BMIE Market 84014

Davis County, Utah · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,679 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,786 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±242 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,268 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,997 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$123,130 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,415 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,918 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±238 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$531,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,005 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 84014
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+47.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+126.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+126.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	37 (range 32–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 84014. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.49, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Utah and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 191, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.1	83	40%	+33.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.9	71	35%	+24.8
Market Momentum Score	74.9	75	25%	+18.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,679	78	40%	+31.3
Median household income (ACS)	123,130	91	40%	+36.5
Households (ACS)	5,786	76	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	47.8	80	35%	+27.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.4	36	25%	+9.1
Population (ACS)	16,679	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	123,130	91	20%	+18.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.7	67	50%	+33.6
10-year restaurant growth	47.8	80	30%	+23.9
20-year restaurant growth	126.7	87	20%	+17.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (64)

By cuisine

American 8 · Bakery 8 · Coffee 7 · Dessert 7 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Burgers 5 · Asian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 40 · Quick service 19 · Dessert 11 · Bakery 8 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Specialty food shop 3 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	355 N 800 W	open
Avalanche Sno	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		199 E Pages Ln	open
Banbury Cross Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	330 W Parrish Ln	open
Beans & Brews Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches · Breakfast	300 W Parrish Ln	open
Better Together Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	86 Florentine Ln	open
Big Hazy’s Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	398 E Pages Ln	open
Blue Moose Sweet Shoppe	Dessert	Dessert	707 N 1000 W Ste 5	open
Carl’s Jr.	Quick service		385 N 800 W	open
Center Hughes Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		330 N Market Place Dr	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	540 N 800 W	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		371 West Parrish Lane	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	370 W Parrish Ln	open
Costa Vida Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	639 West Marketplace Drive	open
Crumbl - Centerville	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	356 Market Pl Dr	open
Cuddle 38	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	19038 Frenchtown Frontage Rd	open
Cutler's Cookies & Sandwiches	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	260 S Main St	open
Daily Rise Coffee Centerville Daily Rise Coffee Ogden	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	547 S Frontage Rd	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	400 W Parrish Ln	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	181 S Main St	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	250 W Parrish Ln	open
Fuji Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	330 N Market Place Dr	open
Great Empire Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	140 W Parrish Ln	open
Hokulia Shave Ice	Dessert		310 N Market Place Dr	open
Hug-Hes Cafe Hug-Hes Syracuse	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	330 N Marketplace Dr	open
Iggy's Sports Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	782 W Parrish Ln.	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	388 N Market Place Dr	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	475 North 700 West	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	371 West Parrish Lane	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	331 W Parrish Ln	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	382 N Frontage Rd	open
La Puente Centerville	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Mexican	116 W Parrish Ln	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	184 W Parrish Ln	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	400 W Parrish Ln	open
misoYUM	Food truck	Korean · Asian	181 S Main St	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	388 North Main Street	open
Parrish Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	250 W Parrish Ln	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1078 W Legacy Crossing Blvd	open
Pizza Perfect	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	104 S Main St	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Planet Beach Sl, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		330 N Market Place Dr # Suiteb90	open
Rancherito's \| Mexican Food Rancheritos Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	343 N Frontage Rd	open
Real Empanadas Gourmet	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		646 S 400 W	open
Rino's Italian Fresh	Specialty food shop	Italian	307 Casa Loma Dr	open
Smithco, Inc. Dba Servicemaster Cleaning &amp Restoration	Restaurant (service type not stated)		597 N 1250 W Ste 4	open
Snelgrove Ice Cream Snelgrove Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	330 W Parrish Ln	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	250 W Parrish Ln	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	356 N Marketplace Dr	open
Steak 'n Shake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1011 S. Main Street	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	282 W Parrish Ln	open
Summit Sweets	Dessert		705 N 1000 W Ste 15	open
Swig Swig	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	330 N Marketplace Drive	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	311 North Frontage Road	open
Taco Time TacoTime	Quick service	Mexican	45 N Main St	open
The Sweet Fork	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	300 E 1127	open
Tonyburgers - Centerville Tonyburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	100 W Parrish Ln	open
Tucumcari Transfer, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		520 N Market Place Dr Ste 120	open
Twisted Sugar Twisted Sugar NWI	Dessert · Café · Bakery	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	25 W Parrish Ln	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	221 W Parrish Ln	open
Wealth Innovation Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1148 W Legacy Crossing Blvd Ste 350	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	363 North Market Place Drive	open
Wetzels pretzels Wetzel's Pretzels	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	221 W Parrish Ln	open
Z Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1097 S Main St	open
Zeponie Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1097 S Main St	open
Taco Maker Jakes Over	Restaurant (service type not stated)		343 N Frontage Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	15	3	11	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	20	20	3	16	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	21	20	3	16	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	19	19	5	14	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	15	5	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	20	7	13	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	18	18	5	13	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	22	22	5	16	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	24	24	7	16	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	23	23	7	15	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	23	23	5	16	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	29	28	9	16	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	30	29	8	18	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	28	28	6	19	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	24	23	6	15	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	29	28	7	19	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	30	29	7	20	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	30	29	6	21	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	27	27	6	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	32	31	7	21	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	33	7	22	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	30	28	6	18	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	28	6	18	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	33	32	5	21	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	35	34	5	21	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 84014. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
84025	4.4 mi	37	2023
84010	4.4 mi	86	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.