BMIE Market 85339

Maricopa County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	54,641 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,727 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,721 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±651 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	35,586 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,031 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$110,602 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,891 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,120 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±148 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$441,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	258.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	54 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85339
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+42.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+125.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+1,650.0% DERIVED: 1999 → 2019, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+5,300.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	60 (range 52–69) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.5 per year, r² 0.82) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	93 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85339. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.82, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	92.7	93	40%	+37.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88.3	88	35%	+30.9
Market Momentum Score	92.4	92	25%	+23.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	54,641	98	40%	+39.1
Median household income (ACS)	110,602	87	40%	+34.7
Households (ACS)	15,721	94	20%	+18.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	125	95	35%	+33.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.9	73	25%	+18.2
Population (ACS)	54,641	98	20%	+19.6
Median household income (ACS)	110,602	87	20%	+17.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	42.1	88	50%	+44.0
10-year restaurant growth	125	95	30%	+28.4
20-year restaurant growth	1,650	100	20%	+20.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (112)

By cuisine

American 23 · Mexican 20 · Coffee 12 · Pizza 10 · Sandwiches 9 · Burgers 8 · Dessert 8 · Juice / smoothies 8 · Bakery 7 · Chicken / wings 7 · Asian 6 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 6 · Healthy / salads / bowls 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Chinese 4 · Italian 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Vietnamese 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 57 · Quick service 36 · Dessert 13 · Café 11 · Bakery 9 · Casual dining 9 · Bar 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Food truck 5 · Specialty food shop 3 · Fast casual 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
35th Ave & Baseline Salad and Go	Quick service		3505 W Baseline Rd, Laveen Village, AZ 85339	open
59th & Baseline Salad and Go	Quick service		7480 S 59th Ave, Phoenix, Laveen Village, AZ 85339	open
Almuerzo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	6115 51st Ave	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5210 W Baseline Rd	open
Backyard Taco - Laveen Backyard Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7730 S 59th Ave	open
Bahama Buck's Bahama Buck's	Dessert	Dessert	7450 S 35th Ave	open
Barro's Pizza Barro's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5240 W Baseline Rd #110	open
Berlando's Mexican Food #2	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		17197 S 51st Ave	open
Black Bear Diner Laveen Black Bear Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3530 W Baseline Rd Laveen	open
Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3515 W Baseline Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	5055 W Southern Ave	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	5040 W Baseline Rd	open
Carla's Frybread	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Mexican · American	51st Ave & Pecos Rd.	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5990 West Baseline Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5130 W Baseline Rd Ste 105	open
Coca-Cola Freestyle Coca-Cola Freestyle	Quick service	Vietnamese	5225 W Baseline Rd	open
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5150 W Baseline Rd	open
Comiendo Con memo	Food truck	Mexican	3112 W Dobbins Rd	open
Cookies By Katie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7248 W St Catherine Ave	open
Crumbl - Laveen	Dessert	Dessert	5130 W Baseline Rd Ste 113	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7770 S 51st Ave	open
Dave's Hot Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7616 S 56th Ave	open
Ditka's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	15091 S. Komatke Ln.	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	6170 S 51st Ave Ste 101	open
Don Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4920 W Baseline Rd	open
Dos Gordos Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3552 W Baseline Rd #144	open
Draco Restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Ruta 9, Km 43,5 Intersección Puente Rio Grande	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	5225 W Baseline Rd	open
Eagles Nest Cafe at Aguila Golf Course	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	8440 S 35th Ave	open
Eatherton Bar and Grill.	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
El Chinal Hotdogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Mexican	7145 S 51st Ave	open
El Coctel Sinaloense	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	4402 W Southern Ave	open
El Gran Sazon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	5912 W Southern Ave	open
El Gran Taquito Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5130 W Baseline Rd	open
El Taco Loco Taqueria Taco Loco	Food truck	Mexican	5501 W Baseline Rd	open
Federico's Mexican Food Federico's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7410 S 35th Ave	open
Filiberto's Filibertos Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	5220 W Baseline Rd	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	5225 W. Baseline Rd. Ste. 102	open
Frybread Fanatics!	Food truck		5036 W Dobbins Rd	open
Healthy Chinese Herbs	Juice, smoothie, tea	Chinese · Juice / smoothies	3552 W Baseline Rd #138	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	5940 West Baseline Road	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5990 West Baseline Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		5115 W Southern Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		5959 W Baseline Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	5130 W. Baseline Rd Ste. 104	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	4920 W Baseline Rd Ste. 111	open
JJ's Grubb Shack N Liquor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chicken / wings	4402 W Southern Ave	open
Kabob Express LLC	Dessert · Quick service	Indian · Dessert	6115 S 51st Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5145 W Baseline Rd	open
La Carreta de Lily La Carreta	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican · Latin American (other)	6115 51st Ave	open
Laveen BBQ Festival	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	7858 S 35th Ave Laveen, AZ 85339	open
Lienzo Charro Los Amigos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	8608 S 29th Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4920 W Baseline Rd	open
Mandy's Fish And Chips Mandy’s Fish & Chips	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food · Seafood · American	5240 W Baseline Rd	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5885 W Baseline Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5120 W Baseline Rd	open
Mimi Forno Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3624 W Baseline Rd #174	open
MOD Pizza MOD Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7620 S 59th Ave Ste 100	open
Mr. Pickle's Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5885 W Baseline Road, 59th Ave Ste 140	open
Native Brew	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	Business, 5740 W Baseline Rd	open
Native Grill and Wings Native Grill & Wings	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5020 W Baseline Rd	open
Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	5130 W Baseline Rd	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5920 W Baseline Rd Ste 103	open
One Stop Nutrition - Laveen	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	7540 S 59th Ave	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service · Coffee shop · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café	Mexican · Dessert · Coffee · Chinese · Asian	15091 S Komatke Ln	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	5010 W Baseline Rd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	5920 W Baseline Road	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5045 W Baseline Rd #130	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5185 W Baseline Rd Ste 102	open
Peter Piper Pizza Peter Piper Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5135 W Baseline Rd	open
Pho Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	5185 W Baseline Rd	open
Pho Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	5185 W Baseline Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5270 W. Baseline Rd. Maricopa	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3510 W Baseline Rd	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	5950 W Baseline Rd	open
Rancho La Calendaria Mexican & Oaxacan Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3301 W Baseline Rd	open
Rancho La Candelaria	Food truck	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	3301 W Baseline Rd	open
Red Dragon Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5130 W Baseline Rd Ste.108	open
Robeks Fresh Juices & Smoothies Robeks Fresh Juices & Smoothies	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	7625 S 59th Ave	open
Salad and Go Salad and Go	Quick service · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	3505 W Baseline Rd	open
Salad and Go Salad and Go	Quick service · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	7480 S 59th Ave	open
Scooptacular Scooptacular	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5150 W Baseline Rd	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	5659 W Baseline Rd	open
Signature Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	5035 W Baseline Rd	open
Smashburger Smashburger	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers · American	5215 W Baseline Rd	open
Smoakie Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5020 W Baseline Rd	open
Smoothie Run	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	6115 S 51st Ave Ste 205	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	7745 South 51St Avenue	open
Square Bar At Vee Quiva Casino	Bar		15091 S Komatke Ln	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	5925 W Baseline Rd	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5130 W Baseline Rd Suite 114	open
Sunrise Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	3536 W Baseline Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7233 S 51st Ave	open
Taco Bite	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	Beltline and Pecos Rd	open
Taconmadres.oficial	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	6115 S 51st Ave	open
The Habit Burger Grill The Habit Burger Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	4902 West Baseline	open
The Meltdown	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches	5975 W. Baseline Road	open
The Spurr Lounge	Bar		5535 W Baseline Rd	open
The Village Cookier	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery	4732 W Allen St	open
Tortas Manantial Tortas Manantial	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches · Latin American (other)	5185 W Baseline Rd Unit 102	open
Tortas Manantial	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	5185 W Baseline Rd Unit Laveen	open
Vee Quiva Dining	Bar		15091 S Komatke Ln	open
W Baseline Rd Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5659 W Baseline Rd	open
W Baseline Rd & S 59th Ave Whataburger	Quick service		5775 BASELINE RD	open
WaBa Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	7450 S 59th Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3520 W Baseline Rd	open
WG0298 Laveen WaBa Grill	Quick service		7450 S. 59th Ave	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	5775 BASELINE RD	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	5130 W Baseline Rd	open
Yogi's Grill Yogis Grill Yuma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · American · Sushi · Asian	7620 S 59th Ave #104	open
Zoyo Neighborhood Yogurt Walmart	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5185 W Baseline Rd #106	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	3	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	3	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	2	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	8	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	13	12	3	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	18	16	3	11	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	22	20	4	13	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	22	19	3	13	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	24	19	2	14	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	24	20	3	15	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	24	21	2	17	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	27	24	5	17	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	28	23	3	18	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	30	27	3	21	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	33	30	4	22	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	39	37	4	29	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	40	38	5	27	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	37	35	6	26	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	37	34	7	24	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	40	37	8	25	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	48	44	10	29	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	58	54	12	34	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85339. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85045	4.5 mi	3	2018

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.