BMIE Market 91390

Los Angeles County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,308 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,410 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,414 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±426 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,786 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,742 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$151,897 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,522 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,508 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±637 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$878,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,755 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	158.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 91390
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+225.0% DERIVED: 2000 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 8–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	51 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 91390. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.4	86	40%	+34.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88.1	88	35%	+30.8
Market Momentum Score	50.7	51	25%	+12.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,308	81	40%	+32.3
Median household income (ACS)	151,897	96	40%	+38.5
Households (ACS)	6,414	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	85.7	89	35%	+31.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.7	85	25%	+21.4
Population (ACS)	19,308	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	151,897	96	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-13.3	16	50%	+8.2
10-year restaurant growth	85.7	89	30%	+26.9
20-year restaurant growth	85.7	78	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

American 9 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mexican 3 · BBQ 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 5 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Dessert 2 · Other 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Agua Dulce Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		9640 Sierra Hwy	open
Ameci Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	28013 Seco Canyon Rd	open
Big Oaks Lodge	Bar		33101 Bouquet Canyon Rd	open
Custom Eatery	Other	Sandwiches	28440 Haskell Canyon Rd	open
Dippin' Dots	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	28440 Haskell Canyon Rd	open
Green valley cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	15488 Spunky Canyon Rd	open
Green Valley SmokeHouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	15488 Spunky Canyon Rd	open
Halfway House Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	15564 Sierra Hwy	open
Home Made Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	33310 Agua Dulce Canyon Rd	open
Jazmin's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	28440 Haskell Canyon Rd	open
La Cocina Bar & Grill LA COCINA BAR AND GRILL	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	28022 Seco Canyon Rd	open
Le Chêne French Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	12625 Sierra Hwy	open
Maria Bonita Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	33311 Agua Dulce Canyon Rd	open
Mồi Ngon Xuyên Bang Mỹ	Food truck	Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegan		open
Papa's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	28028 Seco Canyon Rd	open
Reyes Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		10262 Sierra Hwy	open
River's End RV Park	Bar	American · BBQ	13130 Soledad Canyon Rd	open
Seco Canyon Homeowners Association	Casual dining · Bar	American	22814 Banyan Pl	open
Sohy’s Country Kitchen & Event Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10645 Soledad Canyon Rd	open
Star Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)		29260 Bouquet Canyon Rd	open
Tạp Hoá Nhà Cùn ở Mỹ	Bakery	Bakery		open
Terra Dulce	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	33359 Agua Dulce Canyon Rd	open
Thai Chefs Santa Clarita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	28014 Seco Canyon Rd	open
The Cowboy Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	33310 Agua Dulce Canyon Rd	open
VFW	Bar		16208 Sierra Hwy	open
Wetzel's Pretzels	Other · Dessert · Quick service	Dessert	28005 Seco Canyon Rd	open
Winehouse Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		11929 Thelen St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2000	5	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	5	5	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	13	7	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	10	7	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	10	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	8	7	7	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	9	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	12	10	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	16	12	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	17	11	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	15	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	8	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 91390. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.