BMIE Market 84037

Davis County, Utah · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	39,415 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±265 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,194 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±406 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	33,369 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,506 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$134,375 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,619 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,579 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±196 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$636,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,723 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	48.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 84037
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-3.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+52.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+93.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+222.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	36 (range 32–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	93 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 84037. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Utah and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 191, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	92.6	93	40%	+37.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87.9	88	35%	+30.8
Market Momentum Score	53.4	53	25%	+13.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	39,415	94	40%	+37.5
Median household income (ACS)	134,375	94	40%	+37.5
Households (ACS)	11,194	88	20%	+17.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	52.6	85	35%	+29.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.4	83	25%	+20.7
Population (ACS)	39,415	94	20%	+18.7
Median household income (ACS)	134,375	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-3.3	24	50%	+12.1
10-year restaurant growth	52.6	85	30%	+25.4
20-year restaurant growth	93.3	79	20%	+15.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (57)

By cuisine

Dessert 9 · American 8 · Bakery 8 · Coffee 7 · Pizza 6 · Burgers 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Mexican 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · BBQ 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Quick service 16 · Dessert 15 · Bakery 9 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Annie's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	286 N 400 W	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	225 N 400 W	open
Arctic Circle	Quick service		328 N Main St	open
Bamberger Food Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)		44 N Main St	open
BC Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	20 S Main St	open
Berry Station Frozen Yogurt and Grateful Donut Company	Bakery · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	283 N Flint St	open
Beto's Mexican Food	Quick service		315 N Main St	open
Big Daddy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	275 W 200 N	open
Buddha Belly	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	66 S Main St	open
Costa Vida Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1346 West 200 North	open
David's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	253 W 200 N	open
Davis Park Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Burgers	1074 Nicholls Rd	open
Devils Pit BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	259 E Shepard Ln	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	18 S Main St	open
Dylan's Drive In Warrens Family Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Burgers	185 N Main St	open
FiiZ Drinks	Dessert · Café	Coffee	315 N Main St	open
FiiZ Drinks	Dessert		1346 W 200 N	open
Golden Spike Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	3960 UT-13	open
Granny's Delight Old Fashioned Bread	Bakery	Bakery	1359 Devon St	open
Hokulia Shave Ice- Kaysville UT Hokulia Shave Ice	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hawaiian / Pacific	170 W 200 N	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		240 N 400 W	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	283 N Flint St Suite 501	open
Kaysville Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	232 N Main St	open
Kneaders Bakery & Cafe Kneaders Bakery and Cafe	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	1324 W 200 N	open
Kung Fu Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	66 S Main St #6	open
Lisa's Popcorn	Dessert	Dessert	37 N Main St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	283 N Flint St	open
LittleCow Shaved Ice	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	107 N Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	320 W 200 N	open
Nikko Sushi & Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	242 N 300 W	open
Old Grist Mill Bread Company Old Grist Mill Bread Company	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	334 N Main St	open
Orlando's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	141 N Main St	open
Pa's Candy Co.	Dessert	Dessert	44 N Main St	open
Pala Kai Shaved ice	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	230 W 200 N	open
Perfect Pizza	Quick service	Pizza	325 S Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	265 N Main St	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	140 N Main St Ste A	open
Rickle's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	87 S Main St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1370 W 200 N	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	324 Main St	open
Sugar Moose Candy	Dessert	Dessert	85 Main St	open
Sweet Cake Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert	237 W 200 N	open
Sweet Whimsy Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1198 S 800 E	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	313 North 400 West	open
Taco Maker	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	315 N Main St	open
Taco Time TacoTime	Quick service	Mexican	170 N Main St	open
Tasty's	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	612 N Main St Ste 4	open
The Kaysville Creamery	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1 Main St	open
The Lost Alaskan	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	232 N Main St	open
The Orange Peel The Orange Peel	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	559 Deseret Dr Ste 501	open
The Pie Pantry	Bakery · Food truck · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1292 S Main St	open
The Sno Shack	Dessert · Quick service	Dessert	690 N Main St	open
W Thai Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	237 W 200 N	open
Waffle Wagon	Food truck		200 N Main St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	353 West 200 North	open
Wingers Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		260 W 200 N	open
Yogotogo	Dessert	Dessert	240 N 300 W	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	12	2	8	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	16	14	3	10	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	17	15	3	11	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	19	17	4	11	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	21	19	4	13	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	15	2	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	22	19	4	13	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	21	20	3	13	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	25	24	4	17	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	25	24	4	17	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	25	24	5	17	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	20	19	3	14	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	22	21	5	14	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	20	19	5	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	19	18	3	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	21	19	4	13	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	21	19	3	14	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	22	21	4	16	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	24	22	2	18	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	26	24	—	21	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	33	30	5	23	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	28	5	21	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	30	29	8	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	27	26	5	18	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	33	29	5	19	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	33	29	5	17	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 84037. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
84041	3.7 mi	137	2023
84025	4.1 mi	37	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.