BMIE Market 85743
Pima County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 31,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,371 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 12,506 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±592 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 29,144 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,095 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $90,093 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,220 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 47.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,743 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±99 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $356,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,276 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 118.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85743 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 11.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +340.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,000.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 46 (range 43–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85743. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.2 | 83 | 40% | +33.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72.3 | 72 | 35% | +25.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 81.0 | 81 | 25% | +20.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 31,300 | 90 | 40% | +35.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 90,093 | 73 | 40% | +29.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 12,506 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 73 | 35% | +25.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.1 | 56 | 25% | +14.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 31,300 | 90 | 20% | +17.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 90,093 | 73 | 20% | +14.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 22.2 | 79 | 50% | +39.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 73 | 30% | +22.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 340 | 97 | 20% | +19.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (81)
By cuisine
American 18 · Mexican 13 · Coffee 10 · Pizza 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Asian 7 · Dessert 7 · Juice / smoothies 6 · Bakery 4 · Breakfast 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 19 · Bar 9 · Dessert 9 · Café 8 · Casual dining 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro “Serious Mexican, Mariscos, & Fusion Food” | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7850 N Silverbell Rd Ste #156 | open |
| Angela's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 9190 N Coachline Blvd | open |
| Asian Spice Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Asian · American | 7850 N Silverbell Rd #144 | open |
| Baggin's Gourmet Sandwiches Baggin's Gourmet Sandwiches | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 5925 West Arizona Pavilions Dr #101 | open |
| BarDown Fitness & Nutrition | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining | Juice / smoothies · American | 5885 Arizona Pavilions Dr | open |
| Barro's Pizza Barro's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5825 W Arizona Pavilions Dr | open |
| Beaming | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 5885 W Arizona Pavilions Dr | open |
| Blimpie | Quick service | 8685 North Silverbell Rd | open | |
| Boba Cucue Marana Boba CuCue Bubble Tea House Farmington NM | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 8225 N Courtney Page Way | open |
| Boston's Marana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5825 W Arizona Pavilions Dr | open | |
| BTO Self-Serve Frozen Yogurt - Tucson | Other · Dessert · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 8245 N Silverbell Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8328 N Cortaro Rd | open |
| Casa D&M | Bar · Brewery / taproom | American | open | |
| Casa Marana Beer · Wine · Spirits • Pizza | Bar | Pizza | 8225 N Courtney Page Way | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 8280 N Cortaro Rd | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service | Sandwiches | 8280 N Cortaro Rd | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5975 W. Arizona Pavilions Dr. | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5940 W Arizona Pavillions Dr | open |
| Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 8400 N Cracker Barrel Rd | open |
| Desert Bloom Confections | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 6821 W Tombstone Way | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 7730 N Cortaro Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert · Breakfast | 8002 N Cortaro Rd | open |
| Eegee's eegee's | Quick service | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 8160 N Courtney Page Way | open |
| Filiberto's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9160 N Silverbell Rd | open |
| Focus On Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 7850 N Silverbell Rd Ste 126 | open |
| Fortune Cookie Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 9110 N Silverbell Rd | open |
| Froyo Fresh | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 8245 N Silverbell Rd #127 | open |
| Growler's Taphouse | Casual dining · Bar | 8275 N Silverbell Rd | open | |
| Guadalajara's Grill & Tequila Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5955 W Arizona Pavilions Dr | open |
| Home Plate Marana Home Plate Marana | Bar · Casual dining | American | 8579 N Silverbell Rd | open |
| Horseshoe Barbeque | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 5675 Sandario Road | open |
| Hungry Howie's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7575 W Twin Peaks | open |
| In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8180 Cortaro Rd. | open |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5975 W. Arizona Pavilions Dr. | open |
| Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 9140 N Silverbell Rd Ste 130 | open |
| Jerry Bobs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 7850 N Silverbell Rd | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5940 W. Arizona Pavilions Dr Suite 100 | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Other · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 8260 N Cortaro Rd Suite #112 | open |
| Just Breakfast | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 8581 N Silverbell Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 8270 N Cortaro Rd | open |
| Krispy Kreme Doughnuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 8260 N Cortaro Rd | open |
| La Olla Mexican Cafe | Café | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Coffee | 8553 N Silverbell Rd Ste 102 | open |
| Lil Abner's Steakhouse | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 8501 N Silverbell Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8295 N Cortaro Rd | open |
| Lucky's Boba Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 7455 W Twin Peaks Rd #103 | open |
| Mantis Gourmet Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 8250 N Cortaro Rd Ste 150 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 8349 N Cortaro Rd | open |
| Miss Saigon Marana Miss Saigon Vietnamese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Chinese | 8225 N Courtney Page Way | open |
| Nana's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 8225 N Courtney Page Way | open |
| Native Grill & Wings Native Grill & Wings | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 8225 N Courtney Page Way | open |
| New Town Buffet | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 8500 N Cracker Barrel Rd | open |
| Nico's Taco Shop. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 8295 N Cortaro Rd Ste 125 | open |
| Ocotillo Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 2021 N Kinney Rd | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 8140 N Cortaro Rd | open |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7850 North Silverbell Road | open |
| Phoebe's Coffee Shop | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2021 N Kinney Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 8245 N Silverbell Rd | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Rancho Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 9190 N Coachline Blvd Ste 140 | open |
| Rong Management Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8500 N Cracker Barrel Rd | open | |
| Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 9170 N Silverbell Rd | open |
| Spice Garden Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 5815 N Arizona Pavilions Dr #155 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 5970 Arizona Pavilions Dr | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 4905 W Ina Rd I-10 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian | 9180 N Silverbell Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6777 N Sandario Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5892 W Arizona Pavilions Dr Ste 100 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9110 N. Silverbell Road Suite 150 | open |
| Sushi Cortaro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 8225 N Courtney Page Way | open |
| Taco Bell | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 8270 N Cortaro Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 8084 N Cortaro Rd | open |
| Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 8450 N Cracker Barrel Rd | open |
| The Original El Taco | Food truck | Mexican | open | |
| The Screamery The Screamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 5920 Arizona Pavilions Dr #100 | open |
| The Station Pub and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 8235 N Silverbell Rd | open |
| The Whately Backyard Oasis | Bar | 6990 N Camino Verde | open | |
| Twin Peaks Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7575 W Twin Peaks Rd | open |
| UnCommyn Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 6744 W Alegria Dr | open |
| Village Inn Restaurants Village Inn Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 5955 W Arizona Pavilions Dr | open |
| Wagon Wheel Post | Bar | 6803 N Sandario Rd | open | |
| Whisk Gourmet Goodies | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 6850 N Sanders Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 20 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 27 | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 34 | 31 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 40 | 38 | 13 | 19 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 40 | 38 | 12 | 20 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 37 | 33 | 12 | 17 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 33 | 31 | 13 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 34 | 33 | 16 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 35 | 34 | 17 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 39 | 36 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 43 | 38 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 44 | 39 | 18 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 36 | 16 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 45 | 39 | 17 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 47 | 40 | 19 | 13 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 44 | 38 | 15 | 13 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 44 | 39 | 17 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 44 | 19 | 13 | 10 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.