BMIE Market 89002

Clark County, Nevada · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	37,664 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,609 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	13,533 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±638 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	31,880 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,705 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$105,471 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,230 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,963 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±117 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$448,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,656 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 89002
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+233.3% DERIVED: 2006 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	92 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	93 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 89002. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Nevada and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 137, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.2	89	40%	+35.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	92.2	92	35%	+32.3
Market Momentum Score	92.7	93	25%	+23.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	37,664	93	40%	+37.2
Median household income (ACS)	105,471	84	40%	+33.7
Households (ACS)	13,533	92	20%	+18.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.7	98	25%	+24.5
Population (ACS)	37,664	93	20%	+18.6
Median household income (ACS)	105,471	84	20%	+16.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 93 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	66.7	93	50%	+58.2
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+34.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Buffet 1 · Casual dining 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Box Car Buffet	Buffet		2800 S Boulder Hwy	open
Bullet Train	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1520 Railroad Pass Casino Rd	open
Cafe Rio Cafe Rio Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	65 E Horizon Ridge Pkwy	open
Cakes On The Move	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	1211 Santa Helena Ave	open
Capriotti's Sandwich Shop	Other	Sandwiches	1550 Railroad Pass Casino Rd	open
Conductor's Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	2800 S Boulder Hwy	open
Delicias colombianas	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2050 S Magic Way	open
DeSimone's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · Italian	1500 Railroad Pass Casino Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1700 Railroad Pass Casino Rd	open
Eff-n-Hotdogs & Catering LLC.	Food truck		698 Mission Dr	open
El Torito Cafe El Torito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2126 S Boulder Hwy	open
Flowers Baking Co. of Henderson Flowers' discount Bakery Store	Bakery	Bakery	501 Conestoga Way	open
Grand China \| Chinese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	75 E Horizon Ridge Pkwy #120	open
Ohjah Noodle House 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · Japanese	35 E Horizon Ridge Pkwy Ste 160	open
Peace Love N Sweets	Dessert	Dessert	642 Moonlight Stroll St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	901 Billings St	open
Remedy's Conestoga Way	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	530 Conestoga Way	open
Sbarro Sbarro	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	1500 Railroad Pass Casino Rd	open
Shootout Saloon	Bar		944 Wild West Dr	open
Sonic Sonic	Quick service		1700 Railroad Pass Casino Drive	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service		1700 Railroad Pass Casino Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1550 Railroad Pass Casino Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	8 E Horizon Ridge Pkwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	2109 South Magic Way, Suite 100	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	75 E Horizon Ridge Pkwy Suite 150	open
The Smokesman!	Quick service		2126 S Boulder Hwy	open
Wild Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	2000 S Boulder Hwy	open
Afc Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	45 E Horizon Ridge Pkwy	closed
Sugar Lips Icery	Dessert		40 E Horizon Ridge Pkwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2006	3	3	2	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	4	2	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	4	3	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	5	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	6	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	7	4	1	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	8	5	2	1	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	8	5	2	1	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	7	5	2	1	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	7	4	2	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	8	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	8	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	8	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	8	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	9	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 89002. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
89015	3.4 mi	80	2023
89012	4.6 mi	67	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.