BMIE Market 84075

Davis County, Utah · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,545 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±95 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,751 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±316 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	24,506 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,586 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$133,286 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,383 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	28.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,140 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±102 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$573,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,006 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	34.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 84075
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+82.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+82.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+1,450.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,450.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 24–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.53) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	94 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 84075. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.53, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Utah and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 191, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	91.2	91	40%	+36.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87.7	88	35%	+30.7
Market Momentum Score	93.8	94	25%	+23.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,545	92	40%	+36.8
Median household income (ACS)	133,286	94	40%	+37.5
Households (ACS)	9,751	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	82.4	89	35%	+31.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.7	77	25%	+19.3
Population (ACS)	35,545	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	133,286	94	20%	+18.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 94 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	82.4	94	50%	+47.1
10-year restaurant growth	82.4	89	30%	+26.8
20-year restaurant growth	1,450	100	20%	+20.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (55)

By cuisine

American 10 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Burgers 5 · Dessert 5 · Asian 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Breakfast 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Thai 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · Indian 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 22 · Dessert 11 · Bakery 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1766 S 2000 W	open
Arctic Circle Arctic Circle Fry Sauce - THE Original!	Quick service	Burgers · American	1093 W 1700 S	open
Bar 139 At the Hosers	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3963 Formby Dr	open
Barbarosa Foods Syracuse Utah	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1598 S 2000 W	open
Beans & Brews Coffee House Beans & Brews Coffee House	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1137 W 1700 S	open
Blimpie	Quick service		973 W 1700 S	open
Café Zupas Café Zupas	Quick service		2068 West 1700 South	open
Cake Dame	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4245 W 1425 S	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	2118 W 1700 S	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1975 W 1700 S	open
Churros El Molino	Dessert	Dessert · Mexican · Latin American (other)	684 W 1950 S	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2058 W 1700 S Suite 107	open
El Palmar Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	2432 W 1700 S	open
FiiZ Drinks	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Dessert	1642 S 2000 W	open
Fry Me To The Moon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican	1700 S 2000 W	open
Hug-Hes Cafe Hug-Hes Syracuse	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	2432 W 1700 S Ste. B6	open
Iceberg Drive Inn Iceberg Drive Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	1792 S 2000 W	open
Imperial Asian Cuisine & Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	2058 W 1700 S	open
Island Buffalo Grill	Café · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee · American	4528 W 1700 S	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		1726 Bluff Ridge Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	817 W 1700 S	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	817 W Antelope Dr	open
Koki Restaurant Antelope Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	4535 W 1700 S	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2432 W 1700 S	open
Marquesas Corndogs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		1200 W 1700 S	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	867 W 1700 S	open
Mr Delicious	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1137 W 1700 S	open
New China Grove	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	973 W 1700 S	open
Ol' Skool "Cali Style Mexican"	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1588 S 2000 W	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	895 w 1700 s	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Bakery	Pizza · Bakery	2052 W 1700 S	open
Pier Ice	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	1235 W 1700 S	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Quench It Soda Quench It Soda	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1863 W 700 S	open
S & T Foods, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1766 S 2000 W	open
Shave Wave Shave Ice	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	728 W 2150 S	open
Shearerly Simple Shave Ice	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	South Parking, Lot 2965 W 1700 S	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	1642 S 2000 W	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1043 W Antelope Dr	open
Thai Jasmine Restaurant Thai Jasmine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1662 S 2000 W	open
The Bird	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2432 W 1700 S Ste A1	open
The Corner Noodle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	1588 S 2000 W	open
The Crepêry Syracuse	Café	Breakfast · French · Coffee	1863 W 700 S Ste 2	open
The Pizza Factory Pizza Factory, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	725 W 1700 S	open
The Sweetest Things Cake Shoppe	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2125 W 2375 S	open
The Toasted Cheeser	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1057 W 2700 S	open
Thurgood Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2432 W 1700 S	open
Twisted Sugar	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	1089 W 1700 S	open
Under the Boardwalk Shaved Ice	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2680 Bluff Ridge Dr	open
Us Cold Storage Clearfield Utah	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1093 W 450 S	open
Waffle Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Breakfast	2107 W 1700 S #1	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2228 W 1700 S	open
Warrens (Syracuse) Legendary Breakfast, Lunch & Dinner, Since 1955! Warrens Family Restaurants	Quick service	American · Burgers	1778 S 1000 W	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1598 South 2000 West	open
Zeppe's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard Zeppe's Harrisville	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2033 W 700 S	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	—	1	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	4	1	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	1	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	11	1	9	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	16	2	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	18	18	3	14	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	17	16	3	12	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	3	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	16	4	12	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	17	5	11	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	18	6	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	18	16	5	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	19	6	9	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	20	18	5	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	17	4	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	17	4	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	19	6	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	20	7	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	24	6	12	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	37	31	7	16	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 84075. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
84015	4.4 mi	69	2023
84041	4.7 mi	137	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.