BMIE Market 89706

Carson City, Nevada · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,478 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,279 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,443 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±405 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,510 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,871 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,815 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,172 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,237 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±93 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$367,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,520 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	34.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 89706
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+3.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+17.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+41.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+112.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	34 (range 30–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 89706. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Nevada and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 137, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.1	63	40%	+25.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.4	56	35%	+19.7
Market Momentum Score	59.8	60	25%	+15.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,478	82	40%	+32.7
Median household income (ACS)	62,815	35	40%	+14.0
Households (ACS)	8,443	82	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	17.2	61	35%	+21.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.6	47	25%	+11.8
Population (ACS)	20,478	82	20%	+16.4
Median household income (ACS)	62,815	35	20%	+7.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	3.0	59	50%	+29.7
10-year restaurant growth	17.2	61	30%	+18.3
20-year restaurant growth	41.7	59	20%	+11.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (91)

By cuisine

Mexican 14 · American 12 · Latin American (other) 8 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Coffee 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Dessert 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Indian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Quick service 19 · Bar 13 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
10 Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Hospitality Way	open
Benson Law Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		123 W Nye Ln Ste 487	open
Bleu Cafe	Café	Coffee	240 E Winnie Ln	open
Boots N Garters Dancehall & Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2206 Mouton Dr	open
Brendoni's Cottage Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3219 Champion St	open
Bully's Sports Bar & Grill Bully's Sports Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	3530 N Carson St	open
Bunny Ranch Bar and Cigar	Bar		10025 US Highway 50 E	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3589 N Carson St	open
Catalina Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2533 N Carson St	open
Charley's Grilled Subs Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	2441 N Carson St	open
Chili's Grill & Bar Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American		open
Chocolate Nugget Candy Factory	Dessert	Dessert	56 NV-341	open
Creekside Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1795 College Pkwy	open
Crossroads Lounge	Bar		300 E Winnie Ln	open
Del Taco	Quick service		822 E College Pkwy	open
Delibarry	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1475 Old Hot Springs Rd	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit Dickey's Barbecue Pit National	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3250 Retail Dr Ste 100	open
Dovetail Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		31 Carry Way Ste H	open
DQ Carson	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	E Highway 50	open
Duro Manufacturing, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3505 Arrowhead Dr	open
Ed's Dog House	Bar · Casual dining		3300 Airport Rd	open
Espolon Grill Y Tequileria Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10115 US Highway 50 E	open
Farmer Brothers	Coffee shop	Coffee	3880 Technology Way	open
Feisty Goat	Bar · Casual dining		1881 E Long St	open
Flavor of India	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	2329 N Carson St	open
Flavors of India	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	240 E Winnie Ln	open
Gcc Associates, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3250 Retail Dr Ste 100	open
Gearhead Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	938 Corbett St	open
Glen Eagles \| Restaurant & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American · Steakhouse	3700 N Carson St	open
Godfathers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2329 N Carson St	open
Golden Dragon Restaurant \| Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3250 Retail Dr	open
Gramma's Smoke House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	95 E Bonanza Dr	open
Hacienda Market and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2270 E William St	open
Id Secure Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		123 W Nye Ln Ste 129	open
Impact Menu Systems	Quick service		2600 Lockheed Way	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		3225 Retail Dr	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	2329 N Carson St	open
Juan's Mexican Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3680 Goni Rd	open
Kassity Management Group, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4010 Technology Way Ste E	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2523 North Carson Street	open
KING of kings	Food truck	Mexican · American	3075 Hwy 50 E, Carson City, NV 89701	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	837 Retail Ct	open
La Capital Cafe And Grill Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1795 College Pkwy Ste 100	open
La Posada Real \| Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3205 Retail Dr	open
La Santaneca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	316 E Winnie Ln	open
La Tapatia	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	200 E Winnie Ln	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1820 E William St	open
Los Garcias Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2000 N Carson St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	3200 Market St	open
McDonald's	Quick service		3344 N Carson St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2001 N Carson St	open
Mei's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		248 E Winnie Ln	open
Mi Casa Too Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3809 N Carson St #1935	open
Moonlite Bunny Ranch	Bar		69 Moonlight Rd	open
Nevada Title And Payday Loans, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3151 N Carson St	open
Pancho's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	119 Hot Springs Rd	open
Panda Express	Quick service		2748 N Carson St	open
Pho Country	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	2495 N Carson St	open
Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12000 US Highway 50 E	open
Port of Subs Port of Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	3721 N Carson St	open
Precision Carson A Nevada Limited Liabil	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Hot Springs Rd Ste B	open
Pure Ground Ingredients	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2500 Arrowhead Dr	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	933 Topsy Lane Carson City	open
Quiznos Sub	Other	Sandwiches	3228 N Carson St	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3325 Retail Dr	open
Sai Krishna Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3103 N Carson St	open
San Marcos Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	260 E Winnie Ln	open
Sara Lee Bakery Group	Bakery	Bakery	3267 Research Way	open
Sassafras Eclectic Food Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1500 Old Hot Springs Rd	open
Schwan's Ice Cream & Fine Foods	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	45 Red Rock Rd	open
Shoe Tree Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1496 Old Hot Springs Rd	open
Sizzler	Buffet		3033 N Carson St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	1856 E. College Parkway	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3325 Retail Drive North Carson Xing	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3228 N Carson St	open
Sugar Fix Candy Company	Dessert		1500 Old Hot Springs Rd	open
Taco Bell	Quick service		2495 N Carson St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	4539 N. Carson Street	open
Taqueria y Menuderia Ramos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4601 Goni Rd	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2299 N. Carson St.	open
The Snow Flo Shaved Ice	Dessert	Dessert	601 N Carson St	open
The Tap Shack	Bar		112 Rice St	open
Vida Y Energía	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	301 Hot Springs Rd	open
Villa Basque Café	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Spanish / tapas · Sandwiches	730 Basque Way	open
Vino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3228 N Carson St	open
Vinyl Products Manufacturing	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10117 US Highway 50 E	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3200 Market St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2555 North Carson Street	open
Yogurt Beach Yogurt Beach Gardnerville, NV	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	3228 N Carson St	open
Z Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	725 Basque Way	open
Edner Of Nevada Inc	Bakery	Bakery	2801 Conestoga Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	16	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	18	12	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	23	16	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	25	19	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	32	26	12	13	1	6	NAICS1997
1999	28	23	12	10	1	5	NAICS1997
2000	24	20	11	8	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	23	19	10	9	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	30	23	7	16	—	7	NAICS1997
2003	32	24	9	14	1	8	NAICS2002
2004	39	30	16	13	—	9	NAICS2002
2005	36	25	12	12	—	8	NAICS2002
2006	34	24	9	13	1	9	NAICS2002
2007	39	28	14	12	2	10	NAICS2002
2008	34	26	11	13	2	8	NAICS2007
2009	32	25	11	14	—	7	NAICS2007
2010	31	24	10	14	—	7	NAICS2007
2011	36	30	13	15	2	6	NAICS2007
2012	34	25	9	15	1	8	NAICS2012
2013	36	29	10	18	1	7	NAICS2012
2014	40	32	11	20	1	7	NAICS2012
2015	45	36	15	20	1	8	NAICS2012
2016	41	34	14	19	1	7	NAICS2012
2017	40	33	15	17	—	7	NAICS2017
2018	39	33	16	16	—	6	NAICS2017
2019	37	32	16	15	—	5	NAICS2017
2020	36	31	16	14	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	37	32	15	15	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	37	32	15	14	3	5	NAICS2022
2023	40	34	15	16	3	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 89706. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
89428	4.5 mi	1	2001

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.