BMIE Market 85194

Pinal County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,077 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±800 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,298 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±311 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,721 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,673 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,935 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,049 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	54.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,313 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±421 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$350,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,357 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	80.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85194
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,000.0% DERIVED: 2008 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	55 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85194. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.9	67	40%	+26.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.7	68	35%	+23.7
Market Momentum Score	54.6	55	25%	+13.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,077	68	40%	+27.0
Median household income (ACS)	82,935	66	40%	+26.2
Households (ACS)	3,298	68	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	35%	+26.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.6	58	25%	+14.5
Population (ACS)	8,077	68	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	82,935	66	20%	+13.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 55 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+26.1
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	30%	+28.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 5 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Quick service 5 · Dessert 2 · Bar 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Barro's Pizza Barro's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	839 N Promenade Pkwy	open
Blue Sky Dining Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2453 E Florence Blvd	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	859 North Promenade Parkway	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	893 N Promenade Pkwy	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	844 N Promenade Pkwy, # 103	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2453 E Florence Blvd	open
El Rinconcito de la Michoacana	Dessert	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1269 N Promenade Pkwy	open
Filiberto's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	847 N Promenade Pkwy	open
Hideout Steakhouse & BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Steakhouse	1005 N Promenade Pkwy	open
Hideout Steakhouse and BBQ Hideout Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Steakhouse · American	1269 N Promenade Pkwy #121	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	873 N. Promenade Pkwy.	open
Los Plebes Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	844 N Promenade Pkwy Ste 101	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	717 N Promenade Pkwy	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2469 East Florence Boulevard	open
Rosati's Rosati's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1269 N Promenade Pkwy	open
Silver Oak Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11 S Mission Pkwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	951 N Promenade Pkwy	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	847 N Promenade Pkwy Ste 103	open
Sushi Gon Estilo Sinaloa - Mariscos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	847 N Promenade Pkwy	open
Val's FryBread	Quick service		2370 W Pecina Ln	open
W & Z Asian Bistro W&Z Asian Bistro & Sushi Bar at Casa Grande	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	2461 E Florence Blvd #2	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2008	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	10	2	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85194. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.