BMIE Market 87122

Bernalillo County, New Mexico · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,578 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,150 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,027 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±424 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,977 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,210 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$169,041 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,737 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,534 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±564 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$650,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,198 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	21.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 87122
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+180.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 13–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 87122. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Mexico and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 177, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.0	87	40%	+34.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.3	74	35%	+26.0
Market Momentum Score	37.9	38	25%	+9.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,578	80	40%	+32.0
Median household income (ACS)	169,041	98	40%	+39.1
Households (ACS)	7,027	79	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	35%	+18.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.5	82	25%	+20.6
Population (ACS)	18,578	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	169,041	98	20%	+19.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.7	21	50%	+10.7
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	30%	+15.6
20-year restaurant growth	40	58	20%	+11.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 6 · Asian 5 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Sushi 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Italian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 6 · Quick service 3 · Café 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bahama Buck's Bahama Buck's	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Dessert · Juice / smoothies	8810 Holly Ave NE Ste A	open
Bento Sushi Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7610 Carmel Ave NE e	open
Best Lee's Asian Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	7900 Carmel Ave NE Ste F	open
Boba Tea Company Boba Tea Company	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies	8850 Holly Ave NE	open
Boese Brothers Brewing	Brewery / taproom		7849 Tramway Blvd NE #C	open
County Line Barbeque County Line Produce	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	9600 Tramway Blvd NE	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	7849 Tramway Blvd Ne Suite D	open
Flying Star Cafe Flying Star Cafe	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery · American	8000 Paseo Del Norte NE Bldg. D	open
High Finance Restaurant - at the Top of the Tram	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	40 Tramway Rd NE	open
Homestead Bistro and Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		40 Tramway Rd NE	open
IT Dimsum	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7900 Carmel Ave NE	open
Jinja Bar & Bistro Jinja Albuquerque Westside	Bar	Asian	8900 Holly Ave NE	open
O'Bean’s Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	12760 San Rafael Ave NE	open
Pizzeria Luca Pizzeria Luca	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8850 Holly Ave NE	open
Right TU	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	216 Live Oak Ln NE	open
Sandiago's Grill at the Tram	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Mexican	40 Tramway Rd NE	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	12700 San Rafael Ave NE	open
TEN 3	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	30 Tramway Rd NE	open
TEN 3	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	30 Tramway Rd NE	open
TEN 3	Restaurant (service type not stated)	European	30 Tramway Rd NE	open
Vineyard Estates, Albuquerque	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Vintage 423	Bar	Steakhouse · American	8000 Paseo del Norte NE	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	7610 Carmel Ave NE Suite C	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	8100 Ventura St NE	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	5	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	4	—	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	6	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	9	9	6	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	9	5	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	10	3	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	5	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	12	5	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	6	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	14	8	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	13	6	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	6	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	12	5	4	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	12	5	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	15	5	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	17	7	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	17	7	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	16	7	4	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	14	6	4	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 87122. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
87111	3.5 mi	81	2023
87113	4.5 mi	51	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.