BMIE Market 85552

Graham County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,861 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±333 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,333 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,218 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,334 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,454 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,965 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$937 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±121 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$290,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,600 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	29.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85552
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+133.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+133.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85552. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.5	67	40%	+27.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.7	70	35%	+24.4
Market Momentum Score	77.3	77	25%	+19.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,861	65	40%	+26.1
Median household income (ACS)	88,454	72	40%	+28.7
Households (ACS)	2,333	63	20%	+12.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	133.3	95	35%	+33.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.4	36	25%	+9.1
Population (ACS)	6,861	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	88,454	72	20%	+14.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.7	65	50%	+32.4
10-year restaurant growth	133.3	95	30%	+28.5
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

American 6 · Mexican 4 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Quick service 5 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Banda Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2875 W Highway 70	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2103 W Highway 70	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service			open
EAC Gila Hank's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	615 N Stadium Ave	open
Eagles Roost	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	1255-1 Dorothy Ln	open
Hawaiian Snow	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1034 N Stadium Ave	open
JD's Grill House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2019 US-70	open
Kainoa's Hawaiian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · BBQ	3533 US-70	open
La Casita Cafe La Casita Cafe	Café	Coffee · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	3338 W Main St	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2065 W US Highway 70	open
Pursley Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2646 W US Highway 70	open
R&R Pizza Express R&R Pizza Express, Sierra Vista	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	2646 US-70	open
Sin-Licious Cinnamon Rolls	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	272 S 1st Ave	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2241 W. Us Highway 70	open
Stadium Club	Bar			open
Super king hot dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		2185 W US-70	open
Sushi Queen uno	Food truck	Japanese · Sushi	3613 W Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2267 W Highway 70	open
Toni's Kitchen Pizzarama	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3310 W Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	11	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	10	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	7	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	7	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	9	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	10	7	2	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	9	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	9	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	9	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	14	4	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85552. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85531	3.6 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.