BMIE Market 85143

Pinal County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	44,444 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,619 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,242 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±790 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	35,015 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,526 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$93,707 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,802 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,074 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±111 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$389,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,261 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	31.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85143
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+24.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,100.0% DERIVED: 2008 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	36 (range 33–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.58) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85143. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.58, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.3	87	40%	+34.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.9	79	35%	+27.6
Market Momentum Score	76.2	76	25%	+19.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	44,444	96	40%	+38.2
Median household income (ACS)	93,707	76	40%	+30.6
Households (ACS)	14,242	92	20%	+18.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	35%	+24.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.1	80	25%	+20.0
Population (ACS)	44,444	96	20%	+19.1
Median household income (ACS)	93,707	76	20%	+15.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 76 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	24.1	80	50%	+49.9
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	30%	+26.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

American 9 · Mexican 8 · Asian 7 · Pizza 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee 6 · Burgers 5 · Dessert 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 20 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 7 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angry Crab Shack Angry Crab Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Asian	1749 W Hunt Hwy	open
Arby's	Quick service		1520 W Hunt Highway Ste 0004	open
Asian Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1749 W Hunt Hwy, San Tan Valley, AZ 85142	open
Auntie Anne's	Quick service · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Bakery	1781 W Hunt Hwy	open
Barro's Pizza Barro's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2436 E Hunt Hwy	open
Biscuits Cafe Biscuits Cafe Inc	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	270 E Hunt Hwy	open
Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	635 E Hunt Hwy	open
Bobo China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	270 E Hunt Hwy #8	open
Brickies Smokehouse & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	270 E Hunt Hwy Ste 20	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1741 Hunt Hwy	open
Cafe Rio Cafe Rio Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	611 E Hunt Hwy	open
Chef on the Go	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	134 W Canyon Rock Rd	open
Chen's Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	530 E Hunt Hwy	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1371 W Hunt Hwy	open
Denny's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	1758 W Hunt Hwy	open
Dessert Queen	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	530 E Hunt Hwy #117	open
Don Pedro's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	270 E Hunt Hwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1662 W Hunt Hwy	open
Filiberto's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2510 E Hunt Hwy #20	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1735 West Hunt Highway, Ste. 103	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	1746 W Hunt Hwy	open
Freeze Dried Candy Shop	Dessert		530 E Hunt Hwy	open
Froyona	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	530 E Hunt Hwy Ste 117	open
Geno's Giant Slice Geno's Giant Slice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2510 E Hunt Hwy	open
Good Burger Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	2528 E Copper Mine Rd	open
Greek Islands Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · Burgers	270 E Hunt Hwy #9	open
Hungry Howie's Pizza Hungry Howie's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1745 Hunt Hwy #104	open
Hunt Hwy & Gary Salad and Go	Quick service		1754 W Hunt Hwy, San Tan Valley, AZ 85143	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		534 E Hunt Hwy	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	561 E Bella Vista Rd Ste 105	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1662 W Hunt Hwy Ste. 103	open
Kiyoshi Teriyaki & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2510 E Hunt Hwy	open
Little Caesars Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1735 Hunt Hwy	open
Live Lean Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	2510 E Hunt Hwy	open
Los Favoritos Los Favoritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1745 Hunt Hwy B-106	open
Maria's Kitchen Terrace Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · American	30761 W Golf Club Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	305 E Hunt Hwy	open
Mia Bella Cupcakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	626 W Cedar Tree Dr	open
Miranda's	Quick service		1419 W Hunt Hwy	open
Native Grill & Wings Native Grill & Wings	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1750 W Hunt Hwy	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	1680 W Hunt Hwy	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	270 E Hunt Hwy	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	561 Bella Vis Rd	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	33179 North Gary Road	open
Rosati's Pizza Rosati's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	287 E Hunt Hwy	open
Salad and Go Salad and Go	Quick service · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	1754 W Hunt Hwy	open
San Tan Deli and Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · Sandwiches	2510 E Hunt Hwy	open
Sierra’s Homestead Kitchen	Bakery	Bakery	29362 N Varnum Rd	open
Simply Sourdough	Bakery	Bakery	E Sunstone Dr	open
Sizzling Seniors Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2510 E Hunt Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	542 E Hunt Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1757 W Hunt Hwy Bldg D	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1711 W Hunt Highway	open
Tacos el correo	Food truck	Mexican	440 E Diamond Trl	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1758 W Hunt Hwy	open
The Gym Grill and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		#1, 2510 E Hunt Hwy	open
Twisted Sugar Twisted Sugar NWI	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	2510 E Hunt Hwy	open
Two Hands-San Tan Valley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Korean · Asian	530 E Hunt Hwy	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1725 W Hunt Hwy	open
Yoboba	Restaurant (service type not stated)		530 E Hunt Hwy Ste 117	open
Yola's Cajun Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	270 E Hunt Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2008	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	24	24	8	13	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	29	28	7	17	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	28	26	5	16	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	31	29	8	16	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	32	30	9	16	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	34	31	11	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	32	29	10	15	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	33	30	10	16	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	34	30	10	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	34	30	10	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	31	8	17	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	37	36	9	20	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85143. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.