BMIE Market 92276

Riverside County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,720 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,609 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,752 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±428 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,585 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,552 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$77,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,784 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,495 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±448 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$268,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,280 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	37.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92276
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+80.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 6–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	21 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92276. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.1	63	40%	+25.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.8	48	35%	+16.7
Market Momentum Score	21.1	21	25%	+5.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,720	67	40%	+26.8
Median household income (ACS)	77,000	58	40%	+23.2
Households (ACS)	2,752	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	35%	+6.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.7	66	25%	+16.5
Population (ACS)	7,720	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	77,000	58	20%	+11.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 21 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	30%	+5.5
20-year restaurant growth	28.6	51	20%	+10.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

Mexican 6 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Breakfast 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Bar 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Banda Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	72244 Varner Rd	open
Bosch Baking	Bakery	Bakery	30630 Hill St	open
Cali-pop	Other · Dessert	Dessert	72088 Northshore St	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	72 305 Varner Rd	open
Casa De Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	72390 Ramon Rd	open
Clk Hr Acquisition, Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		72295 Manufacturing Rd	open
Coachella Valley Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		30640 Gunther St	open
Del Taco	Quick service		72325 Varner Rd	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		72244 Varner Rd	open
European Desserts	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	31330 Reserve Dr	open
Goody's Cafe Goody's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican	72246 Varner Rd	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	72265 Varner Rd	open
It’S A Wrap	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls · Breakfast	74580 Varner Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		72955 Varner Rd	open
L'artisan Valley Baking Company	Bakery	Bakery	31130 Plantation Dr	open
La Michoacana Factory	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican · Latin American (other)	72711 Ramon Rd	open
McDonald's	Quick service		72255 Varner Rd	open
Plan B Live Entertainment & Cocktails	Bar		32025 Monterey Ave	open
Simis' Ranch Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican		open
Tacos y tortas ahogadas el burro veloz	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	Auto Repair Thousand Palms, 32125 Arbol Real	open
Taqueria San Miguel Taqueria San Miguel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	72450 Ramon Rd	open
The Grill at Tri Palm Country Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		32700 Desert Moon Drive	open
Us Winery Supplies	Winery / distillery / taproom		72215 Woburn Ct	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	7	1	6	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	9	2	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	12	3	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	3	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	2	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	10	2	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	10	2	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	10	2	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	8	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	8	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92276. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
92234	4.7 mi	107	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.