BMIE Market 85140
Pinal County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 51,260 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,226 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 16,120 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±758 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 36,711 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,775 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $101,477 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,816 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,062 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±147 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $445,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,947 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 82.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85140 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 0.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +60.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +3,100.0% DERIVED: 2008 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 37 (range 33–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.88) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 90 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85140. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.88, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 90.5 | 91 | 40% | +36.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 89.8 | 90 | 35% | +31.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 92.3 | 92 | 25% | +23.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 51,260 | 97 | 40% | +38.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 101,477 | 82 | 40% | +32.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 16,120 | 95 | 20% | +18.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 90 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 100 | 92 | 35% | +32.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 6.2 | 87 | 25% | +21.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 51,260 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 101,477 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 92 (Medium confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 60 | 92 | 50% | +57.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 100 | 92 | 30% | +34.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (78)
By cuisine
Mexican 13 · American 12 · Coffee 10 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Dessert 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sushi 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 40 · Quick service 23 · Coffee shop 10 · Café 8 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Bar 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Casual dining 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1528 The Bistro At Encanterra | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American · Italian · Breakfast | 36460 N Encanterra Dr | open |
| 7 Brew Coffee 7 Brew Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 180 W Ocotillo Rd | open |
| Better Buzz Coffee Queen Creek Better Buzz Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 37116 N Gantzel Rd | open |
| BoSa Donuts BoSa Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 37591 N Gantzel Rd #100 | open |
| Brooklyn V's Pizza Brooklyn V's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 40615 N Gantzel Rd | open |
| Buddy's Pizza Plus 1, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 40615 N Gantzel Rd Ste 103 | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 91 W Combs Rd | open |
| Cafe Rio Fresh Modern Mexican Cafe Rio Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 37584 N Gantzel Rd | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | 30 W Ocotillo Rd | open | |
| China Chef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 85 W Combs Rd #110 | open |
| China Ink | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Sushi · Japanese · Asian | 40975 N Ironwood Rd b112 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican | 170 W Ocotillo | open |
| Cinnaholic | Dessert | Dessert | 37584 N Gantzel Rd Ste 103 | open |
| Col Mustard Chicken Creek Farm | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | open | |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | 85 W Combs Rd, #112 | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 140 W Ocotillo Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 38214 N Gantzel Rd | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's | Quick service | 42153 North Ironwood Drive Ste 101 | open | |
| Double D Coffee and Tea | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 2505 E Germann Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 40615 N Gantzel Rd Ste 101 | open |
| Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 38158 N. Gantzel Rd. | open |
| Encanterra at Queen Creek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Filiberto's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 40975 N Ironwood Dr | open |
| Filibertos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5618 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | 37666 North Gantzel Road | open | |
| Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 41020 N Ironwood Dr | open |
| Gantzel Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 38158 N. Gantzel Rd. | open |
| Ironwood Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 42141 N. Ironwood Dr. | open |
| Ironwood Pub & Grub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 40975 N Ironwood Dr #B108 | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 37723 N Gantzel Rd | open | |
| Jalapeńos #2 Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5452 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 40930 N Ironwood Rd Suite 112 | open |
| Kendall, Sturtz, Whitsell, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 140 W Ocotillo Rd | open | |
| KFC KFC | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 57 W. Combs Road | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 35 W Combs Rd | open |
| Maddie Jo's BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 5388 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Mariscos el reportado | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 5650 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Maritza's Pupusas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1532 W Ocotillo Rd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | 37632 N Gantzel Rd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 40523 N Gantzel Rd | open |
| Moreno's Mexican Grill Moreno's Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 85 W Combs Rd | open |
| Mr. Pickle's Sandwich Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 37666 N Gantzel Road, Combs Road Combs Rd Ste 108 | open |
| Mr. Pickle's Sandwich Shop - Queen Creek, AZ | Other | Sandwiches | 37666 N Gantzel Rd | open |
| Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 200 W Combs Rd Ste 109 | open |
| Nelly's Little Mexico Restaurant | Quick service | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 5452 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Ocotillo & Ironwood Salad and Go | Quick service | 90 W Ocotillo Rd, Queen Creek, AZ 85140 | open | |
| Ono Hawaiian BBQ Ono Hawaiian BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · BBQ | 202 W Combs Rd | open |
| Over Easy Over Easy Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 37584 N Gantzel Rd #107 | open |
| Palma Kitchen and Tap | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 36460 N Encanterra Dr | open |
| Penny Lane Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 790 E Penny Ln | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 40930 N Ironwood Rd #110 Suite 110 | open |
| Pizza Romano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 40615 N Gantzel Rd | open |
| Rosco's Fish And Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food | 40975 N Ironwood Dr Ste B104 | open |
| Salad and Go Salad and Go | Quick service · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 90 W Ocotillo Rd | open |
| SalsaMia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 1112 W Layland Ave | open |
| Santan Barbecue & Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 5452 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Someburros San Tan Valley | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 440 E Combs Rd | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 40889 N Ironwood Dr | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | open | |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 155 W Combs Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 35 West Combs Road Suite 101 | open |
| Sweet Vibes Bake Shop | Bakery | Bakery | 1171 E Elm Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 50 W Ocotillo Rd | open |
| Tacos El Azteca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6080 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Tacos Mexico 1 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5618 E Skyline Dr | open |
| Taquiera La Tinaja | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 40609 N Gantzel Rd | open |
| Thai Chili 2 Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 200 W Combs Rd | open |
| The Salsa Lady | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5123 E Shadow Ln | open |
| Time 4 A Cold Beer. | Bar · Casual dining | 40325 N Fazio St | open | |
| Vero Chicago Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 40975 N Ironwood Dr | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 42243 N Ironwood Dr | open |
| Whole Hearted Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 266 E Santori Dr | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 37584 N. Gantzel Road, Suite 106 | open |
| Woojis Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 36426 N Tatonga Trl | open |
| Zaxby's Zaxby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 37756 N Gantzel Rd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 40950 N Ironwood Dr | open |
| Ooroo Auto - San Tan Valley | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 40815 N Ironwood Dr | closed | |
| Original Golden Skone | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 40975 N Ironwood Dr Ste 104 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 23 | 21 | 5 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 21 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 20 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 24 | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 27 | 26 | 4 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 28 | 27 | 4 | 16 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 34 | 32 | 4 | 19 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.