BMIE Market 92230

Riverside County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,887 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±430 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	696 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±155 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,550 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	938 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$48,704 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,877 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,519 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±710 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$270,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±70,840 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92230
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	58.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+53.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+81.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,900.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 24–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	31 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	62 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92230. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	31.3	31	40%	+12.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42.1	42	35%	+14.7
Market Momentum Score	61.9	62	25%	+15.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 31 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,887	44	40%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	48,704	13	40%	+5.3
Households (ACS)	696	43	20%	+8.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	53.9	85	35%	+29.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	106.0	4	25%	+1.0
Population (ACS)	1,887	44	20%	+8.7
Median household income (ACS)	48,704	13	20%	+2.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	53.9	85	30%	+25.5
20-year restaurant growth	81.8	78	20%	+15.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (59)

By cuisine

American 11 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Chinese 5 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Pizza 5 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Mexican 4 · Italian 3 · Seafood 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · French 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Quick service 13 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Bakery	48750 Seminole Dr Space 106	open
Birba Cabazon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	48400 Seminole Dr	open
BKK 78 Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Thai	48650 Seminole Dr	open
Blaze Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	48650 Seminole Dr	open
Boba Station	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	48400 Seminole Dr Ste 442	open
Brandini Toffee Desert Hills Outlets	Dessert	Dessert	48400 Seminole Dr C1	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		50900 Seminole Dr	open
Cabazon Peak Cabazon Outlets	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French		open
Chicken Now	Quick service		48650 Seminole Dr Ste 210b	open
China Max China Max	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	48650 Seminole Dr	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	48557 Morongo Trl	open
Cielo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	49500 Seminole Dr Floor 27	open
Coco's Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	49000 Seminole Dr	open
Coconut Jelly King - Cabazon	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	48400 Seminole Dr	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	48553 Morongo Trail	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	48553 Morongo Trail	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit - Cabazon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	49500 Seminole Dr	open
Ensenada Baja Tacos	Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Mexican · Juice / smoothies	48400 Seminole Dr	open
Fatburger Fatburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	49500 Seminole Dr	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	48650 Seminole Drive	open
Hokulia Shave Ice	Dessert		48400 Seminole Dr	open
Hokulia Shave Ice- Cabazon CA Hokulia Shave Ice	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	48650 Seminole Dr	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	49188 Seminole Dr.	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	48555 Morongo Trail Tenant #4	open
Jody Maroni's Sausage Kingdom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	48400 Seminole Dr	open
Kahala Coffee Traders	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	48650 Seminole Dr Ste 210a	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	300 N Fern St	open
L.a. Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	49500 Seminole Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	48350 Seminole Dr	open
Morongo Band of Mission Indians	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	49500 Seminole Dr	open
Panda Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	48400 Seminole Dr	open
Panda Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	49204 Seminole Dr	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	49500 Seminole Dr	open
Pepperoni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	48650 Seminole Dr	open
Pescato Oyster Bar & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	49500 Seminole Dr	open
Pit Stop Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	49806 Seminole Dr	open
Poki Bowl Poki Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Seafood · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian	48551 Morongo Trail	open
Ruby's Diner	Casual dining	American	49000 Seminole Dr	open
Ruffled Feathers	Other	Sandwiches	49500 Seminole Dr	open
Sabores del Sol	Dessert		52265 Lois Ave	open
Sbarro Sbarro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	48400 Seminole Dr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	48750 Seminole Dr (Hwy 10 & Fields Rd , , Cabazon)	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	48400 Seminole Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	49076 Seminole Dr	open
Sunset Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		49500 Seminole Dr	open
Surf City Squeeze	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	48400 Seminole Dr Ste D442	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	49030 Seminole Dr	open
Tacos And Tequila - T & T	Restaurant (service type not stated)		49750 Seminole Dr	open
The Little French Cake	Dessert	Dessert	48400 Seminole Dr Ste C	open
The Marketplace by Fabio Viviani	Coffee shop · Casual dining · Café · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse · Mexican · Coffee · Bakery · Asian · American · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Chinese	49500 Seminole Dr	open
Villa Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	48650 Seminole Dr	open
Villa Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	48400 Seminole Dr	open
Wahlburgers Wahlburgers	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	49500 Seminole Dr	open
Wetzel's Pretzels Wetzel's Pretzels	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Bakery	48400 Seminole Dr	open
Wetzel's Pretzels	Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	48400 Seminole Dr, Unit	open
เจ๊ยุ้ย ขาย Coach	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	48750 Seminole Drive #100, Cabazon, CA	open
Bakery At Desert Hills	Bakery	Bakery	48650 Seminole Dr Ste 210g	closed
Kona Coffee Brewing Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	48400 Seminole Dr Ste 436	closed
Villa Fresh Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	48400 Seminole Dr Ste 444	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	11	2	8	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	11	2	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	11	2	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	12	1	9	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	1	7	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	11	1	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	14	2	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	14	14	3	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	15	14	3	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	16	4	9	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	14	14	1	9	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	16	1	11	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	15	1	11	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	17	1	13	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	16	2	10	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	13	1	8	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	15	—	10	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	15	—	9	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	16	—	10	6	—	NAICS2012
2017	19	19	—	15	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	20	—	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	23	—	17	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	22	—	17	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	22	—	15	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	22	—	16	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	20	—	15	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92230. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
92220	4.6 mi	49	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.