BMIE Market 83634

Ada County, Idaho · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	36,286 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,025 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,535 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	24,494 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,623 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$97,171 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,707 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,690 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±191 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$432,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,237 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	156.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 83634
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+56.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+13.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+400.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+525.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 16–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 83634. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Idaho and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 192, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.8	86	40%	+34.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.5	75	35%	+26.4
Market Momentum Score	82.8	83	25%	+20.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	36,286	92	40%	+36.9
Median household income (ACS)	97,171	79	40%	+31.6
Households (ACS)	10,535	87	20%	+17.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	13.6	57	35%	+20.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.9	85	25%	+21.2
Population (ACS)	36,286	92	20%	+18.5
Median household income (ACS)	97,171	79	20%	+15.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	56.3	92	50%	+46.0
10-year restaurant growth	13.6	57	30%	+17.2
20-year restaurant growth	400	98	20%	+19.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (63)

By cuisine

Pizza 8 · American 7 · Mexican 7 · Coffee 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Peruvian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 17 · Bar 10 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Casual dining 4 · Food truck 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ace Cookies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2770 W Maribin Dr	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1549 E Profile Dr	open
Arctic Circle Arctic Circle Fry Sauce - THE Original!	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	710 E Avalon St	open
Best Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	366 N Ave B	open
Big Mic's Saloon & BBQ Smokehouse	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	459 W Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service		1482 E Deer Flat Road	open
Cafe Rio Cafe Rio Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1378 N Meridian Rd	open
Cinnabon Maverik - Kanab Cinnabon	Quick service		590 E 300 S	open
Cowgirls	Bar		353 Avenue E	open
Del Taco	Quick service		1035 N Jacksonmill Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1027 E. Kuna Rd	open
El Patio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	117 N Orch Ave	open
Enrique's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	345 N Ave E Ave	open
Fat Kid Cake Company	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	371 W Main St Ste 100	open
Fiesta Guadalajara - Kuna Fiesta Guadalajara Caldwell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	780 W Avalon St	open
Greenside Grill at Falcon Crest	Food truck		11102 S. Cloversale Rd.	open
Hudson Baking Co	Bakery	Bakery	291 N Avenue E	open
Idaho Pizza Company Idaho Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	331 N Ave E	open
Indian Creek Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1000 N McDermott Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1378 N. Meridian Road Suite 120	open
Krave	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	1327 N Meridian Rd Ste 130	open
Kuna’s Seasonal Sweet Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated)		189 N Linder Ave	open
Latte’ Da	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	762 E Wythe Creek Ct	open
Lima Limon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other)	379 W Main St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1565 E Deer Flat Rd	open
Longhorn Lounge	Bar		458 W Main St	open
Lunas Antojitos Stand	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		343 E Harris Hawk Dr	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1200 N Meridian Rd, Ste 130	open
Maria Bonita Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	397 W Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1311 N Meridian Road	open
Moxie Java Moxie Java	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	1575 N Linder Rd	open
Nocturno Lounge	Bar		353 N Ave E	open
Owyhee Vista Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		4420 E Kuna Rd	open
Panda Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	1309 N Jacksonmill Ave	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Quick service		1500 E Deer Flat Rd	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1545 Linder Rd	open
Pieology Pizzeria Kuna, ID	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1327 N Meridian Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	251 Avenue D Ada	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Quik Wok Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian · American	361 W Main St	open
Red Eye Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		414 W Main St	open
Reed's Dairy Kuna	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	1353 N Meridian Rd #103, Ste 103	open
Riceworks Sushi & Asian Fusion Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Steakhouse · Japanese	482 W Main St	open
River Six at Treasure Valley Social Club	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		11680 S Courage Ln	open
Sailor Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1151 E Cottage St.	open
Shock & Awe BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2542 N Kristy Ave	open
Smoky Mountain Pizzeria Grill Smoky Mountain	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	1011 N Meridian Rd	open
Snerk's	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	383 N Linder Ave	open
Sprinkles On Top	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	375 N Ave E	open
Starbucks Beans & Brews Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1403 N Meridian Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	820 E Avalon St	open
Super Food Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	2815 Kelmmer Ave N	open
Syringa Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		8991 S Greenhurst Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	985 N Meridian Rd	open
Tasty Thai	Food truck	Thai · Asian	392 E Avalon St	open
The Espresso Bar	Coffee shop	Coffee	439 W Main St	open
The Southern	Bar		333 N Ave C	open
The Sugar Cube Cottage	Dessert	Dessert	1375 N Meridian Rd	open
Tito's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1403 N Meridian Rd	open
Victorias Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	397 W Main St	open
Vizcaya Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		8987 S Greenhurst Rd #1105	open
Voluptuous Vittles	Food truck · Quick service		704 W 4th St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	871 N Meridian Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	4	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	8	4	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	8	5	3	2	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	10	6	5	1	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	7	4	3	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	8	5	3	2	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	10	7	3	3	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	9	6	2	2	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	11	7	2	3	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	14	10	5	3	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	18	13	4	5	4	3	NAICS2002
2008	24	18	6	6	6	4	NAICS2007
2009	21	15	5	6	4	4	NAICS2007
2010	21	15	5	6	4	3	NAICS2007
2011	24	18	8	6	4	3	NAICS2007
2012	27	19	8	6	4	4	NAICS2012
2013	27	22	10	7	4	3	NAICS2012
2014	20	17	8	7	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	23	18	8	8	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	22	19	8	8	3	2	NAICS2012
2017	23	16	7	6	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	24	16	6	7	3	4	NAICS2017
2019	22	16	5	7	4	3	NAICS2017
2020	23	16	5	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	19	7	8	4	3	NAICS2017
2022	32	22	8	9	5	3	NAICS2022
2023	41	25	8	14	3	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 83634. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.