BMIE Market 84056

Davis County, Utah · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,803 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±504 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,032 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±143 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,310 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,000 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$69,352 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,362 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	22.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,780 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	9.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 84056
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2011 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+300.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	3 (range 1–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2008–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.44) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 84056. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2008–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.44, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Utah and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 191, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.8	51	40%	+20.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.2	70	35%	+24.6
Market Momentum Score	92.1	92	25%	+23.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,803	56	40%	+22.4
Median household income (ACS)	69,352	46	40%	+18.4
Households (ACS)	1,032	50	20%	+10.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.5	70	25%	+17.6
Population (ACS)	3,803	56	20%	+11.2
Median household income (ACS)	69,352	46	20%	+9.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	300	97	20%	+19.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (9)

By cuisine

Sandwiches 3 · American 2 · Coffee 2 · Asian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Quick service 4 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
808 Wild Tuna	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian	7440 6th St	open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5845 E Ave	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	5845 E Ave Bldg 412	open
Cupbop Korean BBQ in a Cup	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5845 E Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	7440 6th St # 420	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	7277 4th St	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Chicken / wings	7955 Wardleigh Rd Bldg 1210	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Quick service · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee · American	5845 E Ave	open
The Landing	Bar	American	7420 Miller St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	4	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	4	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 84056. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
84405	2.3 mi	73	2023
84015	3.6 mi	69	2023
84041	4.1 mi	137	2023
84067	4.2 mi	43	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.