BMIE Market 87048

Sandoval County, New Mexico · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,069 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,666 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±206 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,682 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,959 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$102,004 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,716 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	55.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,143 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±209 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$574,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52,847 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 87048
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-69.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-55.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 3–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	15 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 87048. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Mexico and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 177, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.6	75	40%	+29.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.0	66	35%	+23.1
Market Momentum Score	14.8	15	25%	+3.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,069	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	102,004	82	40%	+32.9
Households (ACS)	3,666	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.4	94	25%	+23.4
Population (ACS)	9,069	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	102,004	82	20%	+16.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 15 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-33.3	8	50%	+4.1
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-69.2	1	20%	+0.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · American 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · French 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 4 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Bakery 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A better Bistro in progress	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern		open
Casa Vieja	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4541 Corrales Rd	open
Corrales Bike and Wine Tour	Winery / distillery / taproom		3677 Corrales Rd	open
Corrales Bistro Brewery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4908 Corrales Rd	open
Dawgs For A Cause	Food truck		4541 Corrales Rd	open
Ex Novo Brewing Company Ex Novo Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4895 Corrales Rd	open
Fancies Bakery, Deli & Modern Market	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	4940 Corrales Rd	open
Grinding Gears Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4206 Corrales Rd	open
GypsiesCourtyard	Coffee shop	Coffee	4436 Corrales Rd	open
Hannah & Nate's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	4512 Corrales Rd	open
In Pizza We Trust	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	4541 Corrales Rd	open
Indigo Crow Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	4515 Corrales Rd	open
Jitters N Junk	Coffee shop	Coffee	4895 Corrales Rd	open
Las Ristras	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4940 Corrales Rd Ste 400	open
Milagro Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		985 West Ella Dr	open
Mulas New Mexican Kitchen and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4908 Corrales Rd	open
NO COMPETITION: supercharged bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4445 Corrales Rd Ste B	open
Oasis Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop	Coffee	4940 Corrales Rd	open
Padres Cigars	Bar		4605 Corrales Rd	open
Pasando Tiempo Winery and Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		277 Dandelion Rd	open
Perea's Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4590 Corrales Rd	open
Red Mountain Manor	Winery / distillery / taproom		353 Loma Larga Rd	open
Sandia Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		4445 Corrales Rd	open
Sandos And Sandias	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4895 Corrales Rd	open
Tuna Boat Charters Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4908 Corrales Rd # A	open
Village Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4266 Corrales Rd	open
WAFFOLOGY	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4940 CORRALES RD 400	open
Corrales Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		6275 Corrales Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	14	13	5	7	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	14	12	7	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	14	13	9	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	7	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	10	5	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	10	9	3	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	10	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	9	7	2	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	7	6	2	2	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	6	5	3	—	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	5	4	3	—	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	6	5	4	—	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	5	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	6	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 87048. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
87114	4.2 mi	125	2023
87113	4.3 mi	51	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.