BMIE Market 84103

Salt Lake County, Utah · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,749 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,398 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,557 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±757 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,084 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,459 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$83,916 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,302 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,451 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±69 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$779,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54,290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	20.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 84103
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+15.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+29.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+15.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 17–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.24) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 84103. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.24, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Utah and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 191, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.5	79	40%	+31.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.8	70	35%	+24.4
Market Momentum Score	71.5	72	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,749	84	40%	+33.7
Median household income (ACS)	83,916	67	40%	+26.7
Households (ACS)	12,557	90	20%	+18.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	15.8	59	35%	+20.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.3	75	25%	+18.8
Population (ACS)	23,749	84	20%	+16.9
Median household income (ACS)	83,916	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	37.5	87	50%	+43.4
10-year restaurant growth	15.8	59	30%	+17.8
20-year restaurant growth	29.4	52	20%	+10.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

Coffee 14 · American 12 · Burgers 4 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Japanese 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Vegetarian 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Filipino 1 · French 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Café 12 · Coffee shop 10 · Bar 9 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AlchEMy Coffee Capitol Hill	Coffee shop	Coffee	271 N Center St	open
Arlo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	271 N Center St	open
Avenue Bakery on Fourth	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	376 E 4th Ave	open
Avenues Proper	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		376 E 8th Ave	open
Balthazar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	80 Spring St	open
Blatch's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Vegetarian	186 I St	open
Blue Copper 2000	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	401 N 300 W	open
Cafe on 1st	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	39 I St	open
California Burger & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	306 N 300 W	open
City Cafe	Café	Coffee	155 N 400 W	open
Crown Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	118 N 300 W	open
Cucina	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1026 E 2nd Ave	open
Cutie Pie	Bakery	Bakery	443 W 400 N	open
District Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	206 N 200 W	open
Diversion Social Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Pizza	535 N 300 W H-104	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	481 East South Temple	open
Dopy's Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	1270 E 3rd Ave	open
El FogÃ³n TaÃno	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	422 W 600 N	open
Em's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	271 N Center St	open
Foodie and Sweetie D Market	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Chinese · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	89 N D St	open
Gonzo's Candies	Dessert		564 Third Ave	open
Handle Bar	Bar · Casual dining		751 N 300 W	open
Hatch Family Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	376 8th Ave	open
Jack Mormon Coffee Roasting	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	82 E St	open
JAM SLC	Bar		751 N 300 W	open
Java Jo's Java Jo's	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	401 E 1st Ave	open
Johnny Rockets Johnny Rockets	Quick service	American · Burgers	36 S State St	open
Kubo Express Smoothies and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Filipino · Coffee	422 W 600 N	open
Lucky Ones Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	280 W 500 N	open
Marmalade Wing Coop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	569 N 300 W	open
Molly's Gemini Room	Bar	American	412 UT-268	open
North Temple Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	103 N 300 W	open
Pagoda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	26 E St	open
Publik Coffee Roasters Publik. Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	502 3rd Ave	open
Saffron Valley Saffron Valley	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Coffee	26 E St	open
Shinobisushi.slc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	555 N 300 W	open
Soup Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	422 W 600 N	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	402 E 6th Ave	open
Sunroom Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	470 W 200 N	open
Tacos Hidalgo	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	400 W North Temple	open
The Garage	Bar		1199 N Beck St	open
The Garten Cider House and Bar	Bar		417 N 400 W	open
Tuk Tuk's of Marmalade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · French	535 N 300 W Unit H103	open
Utah Jazz	Bar · Quick service		36 N State St	open
Vegan Daddy Meats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · American	569 N 300 W	open
Wildwood Wildwood	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	564 E 3rd Ave	open
Woodruff-Riter House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sushi · Japanese	225 N State St	open
Zubs - Salt Lake City	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		535 N 300 W	open
Marmalade Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		569 N 300 W	closed
Toasted Barrel Brewery	Brewery / taproom		412 W 600 N	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	19	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	22	19	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	22	20	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	23	21	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	27	18	7	9	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	31	22	13	8	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	29	20	10	9	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	27	19	9	10	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	26	19	7	10	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	24	17	6	9	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	20	14	5	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	20	15	5	9	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	23	18	6	12	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	20	18	5	10	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	25	21	6	12	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	20	16	5	8	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	18	15	4	8	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	18	15	3	8	4	2	NAICS2007
2012	23	20	6	9	5	1	NAICS2012
2013	22	19	3	11	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	20	17	4	9	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	18	14	3	9	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	16	13	3	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	19	19	8	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	16	7	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	16	8	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	17	9	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	16	7	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	25	23	9	8	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	22	10	7	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 84103. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
84112	2.7 mi	6	2023
84114	2.8 mi	2	2016
84113	2.9 mi	1	2016
84102	3.1 mi	58	2023
84150	3.2 mi	2	2016
84138	3.3 mi	1	2006
84180	3.6 mi	2	1999
84111	3.8 mi	126	2023
84101	4.3 mi	99	2023
84054	4.4 mi	22	2023
84105	4.5 mi	42	2023
84010	4.9 mi	86	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.