BMIE Market 85310
Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,964 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,421 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,130 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±413 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,007 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,026 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $122,137 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,346 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,334 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±181 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $552,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,461 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85310 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -17.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -4.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +118.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 26 (range 21–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 31 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85310. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.9 | 85 | 40% | +34.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58.1 | 58 | 35% | +20.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 30.8 | 31 | 25% | +7.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,964 | 81 | 40% | +32.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 122,137 | 91 | 40% | +36.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,130 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -4 | 21 | 35% | +7.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.0 | 64 | 25% | +16.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,964 | 81 | 20% | +16.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 122,137 | 91 | 20% | +18.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 31 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -17.2 | 14 | 50% | +7.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -4 | 21 | 30% | +6.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 118.2 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (56)
By cuisine
American 9 · Coffee 8 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Mexican 4 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sushi 2 · Vietnamese 2 · German / Eastern European 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Italian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Quick service 16 · Café 7 · Dessert 7 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ammos Mediterranean Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 6530 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Amy Pho - Glendale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 23425 N 39th Dr #106 | open |
| Bambino's Sports Grill | Bar · Casual dining | American | 3860 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Bamboo Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee · Asian | 6615 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| BoSa Donuts | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Dessert · Tea / bubble tea · Bakery | 23423 N 67th Ave #101 | open |
| Brother's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 6635 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3840 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Cake Frenzy | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 4154 W Questa Dr | open |
| Capriotti's Sandwich Shop | Other | Sandwiches | 3890 W Happy Valley Rd Ste 160 | open |
| Cold Beers & Cheeseburgers Cold Beers & Cheeseburgers | Bar · Casual dining | Burgers | 6718 W Deer Valley Rd | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6768 W Deer Valley Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 3632 W Pinnacle Peak Rd Ste C | open |
| Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3580 W. Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Federico's Mexican Food Federico's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3730 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| First Watch First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 3780 W Happy Valley Rd. | open |
| First Watch | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 3780 W Happy Valley Rd, Ste 110/113, Ste. 110/113 | open |
| H Saiti & Son Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6635 W Happy Valley Rd Ste 107 | open | |
| Happy Valley Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3580 W. Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Hot Bagels & Deli | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 6520 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Humble Pie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3890 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service | 6530 W Happy Valley Road, Suite Ste B116 | open | |
| Jojo's Pizza & Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Pizza · American | 23425 N 39th Dr #110 | open |
| Kaitlyn Company Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 23425 N 39th Dr Ste 110 | open | |
| Kawaii Sushi and Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 6530 W Happy Valley Rd Suite 112 | open |
| Kfc Taco Bell | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican · Chicken / wings | 6708 W Deer Valley Rd | open |
| KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3626 W. Pinnacle Peak Rd | open |
| Koibito Poke - Stetson Hills | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3870 W Happy Valley Rd Ste 159 | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3730 W Happy Valley Rd Ste 105 | open |
| Long John Silver's Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 6645 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3848 W Pinnacle Peak Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 8022 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3890 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Over Easy Over Easy Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 6728 W Deer Valley Rd E101 | open |
| Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3780 W Happy Valley Rd Ste 124 | open |
| Poseidon Water Plumbing & More | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 23425 N 39th Dr | open |
| PT Pho Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 23425 N 39th Dr #106 | open |
| Razzleberriez Frozen Yogurt Razzleberriez Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6635 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Ridge Cafe | Café | Coffee | 23104 N 67th Ave | open |
| Slim Chickens Slim Chickens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · American | 3630 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Starbucks Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi | 3800 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 3860 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6625 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Streets of New York Streets of New York | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6740 W Deer Valley Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 23425 N 39th Dr Ste 108 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6635 W Happy Valley Rd Suite A 102 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 3626 W Pinnacle Peak Rd | open |
| The 4th Official FC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3555 W Pinnacle Peak Rd | open | |
| The Tipsy | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European | 6770 W Deer Valley Rd Ste B203 | open |
| Times 3 Bar & Grill Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6525 W Happy Valley Rd Ste C109 | open | |
| Times 3 Sports Grille | Bar · Casual dining | American | 6525 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Top That Frozen Yogurt | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3870 W Happy Valley Rd Ste 159 | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6520 W Happy Valley Rd Ste B109 | open |
| Wow Wow Hawaiian Lemonade | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3890 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Wow Wow Hawaiian Lemonade | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies | 3890 W Happy Valley Rd | open |
| Zoyo Neighborhood Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6635 W Happy Valley Rd Ste A102 | open |
| Southpoint Consolidated, L. P. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3820 W Happy Valley Rd Ste 141-601 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 19 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 19 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 21 | 20 | 4 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 25 | 4 | 13 | 8 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 27 | 24 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 27 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 28 | 25 | 5 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 32 | 29 | 7 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 29 | 26 | 5 | 16 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 29 | 25 | 5 | 16 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 17 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 29 | 24 | 6 | 16 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |