BMIE Market 91384

Los Angeles County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	26,478 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,280 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,124 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,855 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,197 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$131,689 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,625 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,745 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±91 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$767,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,601 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	103.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 91384
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+77.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+220.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	33 (range 30–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.51) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 91384. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.51, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.8	88	40%	+35.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.3	76	35%	+26.7
Market Momentum Score	67.9	68	25%	+17.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	26,478	86	40%	+34.5
Median household income (ACS)	131,689	93	40%	+37.3
Households (ACS)	7,124	80	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28	70	35%	+24.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.1	64	25%	+16.0
Population (ACS)	26,478	86	20%	+17.3
Median household income (ACS)	131,689	93	20%	+18.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.7	63	50%	+31.7
10-year restaurant growth	28	70	30%	+20.9
20-year restaurant growth	77.8	77	20%	+15.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

Mexican 13 · Coffee 8 · Asian 7 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 6 · American 5 · Burgers 5 · Bakery 4 · Japanese 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Sushi 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Quick service 18 · Café 8 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Food truck 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ameci Pizza and Pasta Ameci Pizza - Castaic	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	27305 Live Oak Rd	open
Banda Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Mexican	31724 Castaic Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	31826 Castaic Rd	open
Cafe Turmeric Fresh Indian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31595 Castaic Rd	open
Cajun Chicken & Wings	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Halal / kosher	31743 Castaic Rd	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	31412 Ridge Route	open
Casa Lupitas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	31732 Castaic Rd	open
Castaic Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	31561 Castaic Rd	open
Castaic Pizza Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	31729 Castaic Rd	open
Chabelo's Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	31822 Castaic Rd	open
Coffee Stop Drive-Thru & Mobil in Castaic	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	31785 The Old Rd	open
Corona Cabana	Casual dining · Bar		32527 The Old Rd	open
Cyn-Fully Delicious	Restaurant (service type not stated)		28563 Gibraltar Ln Ste 512	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	31744 Castaic Rd. Ste. 102	open
El Grullense	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	31584 Castaic Rd	open
El Pollo Loco El Pollo Loco	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	31783 Castaic Rd	open
Fosters Freeze	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	31754 Castaic Rd	open
Habebe Cafe and Hookah Lounge	Bar · Café	Coffee	31585 Castaic Rd	open
Hasley Liquor and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	27305 Live Oak Rd	open
Howie's Pub	Casual dining · Bar		31579 Castaic Rd	open
It's A Grind Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	29641 The Old Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		31769 The Old Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches · Burgers	28090 N Hasley Canyon Rd	open
Janzen's Hillside Table	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea	30980 Hasley Canyon Rd	open
La Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	31703 Castaic Rd	open
Las Delicias Sport Taquería	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	29483 The Old Rd	open
Las Rocas Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		27923 Sloan Canyon Rd	open
Luv'n Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	29461 The Old Rd	open
Mariscos Y Tacos Perlita	Food truck		31642 Castaic Rd	open
Matsu Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	29495 The Old Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	27701 W Lake Hughes Rd	open
Mom Can Cook Castaic	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	28050 Hasley Canyon Rd	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	31880 Castaic Road	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	29607 The Old Rd	open
Red Dot Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	31430 Castaic Rd	open
Sam's BBQ and Grill	Specialty food shop · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bar	Sandwiches · BBQ	31611 Castaic Rd	open
San Fernando Valley	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	31777 Castaic Rd (Lake Hughes & I-5, C, Astaic)	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	28050 Hasley Canyon Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Bakery · Asian	29675 The Old Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	31744 Castaic Rd #101	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	29613 The Old Road D4	open
Sushi Story	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	28050 Hasley Canyon Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	31824 The Old Rd	open
Taco Truck	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	31543 Castaic Rd	open
Tacos El Flaco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	31655 Castaic Rd	open
Tacos el vaquero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	31558 Castaic Rd	open
Tacos Jimenez	Quick service · Food truck	Mexican	31602 Castaic Rd	open
Tacos Tijuana Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	31595 Castaic Rd	open
Tacos Valles	Food truck	Mexican	31526 Castaic Rd	open
Takuma Ramen & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	29641 The Old Rd	open
Telly's Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	Castaic, CA 91384	open
Tommie's Castaic Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	31526 Castaic Rd	open
Vincenzo's Pizza Castaic	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	31930 Castaic Rd	open
WaBa Grill WaBa Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Healthy / salads / bowls	31739 Castaic Rd	open
Wendy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	31810 Castaic Rd	open
WG0098 - Castaic (Castaic) WaBa Grill	Quick service		31739 Castaic Rd	open
Wings Pizza N Things	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	28070 Hasley Canyon Rd	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	29667 The Old Road #B002	open
Wok's Cookin'	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	31565 Castaic Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	13	3	8	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	16	15	3	9	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	4	6	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	16	4	7	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	11	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	18	8	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	17	17	5	8	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	21	20	7	9	4	1	NAICS2002
2006	26	23	10	10	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	34	32	10	17	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	34	31	8	16	6	1	NAICS2007
2009	32	30	8	16	5	1	NAICS2007
2010	29	27	7	16	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	27	25	6	15	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	27	26	8	14	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	26	25	5	14	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	27	26	8	14	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	31	30	8	17	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	31	29	8	16	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	32	30	6	18	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	31	30	6	20	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	30	29	6	19	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	30	29	8	17	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	32	30	8	19	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	34	29	10	16	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	37	32	10	18	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 91384. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.