BMIE Market 83686

Canyon County, Idaho · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	60,993 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,476 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	20,536 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±746 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	46,224 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	16,819 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$86,518 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,450 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,361 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±46 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$430,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	87.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 83686
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+127.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+355.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	46 (range 42–51) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 83686. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Idaho and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 192, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.9	87	40%	+34.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.4	79	35%	+27.8
Market Momentum Score	70.8	71	25%	+17.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	60,993	99	40%	+39.4
Median household income (ACS)	86,518	70	40%	+27.9
Households (ACS)	20,536	98	20%	+19.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28.1	70	35%	+24.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.7	85	25%	+21.4
Population (ACS)	60,993	99	20%	+19.7
Median household income (ACS)	86,518	70	20%	+14.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.9	65	50%	+32.5
10-year restaurant growth	28.1	70	30%	+20.9
20-year restaurant growth	127.8	87	20%	+17.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (82)

By cuisine

Coffee 11 · Pizza 10 · American 8 · Bakery 8 · Mexican 8 · Dessert 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Asian 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Italian 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Burgers 3 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Thai 2 · Breakfast 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Quick service 26 · Dessert 10 · Café 9 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Bar 4 · Delivery-focused 4 · Food truck 4 · Other 4 · Casual dining 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
12th Ave Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	624 12th Avenue Road	open
208 Yogurt Escape	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2414 12th Ave Rd	open
A Bar K Stables	Bar		11101 Emerald Rd	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	611 12th Avenue Rd	open
Awlot Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1331 12th Ave Rd Ste 103	open
Bella's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3222 E Mossy Cv St	open
Big Wave Yogurt	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Dessert	Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts	849 S Rising Sun Dr	open
Blimpie Blimpie America's Sub Shop	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1507 12th Ave Rd	open
Blue Sky Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3143 E Greenhurst Rd	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2310 12th Avenue Road	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2100 12th Ave Rd	open
Casa Robles	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3143 E Greenhurst Rd	open
Chapala Mexican Restaurant CHAPALA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2117 12th Ave Rd	open
Chicago Connection Chicago Connection	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	523 12th Ave Rd	open
CHICKENBALL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	172 E Maine Ave	open
Craft Tee Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1507 12th Ave Rd	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	1211 12th Ave Rd	open
Del Taco	Quick service		2121 12th Ave Road	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1807 12th Avenue Rd	open
DIPS - Hand Dipped Ice Cream Bars	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3193 E Greenhurst Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2934 E Greenhurst Road Ste G	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1011 12th Ave S	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		1211 12th Ave Rd	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	624 12th Avenue Road	open
Dutch Inn Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1120 12th Ave Rd	open
Fruit, Snacks And More	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Getaway Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		512 12th Ave Rd	open
Harvesters Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	138 S Midland Blvd	open
Hawaiian Hula Hands Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	172 E Maine Ave	open
Idaho Pizza Company Idaho Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	104 W Iowa Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		804 12th Ave Rd	open
Jamba Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery · Quick service · Café	Juice / smoothies · Bakery · Coffee	2025 12th Ave Rd	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	704 12th Ave Rd	open
JP Thailand Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	2025 12th Ave Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	145 Maine Avenue E	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	9031 Lake Shore Drive	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		224 S Holly St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	195 E Maine Ave	open
Mancino's Pizzas And Subs	Other	Sandwiches	126 S Midland Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1108 12th Ave Rd	open
Miss D'Arcy's Bakeshoppe	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7509 E Lewis Ln	open
Morning Cup	Coffee shop	Coffee	3112 E Greenhurst Rd	open
Moxie Java Moxie Java	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	2408 12th Ave Rd	open
Moxie Java - Nampa Southside Moxie Java	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3183 E Greenhurst Rd	open
Muy Bueno Fresh Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2220 Southside Blvd	open
Ol' Farmers Kettle Korn	Other · Dessert	Dessert	9111 Lake Shore Dr	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	1811 12th Ave Road	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2418 12th Avenue Road	open
Paradise Mexican & American Restaurant/Nampa ID	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	172 E Maine Ave	open
Pasta Pete Food Trucks	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	8460 Bennett Rd	open
Pita Pit (Nampa) - Temporarily Closed	Other	Sandwiches	2306 12th Ave Rd,	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2330 12th Ave Rd Canyon	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Rally Gorgeous	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	114 E Clark Ave	open
Redbatch Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2020 W Pine Creek Dr	open
Sarah's Bagel Cafe Sarah's Bagel Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	509 12th Ave Rd	open
Sizzlin' Stone Pizza	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2220 Southside Blvd	open
Skyline Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom		14707 Surrey Ln	open
Snake River Snow Co	Dessert	Dessert	2220 Southside Blvd	open
Soba Mongolian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · BBQ · Asian	517 12th Ave Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1109 12Th Avenue Road	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	1324 12th Ave Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2410 12th Avenue Road	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	604 12th Ave Rd	open
Sunrise Inn Sunrise Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	515 12th Ave Rd	open
Superb Sushi Thai Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Sushi · Japanese	2306 12th Ave Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	906 12th Avenue Road	open
Taco John's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	624 12th Ave Rd	open
Tacos El Zacatecano	Food truck	Mexican	9111 Lake Shore Dr	open
Taqueria La Flama #2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1807 12th Ave Rd	open
Taza Feliz Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	9111 Lake Shore Dr	open
Texas Technique Backyard BBQ	Food truck · Catering		1114 12th Avenue Rd	open
The Berracos Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Latin American (other)	517 12th Ave Rd	open
Tijelas Acai Cafe	Café	Coffee	1331 12th Ave Rd	open
Unruly Rum Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2207 W Rock Creek Dr	open
UpDog Street Food and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		421 12th Ave Road Nampa,ID	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2100 12th Ave Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	175 S Middleton Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	424 12th Ave Rd	open
Westside Pizza Westside Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3195 E Greenhurst Rd	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2025 12th Avenue Rd Ste 140	open
Happy Teriyaki - 12th Ave (maine Ave) - Nampa, Id	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	172 E Maine Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	21	18	3	12	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	20	16	2	11	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	20	18	5	9	4	—	NAICS1997
2001	22	18	4	10	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	24	18	6	10	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	24	18	6	12	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	23	17	7	10	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	18	14	5	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	22	18	5	11	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	30	22	6	14	2	3	NAICS2002
2008	34	27	6	18	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	35	28	5	19	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	38	29	8	18	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	35	28	8	18	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	38	31	9	19	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	41	32	7	21	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	41	32	7	20	5	2	NAICS2012
2015	41	34	9	20	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	46	39	11	21	7	1	NAICS2012
2017	42	36	9	21	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	44	38	10	22	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	45	39	10	23	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	39	35	9	19	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	46	40	9	24	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	49	41	7	26	8	—	NAICS2022
2023	48	41	7	26	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 83686. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.