BMIE Market 85193

Pinal County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,118 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,001 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,344 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±228 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,906 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,080 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$57,930 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$880 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±278 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$167,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,415 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	213.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	Not published for this ZIP 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85193
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2011 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2021	1 (range 1–1) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2010–2016 (7 points, +0.0 per year, r² 1.00) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Consumer Market Score	44 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85193. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2010–2016, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 1.00, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	44.3	44	40%	+23.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.5	64	35%	+29.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,118	57	40%	+22.9
Median household income (ACS)	57,930	26	40%	+10.5
Households (ACS)	1,344	55	20%	+10.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.4	98	25%	+37.9
Population (ACS)	4,118	57	20%	+17.6
Median household income (ACS)	57,930	26	20%	+8.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (7)

By cuisine

American 2 · Bakery 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 4 · Bar 2 · Bakery 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5000 S Sunland Gin Rd	open
Castro's Hot Dogs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		27080 W Paradise Palms St	open
Clara B's	Bakery	Bakery	25565 W McNary Dr	open
Duke's Bar	Bar	American	State Highway 84	open
Duke's Lounge/legends Restaraunt	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2684 W Gila Bend Hwy	open
La Familia Lounge	Bar		5841 S Sandstone Ave	open
Legend At The Francisco Grande	Restaurant (service type not stated)		26000 W Gila Bend Hwy # HWY-9298	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2010	2	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	2	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	2	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	2	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	2	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2022	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85193. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.