BMIE Market 87117

Bernalillo County, New Mexico · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	26 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	310 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	Data source not yet connected
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	39.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	Not published for this ZIP 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 87117
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	64.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2016 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2011 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2001 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2026	3 (range 2–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2011–2021 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	30 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	2 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 87117. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2011–2021, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Mexico and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 177, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	2.4	2	40%	+1.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36.7	37	35%	+12.9
Market Momentum Score	64.1	64	25%	+16.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 2 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	26	3	40%	+1.9
Households (ACS)	0	1	20%	+0.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 37 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+36.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	1,153.9	0	25%	+0.1
Population (ACS)	26	3	20%	+0.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (7)

By cuisine

Sandwiches 3 · American 2 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 6 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Blake's Lotaburger Blake's Lotaburger	Quick service		1100 Pennsylvania St SE	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	7901 Gibson Blvd SE Bldg 20176	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	8001 Gibson Blvd SE Kirtland Air Force Base	open
Mcdonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1100 Pennsylvania St SE	open
Oak Tree Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	4545 Alameda Blvd NE	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	7901 Gibson Blvd SE Bldg 20176	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4503 Biggs Ave, Building 944	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2001	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	4	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	4	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 87117. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
87116	4.2 mi	1	2001

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.