BMIE Market 83703

Ada County, Idaho · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,583 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,204 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,871 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±364 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,565 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,912 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,910 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,983 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,432 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$508,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,413 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 83703
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-21.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-27.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-13.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 16–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.8 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	15 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 83703. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Idaho and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 192, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.1	71	40%	+28.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45.4	45	35%	+15.9
Market Momentum Score	15.2	15	25%	+3.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,583	79	40%	+31.7
Median household income (ACS)	76,910	58	40%	+23.2
Households (ACS)	7,871	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-21.2	13	35%	+4.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.8	53	25%	+13.4
Population (ACS)	17,583	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	76,910	58	20%	+11.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 15 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10.3	18	50%	+9.2
10-year restaurant growth	-21.2	13	30%	+3.9
20-year restaurant growth	-27.8	10	20%	+2.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

Coffee 9 · Bakery 7 · Mexican 5 · Dessert 4 · American 3 · Burgers 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Asian 2 · Japanese 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 9 · Café 8 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Delivery-focused 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amigos	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Latin American (other)	N 35th St	open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4740 W State St	open
Boise Bartenders	Bar		6100 W State St	open
Boise Juice Company Boise Juice Company	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	5628 W State St	open
Burger N Brew	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	4295 W State St	open
Caffè Sorrento	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	5624 W State St	open
Caffeina Roasting Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4774 W State St	open
Capitol Bar	Bar		6100 W State St	open
Chilangos Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3504 W State St	open
Crisp Food Truck	Food truck		Serving	open
CV Boise	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	4334 W State St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	5000 W State St	open
Eddie's Diner	Casual dining · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	3095 N Lakeharbor Ln	open
El Faro Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4628 W State St	open
Fattitude	Coffee shop	Coffee	2999 N Lakeharbor Ln Ste 110	open
Feast Foods Llc	Quick service		3220 W State St	open
Fireside Inn	Bar		1610 N 31st St #5923	open
Flying Pie Pizzaria State Street Flying Pie Pizzaria	Delivery-focused	Pizza · Italian	4320 W State St	open
Gyro Shack Gyro Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Greek	5602 W State St	open
Kibrom's Ethiopian and Eritrean Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	3506 W State St	open
Kiwi Shake & Bake	Bakery	Bakery	3250 N Lakeharbor Ln	open
La Catracha	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	7330 W State St	open
Marston Enterprises, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3310 W State St	open
MJ's Italian Ice and Custard Cafe	Dessert · Café	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	4103 W State St	open
Montego Bay	Bar		3000 N Lakeharbor Ln	open
Nanzaya	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	4628 W State St	open
New Garden Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4624 W State St	open
Pie-o-neer Pies	Bakery	Bakery	3250 N Lakeharbor Ln	open
Poppy Seed Bakery And Café	Café	Coffee	3910 W Hill Rd Ste 102	open
Redsea The Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3506 W State St Ste 100	open
River City Coffee & Cafe	Café	Coffee	5517 W State St	open
Sockeye Alehouse	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3823 N Garden Center Way	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3809 W State St	open
State Street Food Truck Lot	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3508 W State St	open
Stella's Ice Cream - State Street Stella’s Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4740 W State St	open
Subway	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	12795 Hwy 55, Sr 55	open
Susina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	European · German / Eastern European	1621 N Orchard St	open
Sweet Valley Cookie Co & Soda Shop	Bakery	Bakery	4103 W State St	open
SweetM's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3508 W State St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3377 West State	open
Terry's State Street Saloon	Bar		3301 N Collister Dr	open
The Dutch Goose	Bar		3515 W State St	open
The Human Bean The Human Bean	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4213 W State St	open
The Lift	Casual dining · Bar	American	4091 W State St	open
The Local The Local	Casual dining · Bar		5616 W State St	open
Vicious Pit BBQ	Catering	BBQ	4921 Hillside Ave	open
Viking Drive In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3790 W State St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3680 State Street	open
Wiki-licious Wiki-licious	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2774 N Lakeharbor Ln	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	3614 W State St	open
Nam King Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4624 W State St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	36	30	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	35	29	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	41	34	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	45	35	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1998	47	37	13	18	5	8	NAICS1997
1999	47	36	13	17	5	9	NAICS1997
2000	47	37	14	18	4	8	NAICS1997
2001	46	36	14	18	3	8	NAICS1997
2002	47	35	15	16	4	7	NAICS1997
2003	45	36	14	17	5	6	NAICS2002
2004	44	35	15	17	3	6	NAICS2002
2005	43	34	13	16	5	6	NAICS2002
2006	49	39	13	19	7	7	NAICS2002
2007	39	32	8	19	5	4	NAICS2002
2008	38	32	12	15	5	3	NAICS2007
2009	33	27	10	13	4	4	NAICS2007
2010	32	27	10	13	4	3	NAICS2007
2011	35	30	11	14	5	2	NAICS2007
2012	40	34	13	15	6	4	NAICS2012
2013	38	33	11	13	9	3	NAICS2012
2014	38	31	11	14	6	5	NAICS2012
2015	38	30	11	14	5	6	NAICS2012
2016	37	27	9	14	4	7	NAICS2012
2017	36	27	10	13	4	7	NAICS2017
2018	40	29	10	15	4	8	NAICS2017
2019	37	25	9	14	—	9	NAICS2017
2020	36	27	8	15	4	7	NAICS2017
2021	31	22	6	13	3	8	NAICS2017
2022	31	23	7	11	5	7	NAICS2022
2023	35	26	8	12	6	8	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 83703. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
83714	3.4 mi	55	2023
83704	3.4 mi	98	2023
83720	3.8 mi	1	1994
83725	4.5 mi	2	1997
83702	4.9 mi	142	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.