BMIE Market 83716

Elmore County, Idaho · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,402 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,111 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,502 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±462 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,523 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,174 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$128,822 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,766 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,065 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±167 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$611,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,382 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1,039.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 83716
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+112.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+88.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+183.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,600.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 18–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.2 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	94 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 83716. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Idaho and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 192, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.6	87	40%	+34.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86.6	87	35%	+30.3
Market Momentum Score	94.0	94	25%	+23.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,402	82	40%	+33.0
Median household income (ACS)	128,822	93	40%	+37.1
Households (ACS)	8,502	83	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	88.9	90	35%	+31.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.9	81	25%	+20.2
Population (ACS)	21,402	82	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	128,822	93	20%	+18.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 94 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	112.5	98	50%	+48.9
10-year restaurant growth	88.9	90	30%	+26.9
20-year restaurant growth	183.3	91	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (48)

By cuisine

American 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Mexican 4 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bar 7 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Food truck 3 · Café 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bad Boy Burgers Bad Boy Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	6875 S Federal Way	open
Baked by Beb	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2235 E Danzee Dr	open
Beans & Brews Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	6520 S Eisenman Rd	open
Beaver Lodge Atlanta	Casual dining · Bar		71 Main St	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches	7072 S Eisenman Rd	open
Blue Dog Bakers	Bakery	Bakery	6245 S Peppertree Ave	open
Boise Stage Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American	23801 S Orchard Access Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	6490 S Eisenman Rd	open
Caffè Capri	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	2242 E Gowen Rd	open
Caffe Capri Italia Coffee	Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	6250 S Basalt Trail Pl	open
Chicago Connection	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7072 S Eisenman Rd	open
Cinnabon Maverik - Boise Federal Way Cinnabon	Quick service		4680 South Federal Way	open
Clear Creek Lodge	Bar		166 Clear Creek Rd	open
Coffee Mill	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	4979 E Warm Springs Ave	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	6452 S Federal Way	open
Graceful Foundations Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2258 E Gowen Rd	open
Grouse Creek Brewery, Mayfield, Idaho	Brewery / taproom · Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Happy Teriyaki - Federal Way - Boise, ID Happy Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese	6580 S Federal Way	open
House of the Little Pig	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3083 E Barber Valley Dr	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	6875 S Federal Way	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10026 N Eiseman Rd	open
Lolitas Tacos #2	Food truck		4503 S Federal Way	open
Lucky 13	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3662 S Eckert Rd	open
Madurai Virundhu Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	6448 S Federal Way	open
Mancino's Pizza and Grinders	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6564 S Federal Way	open
Mateo's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3176 E Barber Valley Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6574 S Federal Way	open
Mo Darling's Confections	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	S Millspur Way	open
Oxus Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8000 S Federal Way	open
Papa Peaches Pub and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		5915 S Rock Rose Pl	open
Powerbar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		7031 S Eisenman Rd	open
Quiznos	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2250 E Gowen Rd	open
Rocky Mountain Chocolate Factory	Dessert	Dessert	6854 S Eisenman Rd	open
Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7072 S Eisenman Rd	open
Split Rail Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		5925 E Millet Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6454 S. Federal Way	open
Sunnyridge - SE Boise	Bar			open
Sushi Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3724 S Eckert Rd	open
Taco Del Mar Taco Del Mar Seattle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2258 E Gowen Rd	open
The STIL The STIL	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3724 S Eckert Rd Ste 111	open
The Switchback	Food truck		3000 S Old Hickory Way	open
The TK Bar	Bar		6455 S Eisenman Rd	open
Two Tails, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4503 S Federal Way	open
Walls Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Woodstock Wishing Well	Food truck · Catering	Pizza	3133 E ID-21	open
Bagel Bites Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Pizza · Coffee	6560 S Federal Way	closed
Basque Country Imports	Winery / distillery / taproom		6929 Supply Way	closed
Duster's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7072 S Eisenman Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	6	2	1	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	10	10	3	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	10	3	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	2	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	12	11	4	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	8	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	8	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	11	—	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	14	—	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	19	3	11	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	17	3	10	4	3	NAICS2022
2023	21	17	—	10	6	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 83716. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.