BMIE Market 85028
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 18,752 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,972 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±368 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,157 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,705 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $125,054 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,939 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 49.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,850 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±173 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $642,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,638 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85028 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 20.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +17.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -4.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 40 (range 36–45) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85028. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 85.1 | 85 | 40% | +34.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66.5 | 67 | 35% | +23.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 65.2 | 65 | 25% | +16.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 18,752 | 80 | 40% | +32.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 125,054 | 92 | 40% | +36.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,972 | 81 | 20% | +16.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 35% | +23.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 21.3 | 34 | 25% | +8.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 18,752 | 80 | 20% | +16.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 125,054 | 92 | 20% | +18.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 14.3 | 72 | 50% | +36.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 30% | +20.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 17.7 | 44 | 20% | +8.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (84)
By cuisine
American 12 · Coffee 10 · Bakery 8 · Mexican 8 · Dessert 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Italian 5 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 51 · Quick service 12 · Bar 11 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Dessert 8 · Casual dining 7 · Café 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Shea | Bar · Café | Coffee | 10626 N 32nd St | open |
| A Kind Deli | Other | Sandwiches | 10210 N 32nd St Ste B2 | open |
| Aioli Gourmet Burgers Aioli Gourmet Burgers and Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 10652 N 32nd St | open |
| BarBullis | Bar | 3528 E Cholla St | open | |
| Blimpie Blimpie America's Sub Shop | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 10645 N Tatum Blvd Ste 400 | open |
| Bootleggers Food & Drink | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3375 E Shea Blvd | open |
| BoSa Donuts BoSa Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 10876 N 32nd St | open |
| Brody's Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 10810 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Burger King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12002 N 32nd St | open | |
| Cafe Rio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 12005 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Cartel Coffee Lab Cartel Roasting Co. | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 10625 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Caruso Investment Co Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3241 E Shea Blvd Ste 9 | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 12031 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 12045 N. 32nd Street | open |
| Compass Group Nad | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11811 N Tatum Blvd | open | |
| Deserving Nutrition | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3375 E Shea Blvd Ste M | open | |
| Elevate Wine and Cheese Bar | Bar | American | 4707 E Shea Blvd | open |
| Federico's Mexican Food Federico's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 10802 N 32nd St | open |
| Filiberto's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 11025 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Five Guys | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4902 E Shea Blvd Ste 106 | open |
| Frimmel Management, Llc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3217 E Shea Blvd | open | |
| Gluten Free Creations Bakery Gluten Free Creations Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert | 10880 N 32nd St #39 | open |
| Hapa Food Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific | 3375 E Shea Blvd | open |
| Iron Chef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese | 10810 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 10855 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Kouzina Dining Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10625 N Tatum Blvd Ste 150 | open | |
| M.e.h. Investments, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11020 N Tatum Blvd Ste 103 | open | |
| Manuel’s Mexican Restaurant & Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3131 E Shea Blvd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 10230 N 32nd St | open |
| Metatron's Cube | Quick service · Bar | 2938 E Laurel Ln | open | |
| Michelina's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 3241 E Shea Blvd | open |
| Modern Tortilla | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 10652 N 32nd St | open |
| Next Edge Video, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11201 N Tatum Blvd | open | |
| NOOR Mediterranean | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · European | 10625 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| O.H.S.O. Brewery OHSO Brewery- Arcadia | Brewery / taproom · Bar | American | 10810 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Okay Maguey | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 12005 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Original ChopShop Original ChopShop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 10625 N Tatum Blvd #135 | open |
| Over Easy Over Easy Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 10637 N Tatum Blvd Ste 101 | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 10637 N Tatum Blvd #105 | open |
| Paradise Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian | 10805 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Paris Baguette Paris Baguette | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 10625 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Pinco Pizza, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10855 N Tatum Blvd Ste 110 | open | |
| Platinum Lounge AZ | Bar | 12001 N Tatum Blvd | open | |
| Press Coffee Press Coffee | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 10443 N 32nd St | open |
| Pride Restaurant Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11020 N Tatum Blvd Ste 103 | open | |
| Proof Bread Proof | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3110 E Shea Blvd | open |
| Ql, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11020 N Tatum Blvd Ste 103 | open | |
| Rusconi's American Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 10637 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Sacred Rise Sourdough & Sweets Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 10880 N 32nd St | open |
| Sala Thai Restaurant North Phoenix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 10880 N 32nd St #29 | open |
| Scooter's Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 3415 E Shea Blvd | open |
| Soirees and Sweetness | Bakery | Bakery | open | |
| Soma Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10810 N Tatum Blvd | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3202 E Shea Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 4637 E Shea Blvd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 10625 N Tatum Blvd (Tatum & Shea) | open |
| Streets Of New York, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11811 N Tatum Blvd | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3226 E. Shea Blvd. Suite C2 | open |
| Sweet Dreams Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | Sweet Dreams Vineyard 1064 North Tatum Blvd Suite C200-432 | open | |
| Swig Swig | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 4635 E Shea Blvd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 4751 E Shea Blvd | open |
| Taco Del Mar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 10855 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Taphouse 32nd Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3131 E Shea Blvd | open | |
| Taphouse Kitchen | Casual dining · Bar | 3131 E Shea Blvd | open | |
| Tatum Cafe Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10637 N Tatum Blvd Ste 101a | open | |
| The Blooze | Bar | 12014 N 32nd St | open | |
| The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 4740 E Shea Blvd | open |
| The Covenant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American · Italian | 4740 East Shea Boulevard | open |
| The Gelato Spot | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Pizza · Italian | 10608 N 32nd St | open |
| The Joy Bus Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3375 E Shea Blvd Ste C1 | open |
| The Playa II Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 3217 E Shea Blvd | open | |
| The Plaza Bistro | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 11811 N Tatum Blvd #P108 | open |
| The Screamery The Screamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 10625 N Tatum Blvd #136 | open |
| Torchy's Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 10625 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Tyler Davis - MET GROUP REAL ESTATE | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 10625 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Uncle Bear's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom | 10625 N Tatum Blvd | open | |
| Uncle Sam's | Casual dining · Bar | American · Sandwiches | 3217 E Shea Blvd | open |
| Which Wich Superior Sandwiches | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 10810 N Tatum Blvd Ste 148 | open |
| Wingstreet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3375 E Shea Blvd | open |
| World Sports Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 11630 N Tatum Blvd | open |
| Z Tejas Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10625 N Tatum Blvd | open | |
| Zipps Sports Grill Zipps Sports Grill | Bar · Casual dining | American | 10662 N 32nd St | open |
| Zoyo Zoyo | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4740 E Shea Blvd | open |
| Little Peking | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10608 N 32nd St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 45 | 42 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 48 | 45 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 58 | 53 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 50 | 47 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 43 | 40 | 19 | 18 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 39 | 36 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 37 | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 39 | 37 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 50 | 39 | 21 | 16 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 44 | 34 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 45 | 36 | 14 | 18 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 48 | 38 | 14 | 21 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 43 | 33 | 14 | 17 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 20 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 50 | 39 | 13 | 20 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 46 | 37 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 47 | 39 | 11 | 21 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 47 | 39 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 38 | 35 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 15 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 35 | 33 | 11 | 18 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 42 | 39 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 38 | 34 | 14 | 16 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 41 | 35 | 17 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 41 | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 35 | 18 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 39 | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 45 | 38 | 20 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 49 | 39 | 19 | 15 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 46 | 40 | 20 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |