BMIE Market 89191

Clark County, Nevada · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	505 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	857 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	21.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	9.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 89191
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 2006 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 4–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2011–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	36 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	15 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	57 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 89191. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2011–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Nevada and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 137, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	15.3	15	40%	+6.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.7	44	35%	+15.3
Market Momentum Score	56.9	57	25%	+14.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 15 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	505	21	40%	+14.3
Households (ACS)	4	3	20%	+1.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+36.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	59.4	8	25%	+2.4
Population (ACS)	505	21	20%	+5.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 57 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+26.1
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+30.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 3 · Coffee 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Quick service 11 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Café 3 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Chinese · American	5691 Rickenbacker Rd Bldg 31	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4200 N Washington Blvd	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	5691 Rickenbacker Rd	open
FLY by Sodexo at Nellis AFB	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	4551 Ellsworth Ave	open
Gus Dean's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5691 Rickenbacker Rd Ste 7052	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10150 Clark Peterson Blvd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		10150 Clark Peterson Blvd	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	350 N Nellis Blvd	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Quick service		Nellis Air Force Base, Bldg350	open
Marcos Pizza Nellis AFB	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	Building 350 Nellis Air Force Base	open
Nellis BX Food Court	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		4339 Duffer Dr	open
Nellis Club	Bar		5871 Fitzgerald Blvd	open
Next10 Cafe LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3705 Freedom Cir	open
Papa Johns Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	NELLIS AIR FORCE BASE BUILDING #350	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4200 N Washington Blvd	open
Qdoba Mexican Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5691 Rickenbacker Rd	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5691 Rickenbacker Rd	open
Sarku Japan Sarku Japan	Quick service	Japanese · Asian	Nellis Main Exchange Space #FDD08, 5691 Rickenbacker Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	5691 Rickenbacker Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	4700 Las Vegas Blvd N., Mike O'Callaghan Medical Cnter, Nellis AFB Hospital	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5691 Rickenbacker Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2006	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	2	—	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	2	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 89191. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
89115	2.2 mi	41	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.