagle Dr	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	5210 Cleveland Blvd.	open
Rise & Grind Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	15948 Riverside Rd	open
Ruszoni's Pizza Caldwell	Restaurant (service type not stated)		313 Isaiah Way Ste 102	open
Sawtooth Winery Sawtooth Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		19348 Lowell Rd Building C	open
SCORIA Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		12639 Walker Lake Rd	open
Short Stop, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15722 Riverside Rd	open
Specht Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	807 Specht Ave.	open
Ste. Chapelle Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		19348 Lowell Rd	open
The Orchard House	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	14949 Sunny Slope Rd	open
The Slope Organic Farm	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		13402 Sunny Slope Rd	open
Tropical Sno J & B Hawaiin Sno	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	Cleveland Blvd	open
Twisted Butler	Bar · Coffee shop	Coffee	16088 Settlement Ln	open
Vale Wine Company	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		15343 Plum Rd	open
Vine and Branch Ranch	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		20021 Hoskins Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	5108 Cleveland Blvd	open
Walmart Caldwell, ID Wetzel's Pretzels	Quick service		5108 Cleveland Blvd, Caldwell, Idaho, 83607	open
Wetzels pretzels Wetzel's Pretzels	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	4419 Ironborn St	open
Williamson Orchards & Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		14807 Sunnyslope Rd	open
Midway Lunch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	6124 Cleveland Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1998	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	3	3	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	5	3	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	4	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	4	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	6	4	1	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	9	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	13	7	4	3	—	4	NAICS2012
2016	12	8	5	3	—	3	NAICS2012
2017	8	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	10	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	14	—	8	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	17	—	10	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 83607. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
83656	3.1 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.