BMIE Market 91784
San Bernardino County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 26,886 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,450 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,993 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 25,938 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,200 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $154,349 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,298 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 46.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,945 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±215 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $891,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,589 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 91784 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +31.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +68.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +320.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,300.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 53 (range 47–58) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 91784. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 90.0 | 90 | 40% | +36.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 80.0 | 80 | 35% | +28.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 87.7 | 88 | 25% | +21.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 26,886 | 87 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 154,349 | 97 | 40% | +38.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,993 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 68 | 88 | 35% | +30.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15.6 | 51 | 25% | +12.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 26,886 | 87 | 20% | +17.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 154,349 | 97 | 20% | +19.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 31.3 | 84 | 50% | +41.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 68 | 88 | 30% | +26.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 320 | 97 | 20% | +19.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (70)
By cuisine
American 9 · Coffee 7 · Italian 7 · Mexican 7 · Bakery 6 · Burgers 6 · Pizza 6 · Dessert 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · BBQ 2 · Japanese 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Bar 12 · Quick service 12 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Specialty food shop 3 · Fast casual 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Mike's BBQ and Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 2220 N Palm Way | open | |
| Bistro Roti | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1041 E 16th St | open |
| Bites & Blooms | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1138 E 20th St | open | |
| Brandt Family Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Quick service | 750 E 25th St | open | |
| Butter Cafe and Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1071 E 16th St | open |
| California Fish Grill California Fish Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 1135 E 19th St | open |
| Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr. | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1915 N Campus Ave | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1949 N Campus Ave | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1191 E. 19th St. | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1053 E 19th St Ste A A | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2057 Base Line Rd | open |
| Claro's Italian Markets | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1655 N Mountain Ave Ste D | open | |
| Claro's Italian Markets Claro's Italian Markets | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Italian · Sandwiches | 1655 N Mountain Ave | open |
| Coffee shop | Coffee shop · Bar | Coffee | 1335 W Clark St | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | 2085 W Baseline Rd, Unit 400 | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2085 Base Line Rd Unit 400 | open |
| Crumbl - Upland | Dessert | Dessert | 1071 E 19th St Ste B | open |
| Del Bar & Pool Del-Bar | Casual dining · Bar | 338 E Monitor Ct | open | |
| Dickey's Barbecue Pit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1945 N Campus Ave Ste C | open |
| E-Z Take Out Burger | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1672 Glenwood Ave | open |
| Fratello's Pizza and Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1667 N Mountain Ave ste 123 & 124 | open |
| Giuseppe's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Mediterranean | 2433 N Euclid Ave | open |
| Golden Spoon | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1902 N Campus Ave Ste B | open |
| Grazies Italian Restaurant & Sports Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1615 N Mountain Ave | open |
| Hi Brow Pub | Bar | 1667 N Mountain Ave #117 | open | |
| Hyungbin& Jun, Llc Dba Yogiyo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1945 N Campus Ave Ste D | open | |
| In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1152 E 20th St | open |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1191 E. 19th St. | open |
| Jd Allisons Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 1655 N Mountain Ave | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 1945 N. Campus Ave. Suite A | open |
| Juancho’s Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1945 N Campus Ave Ste B | open |
| Kuma Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1905 N Campus Ave # C | open |
| Legends Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Breakfast · American | 1645 N Mountain Ave | open |
| Lotus Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1639 N Mountain Ave | open |
| Lytebite Upland | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1071 E 19th St Ste C | open | |
| Magic Wok Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1902 N Campus Ave Ste C | open |
| Malibu Bagel Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1601 N Mountain Ave | open |
| Mariscos El Guero Baja Style Ceviche Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other) | 1902 N Campus Ave | open |
| MOD Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2085 W Baseline Rd Ste 110 | open |
| Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1071 E 19th St | open |
| Oggi's Sports|brewhouse|pizza | Bar | 1173 E 19th St | open | |
| Ono Hawaiian BBQ Ono Hawaiian BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Hawaiian / Pacific | 1945 N Campus Ave E | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1053 E 19th St. | open |
| Panzarello's Restaurant | Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1615 N Mountain Ave | open |
| Pho King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1945 N Campus Ave Ste C | open | |
| Pick Up Stix Fresh Asian Flavors Pick Up Stix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1053 E 19th St Ste B | open |
| Pieology Pizzeria Pieology Pizzeria | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 1071 E 19th St | open |
| Pizza Hut Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1931 N Campus Ave | open |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1902 N Campus Ave | open |
| R3 Hospitality Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1041 E 16th St | open | |
| Rancho Los Magueyes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1667 N Mountain Ave #128 | open |
| Roundin 3rd Sports Bar and Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 1041 E 16th St | open | |
| San Biagio's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1118 E 19th St | open |
| See's Candies Chocolate Shop | Dessert | Dessert | 1875 N Campus Ave Ste A | open |
| Sourdough & Co. Sourdough & Co. Modesto H Street | Specialty food shop · Fast casual · Quick service | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1902 N Campus Ave #D | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1910 N Campus Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1202 E 20th St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 2129 W 16th St | open |
| Tacocino | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1945 N Campus Ave Ste B | open |
| The Back Abbey | Casual dining · Bar | 1902 N Campus Ave | open | |
| The Bar and Noodle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 2153 E Base Line Rd | open |
| The Habit Burger Grill The Habit Burger Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 1071 E 19th St | open |
| The Heights Restaurant and Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1883 N Campus Ave | open |
| Tipsy Tiki | Bar | 1700 N San Antonio Ave | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2119 Baseline Road | open |
| Wine Me Up Social | Bar | 1125 E 16th St | open | |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1902 N Campus Ave Ste J | open |
| Yogiyo | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1945 N Campus Ave #D | open |
| Zpizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1943 N Campus Ave | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 1902 N Campus Ave Ste J | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 19 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 24 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 20 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 25 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 31 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 36 | 32 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 19 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 42 | 37 | 11 | 20 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 38 | 32 | 8 | 18 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 46 | 41 | 13 | 19 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 38 | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 44 | 40 | 14 | 20 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 47 | 43 | 12 | 22 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 45 | 42 | 13 | 19 | 10 | — | NAICS2022 |