BMIE Market 84765

Washington County, Utah · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,152 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,495 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±196 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,143 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,021 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$96,475 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,727 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,907 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±293 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$558,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57,222 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	48.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 84765
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+166.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+700.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 84765. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Utah and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 191, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.4	71	40%	+28.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.6	78	35%	+27.2
Market Momentum Score	91.9	92	25%	+23.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,152	68	40%	+27.1
Median household income (ACS)	96,475	79	40%	+31.4
Households (ACS)	2,495	64	20%	+12.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	35%	+30.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.8	73	25%	+18.2
Population (ACS)	8,152	68	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	96,475	79	20%	+15.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+48.0
10-year restaurant growth	60	86	30%	+25.8
20-year restaurant growth	166.7	90	20%	+18.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

Dessert 3 · Mexican 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · American 2 · Coffee 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Dessert 7 · Quick service 4 · Café 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alfredo A Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3687 Pioneer Pkwy	open
Beans & Brews Coffeehouse Beans & Brews Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3542 Pioneer Pkwy Ste #105	open
Cafe Rio Cafe Rio Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	3540 Pioneer Pkwy	open
Candy Creations Utah	Dessert		2251 Santa Clara Dr	open
Capriotti's Sandwich Shop Capriotti's Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	3540 Pioneer Pkwy Ste 107	open
Cravings Bakery And Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	2300 Santa Clara Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2311 Santa Clara Dr	open
Elegance and Rust	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3097 W Santa Clara Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3687 Pioneer Parkway Suite 2	open
Lamy's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2235 Santa Clara Dr	open
Mo' Bettahs Hawaiian Style Food Mo' Bettahs Hawaiian Style Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	3510 Pioneer Pkwy Ste 110	open
Roxberry Juice Co. Smoothies Drive Thru Roxberry Juice Co.	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	3542 Pioneer Pkwy	open
Royal Thai Cuisine Express 89	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	3663 Pioneer Pkwy Ste 3	open
Rylu's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2862 Santa Clara Dr	open
Swig Swig	Dessert	Dessert	3510 Pioneer Parkway	open
Taffy Shop	Dessert		2397 Santa Clara Drive Santa Clara	open
Taffy Shop	Dessert		2397 Santa Clara Dr	open
The Granary	Café	Coffee	3105 Santa Clara Dr	open
The Sodamix	Dessert	Dessert	3663 Pioneer Pkwy Ste 4	open
Vineyards, Santa Clara, Utah	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Yogi Snow & Treats	Dessert		2728 Santa Clara Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2010	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 84765. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.