BMIE Market 85139
Pinal County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,784 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,452 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,371 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±398 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,979 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,211 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $86,894 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,192 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,716 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±316 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $344,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,551 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 502.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85139 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 2.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +41.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +70.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,950.0% DERIVED: 2008 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 48 (range 45–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.96) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85139. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.96, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 76.4 | 76 | 40% | +30.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70.7 | 71 | 35% | +24.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 87.9 | 88 | 25% | +22.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,784 | 82 | 40% | +32.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 86,894 | 70 | 40% | +28.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,371 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 70.8 | 88 | 35% | +30.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 19.7 | 38 | 25% | +9.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,784 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 86,894 | 70 | 20% | +14.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 88 (Medium confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 41.4 | 88 | 50% | +54.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 70.8 | 88 | 30% | +33.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (78)
By cuisine
American 17 · Coffee 10 · Pizza 8 · Burgers 7 · Dessert 7 · Mexican 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Seafood 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Bakery 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Quick service 27 · Bar 12 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Café 6 · Bakery 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 347 Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 16000 N Maricopa Rd | open |
| Agave's Restaurant at Harrah's Ak Chin Dunkin' | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bar | Steakhouse · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Dessert · Mexican · Coffee · American | 15406 N Maricopa Rd | open |
| Ak-Chin Indian Reservation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | open | |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 21600 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Arroyo Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 48456 AZ-238 | open |
| Asian Seoul's Copa Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Korean | 20924 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Barro's Pizza Barro's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 21101 N John Wayne Pkwy E106 | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 20350 North John Wayne Parkway Ste 110 | open |
| Baskin-Robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 20924 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Brian's Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Catering · Bar | 55500 W Beat St | open | |
| Brooklyn Boys Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 20800 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 20699 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Chilaquiles modern kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 20800 N John Wayne Pkwy Ste 101 | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 21423 N John Wayne Pkwy Ste 105 | open |
| Cilantro's Mexican Cocina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 20928 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Cold Beers & Cheeseburgers Cold Beers & Cheeseburgers | Bar · Casual dining | Burgers | 20350 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| crate coffee market | Coffee shop | Coffee | 44870 W Hathaway Ave | open |
| Crumbl - Maricopa | Dessert | Dessert | 20320 N John Wayne Pkwy Ste 105 | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 20430 N. John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | DQ Grill & Chill Restaurant 19680 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Dickey's Barbecue Pit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 20924 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 20024 N John Wayne Parkway | open |
| Duke’s Roadhouse | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 19395 N John Wayne Pkwy | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 20595 S John Wayne Parkway | open |
| Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 20232 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Farmers Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 49301 W Papago Rd | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 21083 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Food Truck Friday Maricopa | Food truck | American · BBQ | 45295 W Honeycutt Ave | open |
| Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 21467 N John Wayne Parkway | open |
| Good Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 20924 N John Wayne Pkwy Ste D3 | open |
| Great Wall Chinese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 20928 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Headquarters Restaurant & Bar | Bar · Café | Coffee · American | 19640 N Maricopa Rd | open |
| Helen's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 19171 N John Wayne Parkway | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 20429 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 20975 N John Wayne Pkwy | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 21423 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 20320 N John Wayne Pkwy Suite 110 | open |
| John Wayne Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 20232 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 20800 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Long John Silver's KFC | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Seafood · Chicken / wings | 21566 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Lonnie’s Bbq & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 21274 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Marcus Market AZ | Coffee shop | Coffee | 45430 W Gavilan Dr | open |
| Maricopa Water and Ice | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 20928 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 20700 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| MOD Pizza MOD Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 20320 N John Wayne Pkwy Ste 100 | open |
| Ono Hawaiian BBQ Ono Hawaiian BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific | 20320 N John Wayne Pkwy Ste 130 | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 20850 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 20928 North John Wayne Parkway | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 21101 North John Wayne Parkway Pinal | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Plaza Bonita Family Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 21141 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Raceway Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Pizza | 49237 W Papago Rd | open |
| Ralph's Joint | Bar · Casual dining · Café | Coffee | open | |
| Roots Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 20046 N John Wayne Pkwy Ste 104 | open |
| Sario’s Cuisine | Food truck | 20595 N John Wayne Pkwy Ste 300 | open | |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 21470 N. John Wayne Parkway | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 21423 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 21044 N John Wayne Parkway | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 21116 John Wayne Pkwy Suite B6 | open |
| Sultan Y Ayoub Fnp, Pllc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 21300 N John Wayne Pkwy Ste 112 | open | |
| Sunrise Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 20917 N John Wayne Pkwy Ste A104 | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 20980 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Tacos N More Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 21596 N John Wayne Pkwy # 104 | open |
| Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp | Quick service | 20429 N John Wayne Pkwy | open | |
| The Burger Den | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Burgers | 21195 N John Wayne Parkway | open |
| The Luxe Lounge | Bar | 16000 N Maricopa Rd | open | |
| The Roost Sports Bar & Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 20800 N John Wayne Pkwy Ste 101 | open | |
| This And That Stuff Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 21101 N John Wayne Pkwy | open | |
| TikiCub Designs | Bar | open | ||
| Trailer Birds | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 20924 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| True Grit Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 20800 N John Wayne Pkwy | open | |
| W and Z Asian Bistro and Sushi Bar W&Z Asian Bistro & Sushi Bar at Casa Grande | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 21576 N John Wayne Pkwy Ste 101 | open |
| Waffle Love AZ - Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 21000 N John Wayne Pky | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 20555 N. John Wayne Pkwy Ste 108 | open |
| Yogurt Jungle | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 21101 N John Wayne Pkwy #105 | open |
| Yummy Noodles and Cajun Seafoods | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Seafood | 20917 N John Wayne Pkwy | open |
| Night Sweats Gone Llc | Bar | 20987 N John Wayne Pkwy | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 27 | 26 | 10 | 14 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 25 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 27 | 25 | 11 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 29 | 27 | 10 | 15 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 33 | 30 | 9 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 33 | 29 | 9 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 38 | 33 | 9 | 19 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 18 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 36 | 34 | 11 | 18 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 38 | 12 | 19 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 44 | 41 | 12 | 22 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.