BMIE Market 84087

Davis County, Utah · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,808 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±428 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,083 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,983 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,252 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$132,774 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,605 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,653 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±643 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$531,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,771 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 84087
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+150.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 13–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 84087. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Utah and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 191, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.7	84	40%	+33.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82.3	82	35%	+28.8
Market Momentum Score	78.0	78	25%	+19.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,808	78	40%	+31.4
Median household income (ACS)	132,774	94	40%	+37.4
Households (ACS)	5,083	75	20%	+14.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.9	76	25%	+19.1
Population (ACS)	16,808	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	132,774	94	20%	+18.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

Mexican 5 · American 4 · Coffee 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Quick service 8 · Bar 4 · Café 3 · Dessert 3 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&W	Quick service		527 S 700 W	open
Apple Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1504 S 800 W	open
Applebee's Grill + Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		27 W 500 S	open
Cafe Rio Cafe Rio Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2440 South Main Street Suite 4 & 5, US-89	open
Cafe Rio Fresh Modern Mexican	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2440 South Main Street, Suite 4 & 5, South US-89	open
Cafe Zupas Cafe Zupas	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	2577 S Wildcat Way W	open
Cal's Deli	Other	Sandwiches	687 W 700 S	open
Chick Shake	Quick service		1492 S 800 W	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	527 S 700 W	open
Dangermonkeyfrozentreats	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	1533 S 1800 W	open
Empanada Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	1268 S 500 W	open
Hungry Hawaiian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	1492 S 800 W	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2487 S 800 W	open
J L Paul Enterprises, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2477 S 800 W	open
Lafavorita	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1753 N Redwood Rd	open
Lakeside Grill & Cafe Lakeside Golf Course	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee	1201 N 1100 W	open
Lorena's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2477 S 800 W	open
Marie Nichols - USA Containers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		594 W 800 N	open
MOD Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2577 S, Ste A	open
MOD Pizza MOD Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	2577 S Wildcat Way W Ste A	open
OKA Ramen Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	1492 S 800 W Unit B	open
Plated Dreams	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	2468 US-89 Ste B2	open
Quite Finish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3742 Horseshoe Mesa St	open
Rancherito's Mexican Food Rancherito's Mexican Food, Clearfield Utah	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2471 S Wildcat Way W	open
Stan-Ley's Fry Bread	Food truck		557 S Howard St	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	365 N 500 W	open
The grill master al pastor Food truck (Mexican restaurant	Food truck	Mexican	742 W 2600 S	open
The Rockery	Bar		1431 S 1800 W	open
V&R Baking Co	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1492 S 800 W	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	618 W. 2600 S Suite A	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	5	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	10	6	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	5	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	5	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	10	5	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	15	4	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	15	4	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 84087. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
84054	3.5 mi	22	2023
84010	5.0 mi	86	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.