BMIE Market 84092

Salt Lake County, Utah · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	27,651 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,384 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,366 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±442 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,525 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,771 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$151,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,177 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,209 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±130 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$764,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	54.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 84092
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-55.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-38.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-42.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	1 (range 0–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -1.3 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	4 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 84092. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Utah and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 191, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.2	90	40%	+36.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.8	62	35%	+21.6
Market Momentum Score	4.2	4	25%	+1.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	27,651	87	40%	+34.9
Median household income (ACS)	151,500	96	40%	+38.5
Households (ACS)	9,366	84	20%	+16.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-55.6	2	35%	+0.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.9	98	25%	+24.4
Population (ACS)	27,651	87	20%	+17.4
Median household income (ACS)	151,500	96	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 4 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-50	4	50%	+2.0
10-year restaurant growth	-55.6	2	30%	+0.6
20-year restaurant growth	-38.5	8	20%	+1.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

American 12 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Steakhouse 4 · Bakery 3 · European 3 · Pizza 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Albion Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Steakhouse	10520 E Day Lodge Rd	open
Alfs Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10010 Little Cottonwood Canyon Rd	open
Alta Java	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	10600 Little Cottonwood Canyon Rd	open
Baked & Brewed Café	Coffee shop	Coffee	9385 S Snowbird Center Dr	open
Collins Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	European	Alta Ski Area	open
Greatcoffee.com	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11624 S Colchester Dr	open
Honeybee Home Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	10919 Whirlaway Ln	open
La Caille Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	French · European	9565 Wasatch Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1896 E 9400 S	open
Salty Dog Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4385 Little Cottonwood Canyon Rd	open
Sego Lily Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1806 E 9800 S	open
SeventyOne	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	9320 Cliff Lodge Dr	open
Shallow Shaft Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	10199 E Hwy 210	open
Shea's Bunkhouse Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse	1861 E Gracey Ln	open
Sitzmark Club	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		10230 E Little Cottonwood	open
Sloan's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chinese	9676 S 2980 E	open
Steak Pit Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	9385 Snowbird Ctr Dr	open
Swens	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10420 Little Cottonwood Rd	open
Swig Swig	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Dessert · Juice / smoothies	9470 Highland Dr	open
The Aerie	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	9320 Cliff Lodge Dr	open
The Birdfeeder	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	9385 S. Snowbird Center Drive	open
The Forklift	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	9385. S. Snowbird Center Drive Plaza Deck(L3	open
The Gulch Pub	Bar · Casual dining		10420 Little Cottonwood Rd Ste	open
Tram Car Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9385 S Snowbird Center Dr # 102	open
Twisted Sugar Sandy	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	1373 E 10600 S	open
Watson Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	Collins Rd	open
Wildflower	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9121 E Snowbird Center Dr Ste 80	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	14	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	19	17	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	19	15	6	7	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	19	18	9	7	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	4	6	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	16	14	6	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	14	13	2	10	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	13	5	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	16	14	4	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	15	5	7	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	15	13	4	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	15	13	4	5	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	16	6	6	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	17	15	5	5	5	1	NAICS2007
2010	21	19	5	9	5	1	NAICS2007
2011	22	19	7	8	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	20	17	3	8	6	1	NAICS2012
2013	21	18	2	10	6	1	NAICS2012
2014	21	19	5	8	6	1	NAICS2012
2015	24	20	8	6	6	1	NAICS2012
2016	23	19	7	7	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	19	14	6	3	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	16	7	4	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	15	6	4	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	10	—	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	10	—	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	8	—	4	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	8	—	4	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 84092. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
84004	4.4 mi	6	2023
84121	4.7 mi	91	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.